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Viewing cable 07BAGHDAD3139, UPDATE: OIL MINISTER ON HYDROCARBON FRAMEWORK LAW

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BAGHDAD3139 2007-09-18 13:29 2011-08-30 01:44 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Baghdad
VZCZCXRO0534
PP RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHIHL RUEHKUK
DE RUEHGB #3139/01 2611329
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 181329Z SEP 07
FM AMEMBASSY BAGHDAD
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3433
INFO RUCNRAQ/IRAQ COLLECTIVE
RHEBAAA/USDOE WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BAGHDAD 003139 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR NEA/I AND EEB FOR GALLOGLY 
USDOE FOR ALAN NEGBURG 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/18/2017 
TAGS: EPET ECON ENRGPREL IZ KU
SUBJECT: UPDATE: OIL MINISTER ON HYDROCARBON FRAMEWORK LAW 
 
Classified By: Classified by: ECONOMIC MINISTER CHARLES P. RIES FOR REA 
SONS 1.4 (b) and (d) 
 
SUMMARY 1.  (C) Iraq's Oil Minister Husayn al-Shahristani 
says the votes are there in the Council of Representatives to 
pass the February 23 version of the Hydrocarbon Framework Law 
if the Kurds are pressed to follow through.  Agreement on a 
revenue sharing formula would be more difficult, however. 
Al-Shahristani has short and long term plans for exporting 
natural gas to Syria, which may give the GoI more leverage in 
getting the Syrians to control their porous border.  Finally, 
 the Minister said he continues to work on securing fuel 
supplies from Kuwait and that kerosene stocks for the winter 
heating season are acceptable in the north and in the south, 
deliveries for the Baghdad area are now coming in.  END 
SUMMARY. 
 
2.  (C) Minister for Economic Affairs (EMIN) met with Iraqi 
Minister of Oil Husayn al- Shahristani at the residence of 
the Prime Minister on September 14.  EMIN requested updates 
on the hydrocarbon framework legislation (HFL); Iraq's plans 
for natural gas development; and on the status of fuel 
imports from Kuwait. 
 
3.  (C)  On the status of the HFL, Shahristani said a 
September 13 article by James Glanz in the New York Times 
(which suggested that the political consensus needed to pass 
the legislation was faltering) was misinformed.  In fact, he 
said all parties had agreed to move forward on the basis of 
the February 2007 draft legislation which "in substance are 
strong" although he conceded their legal formatting might be 
weak.  Shahristani then described his efforts to count 
parliamentary votes.  The head of the Kurdish coalition in 
the Council of Representatives (CoR) told Shahristani 
personally that his members would support passage of the 
February draft.  Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi and some of 
his bloc of the Sunni Tawafuq party now indicate would also 
support the passage of the law, but the Oil Minister said it 
was unclear if this would represent a majority of Tawafuq. 
Most of the members of the Shi'a United Iraqi Alliance would 
support the law, while the Sadrists would not.  Allawi's 
supporters in Iraqiya were split.  All in all, Shahristani 
said he saw a comfortable majority that would support the 
law, if the Kurds follow through.  This final caveat came 
with two points.  First, Shahristani said the Kurds may delay 
by pointing out (correctly) that the four appendices to the 
draft had not been formally approved by the Cabinet. 
Shahristani noted that the appendices had, however, been 
approved by the Cabinet's "energy committee," so this 
argument should be easily dealt with.  Second, Shahristani 
said the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad had previously played a 
significant role in pushing the Kurds to engage and 
compromise on the HFL, but he asserted that less of that is 
seen now and so the Kurds are interpreting that as a loss of 
U.S. interest.  EMIN noted that we had made several recent 
public statements about KRG acreage awards that should 
confirm to the Kurds our continuing interest in the national 
law to clear up "legal uncertanty", most recently when Hunt 
Oil had signed its contract with the KRG. 
 
4.  (C) Shahristani told EMIN that the Kurdish first deputy 
speaker of the CoR was resistant to bringing forward the 
draft law without an explicit agreement from Mastord Burzani. 
 Another stumbling block could be protests by oil unionists 
in the Basrah area (which Shahristani said were being funded 
by "British Trotskyites" and by Persian Gulf neighbors and 
oil expert competitors like Kuwait and the United Arab 
Emirates, who did not want to see any agreement or political 
reconciliation).  But a confident Shahristani said these 
efforts would be ineffectual, and that if everything he 
reported holds together, the government would be ready to 
move forward immediately.  Shahristani said he'd speak to 
President Talabani to ask his assistance with the Kurdish 
bloc, and if this was combined with U.S. pressure on the 
Kurds then the law could be passed in a matter of weeks. 
 
5.  (C) When asked, Shahristani admitted the revenue sharing 
law connected to the HFL package could be more difficult. 
The basic draft was accepted by all, but the unresolved point 
remained the percentage the federal government would get off 
the top (i.e. before allocation to the regions and 
governorates) for national or "stretegic" investments.  A 
cabinet majority had emerged at 10 percent, but this had 
never been voted on.  The KRG wants a limit of 5 percent, he 
admitted, while others would like more than 10 percent.  If 
the consensus at 10 percent could be regained at the Cabinet 
table, said Shahristani, "then we can finish the deal." 
 
 
BAGHDAD 00003139  002 OF 002 
 
 
6.  (C) Moving onto natural gas development plans, 
Shahristani noted that most of Iraq's flared gas is found in 
the south; he said this was the focus of the of the Gas 
Master Plan which he had described at the Dubai Petroleum 
Conference last week.  Violence in the central part of Iraq 
currently makes fields there too dangerous to exploit.  In 
the West, the Akkas field is in a position to supply gas to 
Syria.  Iraq had agreed in principle to supply Syria with 50 
million standard cubic feet per day (mmscf/d) from Akkas in 
the short term, via a short 50 km pipeline to Syrian gas oil 
seperation  facility just over the border.  This would hold 
down costs of initial field development.  Shhristani also 
noted net supply up the Syrians with gas would give the GoI 
some leverage  for help in securing the porous border, since 
"we can just turn off the tap" if the GoI is sumsequently 
unhappy with SARG performance. 
 
7.  (C) In addition, Shahristani said with the right 
investments, Akkas output could be easily and quickly boosted 
to 500, 10 times current levels.  The full-field development 
could meet with western Anbar power generation needs, supply 
Syria and from there to Turkey and Europe via a swap with the 
Arab Gas Pipeline.  Shahristani said he was intending to 
tender field development to a western firm via service 
contract by early next year, with or without passage of the 
HFL.  In any case, Shahristani said, a strong energy 
relationship with Europe "is a top priority for us." 
 
8.  (C) Finally, on fuel supplies from Kuwait, Shahristani 
said he had met earlier in the week at the OPEC meeting in 
Vienna with the Acting Kuwaiti oil minister.  He complained 
to the Kuwaiti that Iraq had paid Kuwait what it had been 
owed and more in an effort to get fuel moving again.  The 
Kuwaiti expressed surprise, and promised to look into the 
matter.  Shahristani said he'd be sending the Kuwaiti a 
letter next week to remind him of the state of play.  EMIN 
said that the U.S. Embassy in Kuwait remained fully engaged 
on the matter. 
 
9.  (C) Shahristanti said that money from Kuwaiti salafists 
was flowing to insurgents in Anbar.  KPC has imposed new 
conditions for fuel deliveries, such as requiring 
fuel-carrying trucks across from Kuwait into Iraq within 
three days of loading -- something Shahristani has no control 
over.  Ambassador Ries noted that ARCENT Kuwait had agreed to 
ensure the border is opened to minority diesel shipments and 
that it could guarantee the crossing of 45 trucks per day. 
 
10.  (C) On kerosene supplies for the winter heating season, 
Shahristani said that areas south of Baghdad are in good 
shape, as are areas in the North (but he said in Kurdistan, 
the KRG was responsible for ensuring supplies).  For areas 
around Baghdad, the Iranians are finally delivering to 
al-Kut.  They won't deliver to Baghdad because of Security 
problems.  200 million liters were needed to supply Baghdad, 
2 million liters a day were coming in now. 
BUTENIS