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Viewing cable 07BELMOPAN73, ONE OF BELIZE'S THIRD POLITICAL PARTIES FIRST TO LAUNCH

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BELMOPAN73 2007-02-01 17:46 2011-08-30 01:44 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Belmopan
VZCZCXRO5342
RR RUEHGR
DE RUEHBE #0073/01 0321746
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 011746Z FEB 07
FM AMEMBASSY BELMOPAN
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0211
INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE
RUCNCOM/EC CARICOM COLLECTIVE
RUEHME/AMEMBASSY MEXICO 0033
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BELMOPAN 000073 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR WHA/CEN (MACK) 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL SOCI BH
SUBJECT: ONE OF BELIZE'S THIRD POLITICAL PARTIES FIRST TO LAUNCH 
GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN 
 
 
1.  Summary: On January 17, the Vision Inspired by the People (VIP) 
political party officially launched its 2008 general elections 
campaign.  Party Chairman Paul Morgan laid out five areas that would 
form the basis of the party's political manifesto: National Unity, 
Culture of Productivity, Family Life environment, Social Justice, 
and Fair Representation in Government Affairs.  End Summary. 
 
---------- 
Background 
---------- 
 
2.  Alternative, third political movements are not something new in 
Belize.  In fact, between 1968 and 1971 there were the People's 
Action Committee (PAC), a political action group, and the United 
Black Association for Development (UBAD), a black power movement. 
Of the two, only UBAD ever contested local elections but was 
unsuccessful.  Since then, there have been several others, the 
majority of which are now dissolved.  The We the People Reform 
Movement, the National Reform Party (NRP), and the National Alliance 
for Belizean Rights (NABR) remain; the NABR is the only third party 
that has a long history of fielding candidates in local elections. 
 
3.  In 2005, the Vision Inspired by the People party was established 
and fielded candidates in only one municipality in the 2006 
municipal elections.  To the surprise of many, the VIP did extremely 
well for its rookie season, garnering 19.5 percent of the total 
votes cast.  It is because of this strong showing, and voters' 
continued dissatisfaction with the two major political parties, that 
the VIP has decided to throw its hat in the ring for 2008 so early, 
launching its 2008 general election campaign at a press conference 
in Belize City on January 17.  In his presentation, Party Chairman 
Paul Morgan outlined five central areas that form the basis of the 
party's political platform for the 2008 general elections. 
 
------------------- 
The Five Core Areas 
------------------- 
 
4.  National Unity:  The VIP states that it would promote national 
unity so that Belize's territorial integrity and the right of 
Belizeans to self determination are not compromised. 
 
5.  A Culture of Productivity:  The VIP notes that it would develop 
a human capital strategy that would capitalize on the productive 
capacity of Belizeans living abroad so that Belize becomes more 
innovative and productive. 
 
6.  Family Life:  The VIP states that in formulating the country's 
development policies, the party would ensure that Belizeans have the 
right to food, safety, healthcare, housing, and education.  The 
party would also enact programs that would ensure that no child in 
Belize falls victim to parental misfortune, delinquency or abuse. 
 
7. Social Justice:  The VIP notes that it would ensure that 
Belizeans have equal rights and treatment in accessing national 
services and resources, and more importantly, that the poor of 
society be given priority in the distribution of the nation's 
wealth.  In short, the VIP proposes to get rid of political 
victimization and patronage and implement election campaign finance 
reforms. 
 
8.  Fair Representation:  The VIP states that it believes that 
elected officials must be accountable to the electorate or they lose 
their mandate.  To achieve this goal, the VIP states that the 
current "first past the post" election system must be replaced by 
proportional representation and that Belizeans must be given the 
opportunity to vote directly on local and national issues by way of 
referendum and be able to recall elected leaders who have lost the 
public trust.  The VIP also proposes to amend the Constitution to 
(1) give Belize an elected mixed member-proportional representation 
Senate with half the members elected at mid-term, (2) allow the 
Prime Minister to choose his Cabinet from the public at large, and 
(3) limit the size of the Cabinet to a maximum of nine ministers and 
place a consecutive two-term limit on the office of the Prime 
Minister.  It also proposes to enforce UN and OAS anti-corruption 
conventions. 
 
9.  Comments:  The results of the most recent polls reveal that 23 
percent of Belizean voters are fed up with the two major political 
parties, and would consider an alternative, third party.  The 
decision of the VIP to launch its 2008 general elections campaign 
this early is an indication that the party hopes to capitalize on 
voter disaffection with the main parties. 
 
10.  What the VIP ought to consider, though, is the sure-to-come 
scenario where more than one "third" party contests the 2008 general 
election, resulting in vote-splitting.  Unless the third parties 
unite to oppose the two major parties, they will have little chance 
 
BELMOPAN 00000073  002 OF 002 
 
 
of winning the upcoming and tightly contested general election.  At 
this point, our sense is that the prospects for third party unity 
are not strong, though Post understands that the National Reform 
Party (NRP) and the We the People Reform Movement have met to 
explore a consolidation.  There is precedent for such alignments. 
The opposition United Democratic Party was formed as a result of the 
consolidation of the Liberal Party, the National Independent Party, 
and the Peoples' Democratic Movement.  End comments. 
 
DIETER