VZCZCXYZ0001
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHIN #1250/01 2940956
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 210956Z OCT 09
FM AIT TAIPEI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2520
INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 9442
RUEHHK/AMCONSUL HONG KONG 0856

UNCLAS AIT TAIPEI 001250 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/TC, EAP/P, EAP/PD - THOMAS HAMM 
DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: U.S.-CHINA-TAIWAN RELATIONS 
 
¶1. Summary:  Taiwan's major Chinese-language dailies focused news 
coverage October 21 on the controversy revolving around the Taiwan 
government's plan to impose energy taxes two years from now; on the 
Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) that Taiwan is 
planning to sign with China; and on an unmanned aerial vehicle 
developed by the National Cheng Kung University.  Almost all major 
Chinese-language papers reported on the speech by U.S. Assistant 
Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Kurt Campbell at a 
seminar on Monday, in which he talked about the United States' 
commitments to Taiwan. 
 
¶2. In terms of editorials and commentaries, a column in the 
pro-independence "Liberty Times" discussed President Ma Ying-jeou's 
recent interview with Reuters, in which he said he would not exclude 
the possibility of meeting with Chinese President Hu Jintao.  The 
article lambasted Ma and said Ma's scheme is to sell out Taiwan by 
fostering the island's unification with China.  An editorial in the 
KMT-leaning, China-focused "Want Daily," however, said that the 
political dialogue between Ma and Hu is unavoidable and urged Ma to 
ponder how his administration can talk with China to serve Taiwan's 
best interests.  An editorial in the conservative, pro-unification, 
English-language "China Post" discussed a recent report in 
Thursday's "Washington Times," which went nearly unnoticed by 
Taiwan's media and politicians, saying that the authority to approve 
sales of sensitive U.S. missiles and space technology has now been 
transferred from the White House to the Commerce Department.  The 
article said the move "is widely expected to result in new sales of 
highly sensitive American technology that will help Beijing improve 
the accuracy and efficiency of its growing force of guided 
missiles."  End summary. 
 
A) "A Solemn Warning for Ma Ying-jeou!" 
 
The "Free Talk" column in the pro-independence "Liberty Times" 
[circulation: 680,000] wrote (10/21): 
 
"... Ma Ying-jeou claimed that 'there is no timetable' for his 
meeting with [Chinese President] Hu Jintao, in an attempt to 
diminish the Taiwan people's doubts and backlash.  But in reality, 
his remark has all the more exposed his scheme to push for 
[Taiwan's] unification [with China], because no timetable can also 
mean that '[the meeting] can be held anytime;' as long as the KMT 
and the Chinese Communist Party believe they can effectively 
suppress the strong backlash from the Taiwan people, they will 
likely go right ahead to hold the meeting. 
 
"Judging from Ma's impatience in wanting to sign an Economic 
Cooperation Framework Agreement with China, his move to toss off to 
China the united front topic of [negotiating] a peace agreement, and 
his constant flirting with China, it is obvious that Ma's thinking 
has been completely dominated by the ideology of 'China first.'  As 
long as there is a way to foster ultimate unification, Ma will try 
his utmost to promote it, even to the extent of dreaming crazily of 
getting a Nobel Peace Prize award. ..." 
 
B) "Political Dialogue between Ma Ying-jeou and Hu Jintao Is 
Unavoidable" 
 
The KMT-leaning, China-focused "Want Daily" [circulation: 10,000] 
editorialized (10/21): 
 
"... On the other hand, when the Bush administration established the 
missile defense system in Europe in the name of coping with Iran, it 
was actually a move in concert with the eastward expansion of NATO 
to isolate Russia.  The Obama administration has now renounced the 
plan to set up a missile defense system in Eastern Europe and has 
shifted its focus to Asia.  Evidently [Washington's] move is aimed 
at the rise of China.  Beijing surely will endure tremendous 
pressure, so it is in desperate need of peaceful and stable 
cross-Strait relations.  Given all these factors, the various 
political issues concerning both sides of the Taiwan Strait have 
gradually emerged since early this year. 
 
"Taipei's 'cold' attitude in dealing with Beijing's offer of rescue 
assistance in the wake of Typhoon Morakot, and the fact that it was 
Ma himself who approved the visit by the Dalai Lama to Taiwan to 
offer blessings [to the typhoon victims] have made Beijing all the 
more convinced of the necessity of political dialogue [across the 
Taiwan Strait].  [Beijing] hopes that both sides of the Taiwan 
Strait can reach some kind of political commitment during Ma's first 
term of office, which is at least sufficient to restrain the DPP, 
should it come back to power, from walking toward the road of Taiwan 
independence or from hindering cross-Strait stability. 
 
"Beijing reportedly believes that with such a political guarantee, 
even if the DPP comes back to power and repudiates the policy made 
by the Ma administration, it will at least look like it is Taiwan 
that has gone back on its word, and should any conflicts happen 
between the two sides, Beijing will not be held responsible.  In 
 
other words, Beijing has prepared itself for the worst scenario just 
to force Taipei into having political dialogue. ..  For the Ma 
administration, what it should be pondering now is not how to 
procrastinate on the cross-Strait political dialogue (including the 
Ma-Hu meeting), but how it can talk with Beijing so as to serve the 
best interests of Taiwan and in the meantime contribute to the 
peaceful rise of China.  In this vein, Beijing is expected to 
respond [to Taiwan] with its best intentions." 
 
C) "Missile Threat out of Washington?" 
 
The conservative, pro-unification, English-language "China Post" 
[circulation: 30,000] editorialized (10/21): 
 
"Over the past two weeks, leaders of the opposition Democratic 
Progressive Party have made a huge cry over the growing threat 
caused by the ever-increasing number of missiles and high-technology 
weapons in Beijing's arsenal. ...  For all of the noise they have 
been making and alarms they have been sounding, DPP politicians have 
completely missed the boat when it comes to raising public concern 
about the military threat from mainland China.  That's because as 
things turned out, the gravest threat to our defense from Beijing's 
missiles has emerged not in Beijing, but in Washington.  According 
to a report published in Thursday's Washington Times, U.S. President 
Barack Obama recently delegated the White House's authority to 
approve sales of sensitive U.S. missile and space technology to the 
Commerce Department. ... 
 
"The move is widely expected to result in new sales of highly 
sensitive American technology that will help Beijing improve the 
accuracy and efficiency of its growing force of guided missiles. 
The Commerce Department has insisted that any proposed sales will be 
closely screened just as they were when authority was still with the 
White House.  But the fact of the matter is that now that this power 
has been transferred to the Commerce Department, security experts 
and advisers working in the White House will no longer play a 
meaningful role in reviewing the sales.  The Department of Commerce, 
which is more concerned with boosting U.S. exports and creating 
jobs, will take over the task of evaluating whether such sales would 
improve Beijing's military capabilities.  Taiwan's security is not a 
major issue in this department. ... 
 
"In Taipei, the Ministry of Defense should explain whether the 
government here was ever consulted by Washington about this 
important decision affecting our national security.  It is the job 
of the military attach to our de facto embassy in Washington to 
keep an eye on this kind of development and ensure that our opinions 
are heard.  If we were consulted about the decision and President 
Obama made it in spite of our recommendations, then there is nothing 
more the government here could have done. ...  But for all of the 
connections they boast of having in Washington, including a 
top-notch pro-Taiwan independence lobbying organization, the DPP has 
failed to warn the public about the great danger associated with 
reopening U.S. sales of sensitive missile and space technologies to 
mainland China.  Indeed, this important policy change only came to 
light after it appeared in a single American newspaper.  Now that 
the decision has been made, it is highly unlikely that anything 
Taiwan has to say can put this cat back into the bag." 
 
STANTON