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Reference ID	Created	Released	Classification	Origin
10NASSAU36	2010-01-11 20:13	2011-08-30 01:44	UNCLASSIFIED	Embassy Nassau

VZCZCXYZ0015
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHBH #0036/01 0112014
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 112013Z JAN 10
FM AMEMBASSY NASSAU
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0198
INFO RUEHBH/AMEMBASSY NASSAU

UNCLAS NASSAU 000036 
 
SIPDIS 
STATE FOR CA/FPP 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: CVIS KFRD BF
SUBJECT: Validation Study: Bahamian with waivers follow the rules 
 
¶1.       SUMMARY:  Post conducted a validation study of 407 
Bahamians traveling with visas with waivers that were issued 
between April 1, 2007 and June 18, 2008. The confirmed return rate 
was over 92% with the remainder being inclusive, having never 
traveled on their visa, or currently in the U.S. in valid status. 
Many of the applicants traveling on visas with waivers have 
received them in the past as well and appear extra cautious to stay 
within the law and avoid future difficulties. Despite their brush 
with the law in the past, it appears that holders of visas with 
waivers are some of our most dependable issuants now. 
 
¶2.       METHODOLOGY: Post conducted a study of 407 Bahamians 
traveling with waivers. The primary method of data collection was 
phone calls with confirmation provided by ADIS checks. The 
validation study covered a 445 day period from April 1, 2007 until 
June 18, 2008. This data set was chosen to allow more than a full 
year after date of issuance to allow for a higher rate of travel. 
Using CA/FPP guidelines, a random sample was used to select 407 
waiver holders. 
 
¶3.       DATA COLLECTION: Post used a two-prong approach to collect 
data. First, Post attempted to contact every person by phone, when 
this was not possible ADIS was used. Post also used ADIS to verify 
the information we collected by making phone calls. 
 
¶4.       THE FOUR STATUS CATEGORIES: 
 
a.       Confirmed Return: Of the 407 issuances, 377 are confirmed 
returns. 
 
b.      Inconclusive/Possible Overstay: 13 visa waiver holders are 
considered inconclusive or possible overstays due to no phone 
contact and no apparent return in ADIS or no available ADIS 
information. 
 
c.       Never Travel: 11 of the 407 waiver holders did not travel 
to the United States. 
 
d.      In US on B1/B2: At the time of the study, 6 persons were in 
the United States on B1/B2 visas but had not yet the end of their 
authorized stay. 
 
¶5.       RESULTS: Post was unable to confirm any overstays of 
persons traveling with waivers. Due to inaccurate or unavailable 
phone numbers, not all issuants were contacted by phone. Although 
ADIS provided valuable information, it is not 100% accurate and 
Post was unable find or to confirm 13 issuants using ADIS. 
 
Category 
 
Total Number 
 
Percentage 
 
Confirmed Return 
 
377 
 
92.60% 
 
Inconclusive/Possible overstay 
 
13 
 
3.20% 
 
Never Travel 
 
11 
 
2.70% 
 
In US on B1/B2, not an overstay 
 
6 
 
1.50% 
 
¶6.       Post further analyzed the results based on gender. The 
following tables show a break-down of each of the categories based 
on gender. It can be noted that there isn't a significant 
difference between men and women. The biggest noticeable difference 
is the "Never Travel" rate; women were more than twice as likely to 
not travel as men. 
 
Women 
 
 
Category 
 
Total Number 
 
Percentage 
 
Confirmed Return 
 
72 
 
91.10% 
 
Inconclusive/Possible overstay 
 
2 
 
2.50% 
 
Never Travel 
 
4 
 
5.10% 
 
In US on B1/B2, not an overstay 
 
1 
 
1.30% 
 
 
 
 
Men 
 
 
Category 
 
Total Number 
 
Percentage 
 
Confirmed Return 
 
304 
 
92.70% 
 
Inconclusive/Possible overstay 
 
12 
 
3.70% 
 
Never Travel 
 
7 
 
2.10% 
 
In US on B1/B2, not an overstay 
 
5 
 
1.50% 
 
¶7.       Post also analyzed the data based on age of applicant at 
time of issue. 
 
Age 
 
24-29 
 
30-39 
 
40-49 
 
50-59 
 
60-69 
 
70+ 
 
Confirmed Return 
 
86.70% 
 
92.00% 
 
91.80% 
 
95.90% 
 
91.80% 
 
87.50% 
 
Inconclusive/Possible overstay 
 
13.30% 
 
6.00% 
 
3.60% 
 
3.30% 
 
1.20% 
 
0% 
 
Never Travel 
 
0% 
 
2.00% 
 
3.60% 
 
0% 
 
5.90% 
 
4.20% 
 
Not overstays on B1/B2 
 
0% 
 
0% 
 
0.90% 
 
0.80% 
 
1.20% 
 
8.30% 
 
¶8.       COMMENT: Many of the people traveling with visa waivers 
are very frequent travelers and are accustomed to the secondary 
questioning and extra administrative time required for them to pass 
through immigration, although they see it as a hassle. Many 
commented that after more frequent travel, the processing time in 
immigration is decreased. As Post was unable to positively identify 
any overstays in this study, it appears that waiver holders seem to 
take extra care in ensuring they stay out of trouble and follow 
immigration law. 
AVANT

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Viewing cable 10NASSAU36, Validation Study: Bahamian with waivers follow the rules