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Viewing cable 09STOCKHOLM712, SWEDEN'S MENU FOR THE NOV. 16-7 SUPER GAERC

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09STOCKHOLM712 2009-11-12 13:24 2011-08-29 00:00 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Stockholm
VZCZCXRO6064
OO RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHNP RUEHROV RUEHSL RUEHSR
DE RUEHSM #0712/01 3161324
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 121324Z NOV 09
FM AMEMBASSY STOCKHOLM
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4899
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 STOCKHOLM 000712 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/12/2019 
TAGS: PREL PGOV EUN RU AF IS SW
SUBJECT: SWEDEN'S MENU FOR THE NOV. 16-7 SUPER GAERC 
 
Classified By: DCM Robert Silverman for reasons 1.4 (B) & (D). 
 
1. (C) Summary: On November 11, Deputy EU Correspondent Jonas 
Wendel discussed November 16-7 Super GAERC points with Acting 
PolCouns.  Highlights include: improving EU-NATO cooperation; 
deciding on a way forward with Russia; preparing for the 
EU-Ukraine Summit; extending sanctions on Belarus; improving 
the civilian capacity of the ESDP; taking stock of 
Israeli-Palestinian talks; helping Kai Eide in Afghanistan; 
and phasing out OHR and Althea in Bosnia.  End Summary. 
 
EU-NATO Over Cocktails 
---------------------- 
 
2. (SBU) The GAERC will kick off on Monday night, according 
to the new Bildt Format.  The foreign ministers first will 
hold a 90 minute discussion on EU-NATO relations with NATO 
Secretary General Anders Rasmussen.  Wendel said this is the 
first time the Secretary General has met with the FMs in this 
format.  Main topics are to include broad security challenges 
and how to increase EU-NATO cooperation and maximize benefits 
from collective resources; Afghanistan will be used as a good 
case study. 
 
Russia's Watery Borscht 
----------------------- 
 
3. (C) At the dinner, FMs will have a brainstorming 
discussion on Russia, as is traditional for each EU 
presidency, said Wendel.  The EU-Russia Summit will not be an 
item (septel).  Instead, the FMs will focus on the EU's 
long-term strategy for engagement, including a working group 
paper on the impact of the economic crisis on Russian 
domestic politics and littoral relations.  Russia's relations 
with the Southern Caucasus is on the agenda, but the North 
Caucasus is a sensitive issue for certain Member States and 
will likely not be mentioned.  Wendel said the EU-Russia 
bilateral is still off the tracks and there is internal 
division over what to do.  Sweden wants a relationship based 
on common values, but such is missing between the EU and 
Russia.  Any new EU-Russia agreement will be "very 
difficult", said Wendel.  The Russians only want "bits and 
pieces" of a bilat, such as visa liberalization and trade, 
ignoring human rights and freedom of expression, which are 
important to the EU.  There is doubt that Russia really is 
interested in improving the bilat with the EU.  No 
conclusions will be made. 
 
Ukraine: Political Piroshkis 
---------------------------- 
 
4. (C) The first session on Tuesday will focus on preparing 
for the EU-Ukraine Summit December 4, in Stockholm.  Energy 
issues are high on the agenda, and Ukraine wants to discuss 
visa liberalization.  While the Swedes support discussing 
this, other big Member States (including Germany) do not. 
Bildt will gauge the general interest and will begin 
preparations for a dialogue only if he thinks there is 
sufficient support.  In the long-term, Sweden sees the 
Ukraine as an EU member, but countries such as Germany want 
to avoid any possibility of future enlargement and are 
therefore against further integration of non-EU states. 
Bildt will push as much as he can, said Wendel, but the 
Swedes cannot predict the outcome.  The Member States will 
agree on a key message to send to the Ukrainian leadership 
ahead of the elections; the tone will be of "personal 
politics is unacceptable." 
 
Belarus: Black Market Vodka 
--------------------------- 
 
5. (SBU) They EU will both extend the sanctions on Belarus 
and prolong their suspension until October 2010.  If all 
Member States agree to the statement's text, sanctions may 
only be an A Item.  But there is a chance, Wendel said, that 
Britain or the Netherlands will be unsatisfied and therefore 
take the floor to make a statement on human rights violations. 
 
Somalia: Pirate Rations 
----------------------- 
 
6. (SBU) The Atalanta Mission is on the agenda of both the 
FMs and Defense Ministers.  The French are pushing for a new 
training mission to support the government in Mogadishu. 
Sweden, among many others including Britain, think it is too 
early to pull out troops from Mogadishu and replace them with 
a training mission.  The internal divide is so strong, Wendel 
said, that the likely outcome of the discussion will be to 
delay a decision and conclusions and revisit the topic in 
December or in early 2010. 
 
ESDP: Bildt's Dessert 
--------------------- 
 
STOCKHOLM 00000712  002 OF 002 
 
 
 
7. (SBU) ESDP's civilian capacity will he discussed.  FM 
Bildt put this on the agenda as a way to raise EUPOL, 
according to Wendel.  At the September GAERC, Bildt 
threatened that "heads will roll" if each Member State did 
not seriously work to increase contributions.  Wendel said a 
combination of political resistance and practical 
difficulties have prevented the EU from meeting its pledged 
400 EUPOL staff.  Many FMs need the support of their 
respective Ministries of Justice to commit more.  There will 
be a large set of conclusions, about 20-30 pages, dealing 
mostly with the concept of ESDP and a listing of specific 
missions.  An annex to the conclusions, "ESDP at 10", was 
penned by Bildt and, according to Wendel, is of more 
substantive importance than the conclusions themselves.  The 
annex is Sweden's "imprint" on the ESDP and Bildt wants to 
publicize the paper and use it as a mandate for future action 
and/or as a "gift" to the new HREA. 
 
Israel and Palestine: No Meat 
----------------------------- 
 
8. (SBU) Due to recent events in Israel and Palestine, 
including Netanyahu's meeting with the President and Abbas' 
threat to resign, the morning session will kick off with a 
discussion of the Middle East will be a "taking stock 
exercise" including how to support the Palestinian Authority. 
 The EU will wait until after the next Quartet meeting and a 
possible trip by Bildt to the region before issuing 
conclusions, so the topic will reemerge in December. 
 
Afghanistan: Hold the Poppyseeds 
-------------------------------- 
 
9. (SBU) The FMs and Development Ministers will convene 
before lunch on Tuesday to discuss Afghanistan. Carl Bildt 
invited UN Special Representative, Kai Eide, to give a "broad 
expose of practical challenges to everyday life in 
Afghanistan."  He will highlight what needs to be done and 
then the Ministers will discuss how it can better meet the 
needs of the Afghans.  The Development Ministers will issue 
Council Conclusions on how to use democracy building to 
influence political outcome. 
 
Bosnia: Still Waiting for Kebabs 
-------------------------------- 
 
10. (C) After lunch, the FMs will meet with Deputy Supreme 
Allied Commander of Europe, General McColl, to look at the 
future of Bosnia.  The tone of the discussion will be largely 
influenced by the outcome of the tripartite meeting of Bosnia 
leaders and the November 11 PSC meeting.  All EU Member 
States agree that the Office of the High Representative (OHR) 
needs to be phased out, but division remains over what should 
be done with the Althea Mission.  The EU needs to decide if 
Althea should be phased out when the OHR is phased out, or if 
a separate deadline for phase out should be made.  McColl is 
concerned that Althea will no longer be able to perform its 
mission in early 2010, when Spain withdraws early.  No 
conclusions will be given.  If the tripartite meeting goes 
well, the Swedes might issue a political statement supporting 
the outcome.  If the PSC ambassadors can agree on a way 
forward, then political language will be introduced into the 
ESDP conclusions. 
BARZUN