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Reference ID	Created	Released	Classification	Origin
07RANGOON8	2007-01-03 09:25	2011-08-30 01:44	CONFIDENTIAL	Embassy Rangoon

VZCZCXRO7710
OO RUEHCHI RUEHDT RUEHHM RUEHNH
DE RUEHGO #0008 0030925
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 030925Z JAN 07
FM AMEMBASSY RANGOON
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 5549
INFO RUCNASE/ASEAN MEMBER COLLECTIVE
RUEHGG/UN SECURITY COUNCIL COLLECTIVE
RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA 0085
RUEHKA/AMEMBASSY DHAKA 4425
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 3678
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 7183
RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 4766
RUEHCI/AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 1005
RUEHCN/AMCONSUL CHENGDU 1008
RUDKIA/AMCONSUL CHIANG MAI 0780
RHHMUNA/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS
RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA 2986
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 0649

C O N F I D E N T I A L RANGOON 000008 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR EAP/MLS; PACOM FOR FPA 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/03/2016 
TAGS: PGOV PHUM PINS BM
SUBJECT: THAIS PRESSURE KARENS TO TALK TO THE BURMESE 
 
REF: A. 06 RANGOON 1828 
 
     ¶B. 06 RANGOON 1065 
 
Classified By: Poloff Dean Tidwell for Reasons 1.4 (b) and (d) 
 
¶1.  (C) SUMMARY: Karen National Liberation Army sources claim 
the Thai military is pressuring it to engage in cease-fire 
talks with the Burmese regime.  The Karen say they will 
insist that the Burmese army pull back from areas where they 
have driven out Karen villagers and stop its human rights 
violations against Karen civilians.  The Karen are not 
optimistic and believe fighting would break out if talks 
fail.  END SUMMARY. 
 
¶2.  (C) Even before former Karen National Union leader 
General Bo Mya passed away on December 24 (ref A), the Thai 
military began pressuring Brigadier General Htay Maung of the 
Karen National Liberation Army's (KNLA) 7th Brigade to head a 
delegation to engage the Burmese regime in peace talks.  7th 
Brigade sources claimed the Thais offered the Karen lucrative 
trade deals and permanent residence in Thailand if the KNLA 
agreed to a cease-fire with the Burmese Army.  Htay Maung was 
uncertain why the Thais insisted that he head the delegation 
and not the Karen National Union's (KNU) General Secretary 
Pado Mahn Sha. 
 
¶3.  (C) Our source claims Htay Maung will make two demands of 
the Burmese Army: 1) It must withdraw its units from Karen 
areas occupied in the past year and allow Karen soldiers to 
protect local villagers there; and 2) it must stop human 
rights violations against innocent Karen civilians.  Htay 
Maung reportedly is not optimistic the Burmese will accept 
his terms, but says he will not compromise on these points. 
 
¶4.  (C) If peace talks fail, Htay Maung believes renewed 
fighting is inevitable.  Although KNLA forces are ready to 
defend themselves, KNLA sources report that after Thailand 
imposed martial law following the military coup, they have 
had difficulty procuring supplies and doubt the Thais would 
permit the Karen to replenish ammunition supplies if serious 
fighting breaks out. 
 
¶5.  (C) It is unclear if the Thais are also pressuring the 
Burmese Army to reach a settlement with the Karen. 
Lieutenant Colonel Myat Tun Oo, Burma's Military Security 
Affairs (MSA) liaison officer assigned to negotiate with the 
Karen, led the Burmese Army delegation to Bo Mya's funeral 
and likely met with Thai military counterparts.  Karen 
sources in Rangoon report that Myat Tun Oo held talks with 
Htay Maung earlier in 2006 (ref B). 
 
¶6.  (C) COMMENT: The Thai military and Htay Maung have 
maintained regular contact for decades and a degree of trust 
exists between them.  Htay Maung has already shown a 
predisposition to negotiate explaining why the Thai's prefer 
he take the lead in talks with the Burmese Army, rather than 
Pado Mahn Sha who may be more susceptible to pressure from 
various exile factions.  Unless Htay Maung consults closely 
with KNU colleagues while he negotiates with the Burmese 
Army, the fragile unity between the KNU and the KNLA may be 
severely tested.  END COMMENT. 
 
¶7.  (U) This cable has been coordinated with Embassy Bangkok. 
VILLAROSA

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Viewing cable 07RANGOON8, THAIS PRESSURE KARENS TO TALK TO THE BURMESE