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Viewing cable 09TOKYO1361, JAPANESE MORNING PRESS HIGHLIGHTS 06/17/09

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09TOKYO1361 2009-06-17 02:55 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO0488
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #1361/01 1680255
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 170255Z JUN 09
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3787
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/USFJ //J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 6960
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 4629
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 8432
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 2197
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 5155
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 9888
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 5919
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 5625
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 14 TOKYO 001361 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
 
SUBJECT: JAPANESE MORNING PRESS HIGHLIGHTS 06/17/09 
 
Index: 
1) Top headlines 
2) Editorials 
3) Prime Minister's daily schedule  (Nikkei) 
 
Defense and security affairs: 
4) Signs that North Korea readying to fire another Taepodong-2 
ballistic missile has Japan worried  (Sankei) 
5) Government reveals draft of special measures law that include 
ship searches and supplying foreign vessels  (Asahi) 
6) Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) cautious about having law that 
allows ship searches  (Asahi) 
7) Former defense chief Koike quits Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 
committee on base affairs in protest of wording about no preemptive 
strike capability  (Tokyo Shimbun) 
8) Koike concerned that removing possibility of preemptive strike 
capability would weaken Japan's defense options  (Sankei) 
9) Government adopts additional set of sanctions against North Korea 
 (Yomiuri) 
10) Lawsuit to require government to release document(s) with 
"secret agreement" between Japan and U.S. on Okinawa reversion 
(1972) finds a sympathetic judge  (Asahi) 
 
Political agenda: 
11) His popularity plummeting in the poll, Prime Minister Aso seems 
to have no way to fight back and recover earlier momentum  (Tokyo 
Shimbun) 
12) Political parties are rapidly preparing for the next Lower House 
election, with many hoping that it will be called sooner rather than 
later  (Nikkei) 
13) LDP shaken by the erosion of Cabinet support in the polls, with 
some saying Aso should step down if the party does badly in the July 
Tokyo assembly election  (Nikkei) 
14) Senior LDP member suggest Prime Minister's litmus test will be 
Tokyo election (Asahi) 
 
15) JICA to restart financing overseas development projects this 
fall  (Asahi) 
 
16) Japan to put efforts into mining undersea mineral resources in 
nearby waters  (Nikkei) 
 
17) One year after Japan, China reached agreement on joint 
development of gas fields in waters between the two countries, all 
movement has stopped  (Asahi) 
 
18) Government reveals draft of "big-boned" economic policy 
guidelines for 2009  (Mainichi) 
 
Articles: 
 
1) TOP HEADLINES 
 
Asahi: 
Iranian authorities refuse revote; Unrest spreading across country 
 
Mainichi: 
Iran ready for recount in face of massive protests 
 
Yomiuri: 
Local farm ministry branches hold 1,400 union meetings for 3 years 
during office hours 
 
TOKYO 00001361  002 OF 014 
 
 
 
Nikkei: 
Finance Ministry to preferentially allocate social security budget 
in fiscal 2010 
 
Sankei: 
North Korea preparing to launch Taepodong-2 at Musudanri 
 
Tokyo Shimbun: 
U.S. to provide South Korea with nuclear umbrella against North 
Korea; Lee, Obama confirm enhanced alliance 
 
Akahata: 
7,309 public elementary and junior high school building at risk of 
collapsing in powerful earthquake 
 
2) EDITORIALS 
 
Asahi: 
(1) Government urged to end municipal mergers and move on 
(2) Sense of security requires a clear path 
 
Mainichi: 
(1) Secure society report insufficient 
(2) Municipal mergers to end 
 
Yomiuri: 
(1) Aso must act to resolve Nishikawa issue 
(2) Ship inspection special measures law must be enacted speedily 
 
Nikkei: 
(1) Iran in turmoil 
(2) Municipal mergers must go hand in hand with decentralization 
 
Sankei: 
(1) Will ship inspection legislation function without SDF? 
(2) Bloodshed in Iran must end 
 
Tokyo Shimbun: 
(1) International community must stop North Korea's reckless acts 
(2) Hiroshima reformatory instructors arrested 
 
Akahata: 
(1) Specific steps must be spelled out for a secure society 
 
3) Prime Minister's Official Residence (Kantei) 
 
Prime Minister's schedule, June 16 
 
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
09:00 Attended cabinet meeting in the Diet building. Internal 
Affairs and Communications Minister Sato remained. 
09:16 Met with Chief Cabinet Secretary Kawamura and Environment 
Minister Saito. Kawamura remained. 
10:00 Met at Kantei with Cabinet Office International Peace 
Cooperation Headquarters Chief of Secretariat Takada, followed by 
METI Vice Minister Mochizuki. 
11:32 Taped a video for a general meeting of the National Federation 
of Small Business Associations. 
12:54 Attended meeting of LDP Lower House members in the Diet 
 
TOKYO 00001361  003 OF 014 
 
 
building. Policy Research Council Chairman Hori remained. Met with 
Shimamura, special advisor to the LDP president. 
13:05 Attended Lower House plenary session. 
13:48 Returned to Kantei. 
15:02 Met with Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Asano. 
16:05 Met with Yoshihiro Katayama, vice chairman of the regional 
system Research commission. Met later with Azerbaijan Foreign 
Affairs Minister Mammadyarov. 
17:45 Met with Kawamura. 
18:41 Attended meeting of the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy. 
Kawamura and Sato remained. 
19:44 Met with METI Minister Nikai at Japanese restaurant Yamazato 
in Hotel Okura. 
22:16 Returned to his official residential quarters. 
 
4) N. Korea preparing to launch Taepodong 2 
 
SANKEI (Top play) (Abridged) 
June 17, 2009 
 
North Korea is preparing to launch a long-range ballistic missile at 
a site in its northwestern region and at another site in its 
northeastern region, sources revealed yesterday. The two missiles 
are believed to be Taepodong-2 or advanced versions of Taepodong-2. 
Meanwhile, North Korea is also preparing to launch an 
intermediate-range ballistic missile in its southeastern region. The 
Defense Ministry also presumes that the North will shortly launch a 
new short-range ballistic missile. The ministry has decided to step 
up the Self-Defense Forces' radar warning and has also decided to 
ready the SDF to intercept missiles should the situation become 
imminent. The ministry is planning to deploy Patriot Advanced 
Capability 3 (PAC-3) surface-to-air guided missiles in the Tokyo 
metropolitan area and in the Kansai region. 
 
In the run-up to missile launches, equipment for long-range 
ballistic missiles was confirmed to have been loaded into a freight 
train in late May at a munitions factory located near Pyongyang. 
South Korea's news media reported all at once that the missile 
equipment has arrived at a newly built missile site located in 
Dongchang-ri in the northwestern North Korean province of North 
Pyongan. 
 
There are also signs indicating that long-range ballistic missile 
materials were also carried to a missile site located in Musudan-ri 
in the northeastern North Korean province of North Hamkyong, 
according to findings from the Japanese government's analysis and 
other sources. The government believes that North Korea is 
concurrently preparing to launch missiles at the Dongchang-ri and 
Musudan-ri sites. 
 
In order to drop a warhead or booster in international waters, North 
Korea will likely launch a long-range ballistic missile from 
Musudan-ri. That missile, after being launched, is expected to pass 
across over Japan's northeastern districts like the one launched in 
April. The other long-range ballistic missile being prepared at 
Dongchang-ri is highly likely to be launched to the south, possibly 
passing through over the Sakishima Shoto archipelago of islands. 
However, there is no knowing if the missile will be launched in that 
direction. 
 
Some Japanese government officials surmise that the ongoing 
preparations at Musudan-ri or Dongchang-ri are dummy activities for 
 
TOKYO 00001361  004 OF 014 
 
 
a feint operation intended to confuse Japanese and U.S. intelligence 
gathering activities. However, the Defense Ministry is considering 
counteractions, assuming that North Korea will launch missiles from 
both sites. Earlier this week, the SDF switched its ground-based 
FPS-5 and FPS-3 radar to ballistic detection mode. 
 
In order to intercept ballistic missiles with the missile defense 
system, an Aegis-equipped destroyer of the Maritime Self-Defense 
Force, loaded with Standard Missile 3 (SM-3) sea-based intercept 
missiles, will be staged in the Sea of Japan. However, the focus of 
concern, as in April, is on where to mobilize PAC-3 missiles. Last 
time, North Korea announced the ballistic missile's flight course, 
and the SDF deployed PAC-3 batteries in the Tokyo metropolitan area 
and the northeastern districts. 
 
This time, North Korea is expected to make no announcement. The 
government will therefore be called upon to make an even more 
difficult judgment. However, the Defense Ministry will likely plan 
to move out the PAC-3 batteries to the metropolitan area and the 
Kansai region. 
 
5) Special legislation incorporates fueling for foreign forces 
 
ASAHI (Page 1) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
The United Nations Security Council has now adopted a resolution of 
sanctions incorporating cargo inspections on the high seas for ships 
to and from North Korea. In the wake of this move, the government 
and the ruling parties are going to present a bill to the Diet 
during the current session for a special measures law to inspect 
ships related to North Korea. The draft bill stipulates ship 
inspections to be conducted by the Japan Coast Guard or the 
Self-Defense Forces. In addition, it incorporates the SDF's 
rear-echelon support for foreign forces. 
 
The current ship inspections law is premised on recognizing 
"emergencies in the neighborhood of Japan" that will have a serious 
influence on the peace and security of Japan. The government does 
not regard the present situation as a neighboring emergency or 
contingency, so the draft bill bases the ship inspections and other 
relevant bills on the U.N. resolution. However, the bill, if enacted 
into law, will enable the SDF to engage in such activities as ship 
inspections and rear logistics like those that will be conducted in 
the event of regional contingencies in the periphery of Japan. 
 
According to the draft bill, the SDF will conduct rear support 
activities in Japan's "territorial waters or in international waters 
around Japan," where the SDF will carry out refueling and personnel 
transportation. The SDF is expected to conducting underway 
replenishment or seaborne refueling services like those conducted by 
the SDF in the Indian Ocean for U.S. and other foreign naval 
vessels. These activities preclude providing weaponry and 
ammunition. 
 
Meanwhile, the JCG or the SDF will conduct ship inspections at the 
prime minister's judgment and will inspect ships to check their 
cargoes with consent from their countries and their skippers. 
Inspected ships, if loaded with contrabands like missile-related 
materials, will be asked to alter course. These activities will be 
restricted to Japan's territorial waters or the high seas around 
Japan and will be clearly differentiated from the area of foreign 
 
TOKYO 00001361  005 OF 014 
 
 
naval activities, according to the draft bill. 
 
Upon conducting these activities, the prime minister will call a 
cabinet meeting to adopt a masterplan that specifies ship 
inspections and rear support. The draft bill stipulates that the 
Diet is to give ex post facto approval and that the government is to 
ask the Diet for its approval within 20 days after the start of 
activities. The use of weapons is allowed for legitimate 
self-defense or emergency evacuation only. 
 
The ruling parties will likely decide today to set up a project 
team, which will begin next week to put the finishing touches on the 
draft bill. However, if the bill is before the Diet, the House of 
Representatives' current membership will end Sept. 10. It is 
therefore unclear whether the bill will clear the Diet. 
 
6) DPJ cautious about North Korean ship inspection law 
 
ASAHI (Page 4) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
There is a growing opinion in the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) 
that favors a cautious response to a bill on sanctions against North 
Korea, which the government and ruling parties are looking into 
submitting to the current Diet session. The DPJ predicts that Prime 
Minister Taro Aso is trying to expose differences in views on 
security policy in the party by presenting such a bill. However, the 
DPJ has yet to look into counterproposals. 
 
Immediately after North Korea's nuclear test, the DPJ's foreign 
affairs and defense council proposed the need for a new law, prior 
to the government taking action. However, the directors of the panel 
in a meeting yesterday went no further than to confirm that the DPJ 
would come up with a view on legal improvements in cargo inspections 
on ships going in and out of North Korea, while watching the 
government's response. This is because Aso has remarked that his 
government will submit the bill as means of testing the DPJ's 
capability of assuming the political reins, since the disclosure of 
the move to submit the bill by the government-ruling coalition. DPJ 
President Yukio Hatoyama stressed at a press conference yesterday: 
"We will not give carte blanche. It depends on the content." He 
feels that if the Self-Defense Forces (SDF) is responsible for ship 
inspections, it will be difficult for his party to reach a 
consensus. Therefore, he said: "If the Japan Coast Guard takes on 
the mission, there will be a possibility that our party can 
approve." 
 
7) Koike to resign as military base panel chairperson in protest 
over moderated expression on preemptive strikes 
 
T OKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
In a meeting of the Liberal Democratic Party's Executive Council 
yesterday, Yuriko Koike said she will resign as chairperson of the 
party's Special Committee on Military Bases. The expression on 
possession of a capability to strike enemy bases - inserted in a 
report with recommendations for an outline of defense policy 
produced by a subcommittee of the party's National Defense Division 
- was rewritten to a more moderate one. In protest over the change, 
Koike decided to resign from the post. 
 
 
TOKYO 00001361  006 OF 014 
 
 
The report specified Japan's possession of an enemy base strike 
capability to counter North Korea's missile and nuclear threats. But 
reflecting complaints from party members who once served as defense 
agency director general or defense minister, the report added this 
proviso: "Japan will not launch a preventive/preemptive attack." 
 
Koike criticized the proviso yesterday, remarking: "Japan will be 
caught in its own trap. Its deterrent capability will be 
undermined." 
 
8) Koike resigns as LDP base issues committee chair in protest of 
"consideration for neighboring countries" restricting defense 
policy 
 
SANKEI (Page 5) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
Former Defense Minister Yuriko Koike of the Liberal Democratic Party 
(LDP) told reporters at the party headquarters that she had resigned 
as chair of the party's special committee on base issues. This was 
in protest of the inclusion of the passage that Japan will not make 
"preventive preemptive strikes" in the recommendation presented by 
the joint meeting of the LDP defense-related divisions to Prime 
Minister Taro Aso (LDP president) on the "possession of the 
capability to attack enemy bases." 
 
This passage was included in the drafting process because a meeting 
of former Defense Agency directors general and defense ministers 
heeded the opinion of former Vice President Taku Yamasaki and others 
that Japan "should not arouse any misunderstanding from other 
countries." Attacking enemy bases is a type of "preemptive strike" 
within the scope of international law, the Constitution, and the 
exclusively defensive policy. On the other hand, "preventive 
preemptive strike" refers to attacking an enemy that does not 
represent an imminent threat but may become an intolerable threat if 
left alone. This is illegal under international law and had not been 
the assumption of the recommendation. 
 
In response to Sankei Shimbun's query, Koike said: "We tie our hands 
with an exclusively defensive policy and further tie our hands with 
the passage on 'preventive preemptive strike.' They only talk about 
restrictions. Is it right that we continue to restrict Japan's 
defense policy? We give consideration to our neighbors but they 
don't give any consideration to us." 
 
9) Government decides on additional sanctions on North Korea 
 
YOMIURI (Page 2) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
The government formally decided on June 16 to enforce a complete ban 
on exports to North Korea as Japan's own additional sanction on this 
country after circulating the draft resolution among cabinet 
ministers. It also decided on reinforcing control on travels by 
Korean and other foreign residents in Japan to and from the DPRK. 
This is in reaction to North Korea's nuclear tests and ballistic 
missile launches and its refusal to take any concrete action toward 
resolving the abduction issue. 
 
The export ban will take effect from June 18 to April 13, 2010, 
while the travel ban will take effect immediately and will be 
enforced indefinitely. 
 
TOKYO 00001361  007 OF 014 
 
 
 
At a news conference on June 16, Chief Cabinet Secretary Takeo 
Kawamura issued a statement on the sanctions against North Korea. He 
said: "If (North Korea) takes concrete action toward the resolution 
of the pending issues, including the abduction, nuclear, and missile 
issues, all or some of the sanctions will be suspended. We ask that 
it take such action promptly." 
 
Since the ballistic missile launches in 2006, Japan has imposed 
sanctions on the DPRK, including a ban on imports. With the latest 
additional sanctions, trade between the two countries, both imports 
and exports, will be completely banned. 
 
The travel ban is aimed at making the Korean residents in Japan, who 
have close links with the DPRK, abide by Japan's sanctions. 
Specifically, if found guilty of violating the sanctions, (1) 
re-entry of foreign residents of Japan who have traveled to North 
Korea will not be allowed; and (2) foreign seamen will not be 
allowed to embark. 
 
List of Japan's sanctions on North Korea 
(first two are sanctions newly added) 
 
-- Complete ban on exports 
-- Foreign seamen violating the sanctions will be refused 
embarkation in principle, and foreign residents violating the 
sanctions who have traveled to the DPRK will be refused re-entry in 
principle. 
-- Lowering the amount of fund transfer to North Korea requiring 
reporting from 30 million to 10 million yen 
-- Lowering the amount of cash taken to North Korea requiring 
reporting from 1 million to 300,000 yen 
-- Ban on port calls by all North Korean ships 
-- Complete ban on imports 
-- Ban on entry of North Korean citizens in principle 
-- Ban on chartered flights between Japan and North Korea 
-- Suspension of travel by Japanese civil servants to North Korea in 
principle and call for voluntary restraint by private travelers 
-- Strict export control for the non-proliferation of missiles and 
nuclear weapons 
 
10) Tokyo judge asks government to give reasons for claiming secret 
agreement during Okinawa's reversion does not exist 
 
ASAHI (Page 31) (Abridged) 
June 17, 2009 
 
In the court case on information disclosure in relation to the 
"secret agreement" said to have been exchanged between Japan and the 
United States at the time of Okinawa's reversion to Japanese 
administration in 1972, Chief Justice Norihiko Sugihara of the Tokyo 
District Court told the government's representatives on June 16 that 
they "need to give a rational explanation of the reason" for 
claiming that the government "does not possess such documents," 
asking them to do so at the next hearing. This is an unusual order 
by a judge putting the responsibility to explain on the defendant, 
the government. 
 
The Japanese government has consistently denied the existence of the 
secret agreement despite the fact that diplomatic documents 
attesting to this agreement were made public on the U.S. side. The 
government's stance will be called into question again through this 
 
TOKYO 00001361  008 OF 014 
 
 
litigation. 
 
The 25 plaintiffs in this case include writer Hisae Sawachi and 
Rikkyo University lecturer Keiichi Katsura. They had requested the 
disclosure of documents on the Japanese side last September based on 
the Information Disclosure Law. However, the government's response 
was: "The archives were searched but there has been no evidence of 
such documents being written or obtained. They were also not found 
in the records of documents destroyed or transferred." They filed a 
lawsuit in March. 
 
11) Aso finds no chance to rally, beset on all sides 
 
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
Seeing the recent sharp drop of public support ratings of the 
cabinet, members of the Prime Minister's Office supporting Prime 
Minister Aso are getting more desperate, but they remain unable to 
find a way to turn the tables. 
 
Chief Cabinet Secretary Takeo Kawamura yesterday called on Yoshiro 
Mori and Yasuo Fukuda, both of whom have served as prime minister, 
at their offices and received advice from them about government 
administration. 
 
Mori criticized Aso's replacement of Internal Affairs and 
Communications Minister Kunio Hatoyama over the reappointment of 
Yoshifumi Nishikawa as president of Japan Post Holdings Co., 
remarking: "I was worried that the situation could develop this 
way." Mori had suggested that both Hatoyama and Nishikawa should be 
dismissed. In the meeting with Mori, Kawamura became fully aware of 
how fiercely many Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) members have 
reacted to Aso. Fukuda, too, just said: "If he continues to perform 
his duty patiently as he has done so far, I think he will be able to 
get public understanding." 
 
Kawamura visited LDP members who once served as prime minister and 
factional chiefs when cabinet support ratings plunged in December of 
last year, but he failed to assuage growing criticism of Aso. The 
practice of visiting influential party members in an unmanageable 
situation is to show that the Prime Minister's Office has no 
settlement means. 
 
Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Minister Shigeru Ishiba 
commented: "Many members have said that the dismissal (of Hatoyama) 
was improper." Other cabinet members have also voiced 
dissatisfaction at Aso's decision. But Aso has no plan to give an 
explanation of why he made the decision and intends to allow 
Nishikawa to stay on. 
 
In the Prime Minister's Office, a close aide to Aso, while looking 
askance at Kawamura's efforts, desperately said: "It is 
inconceivable that cabinet support rate will go up sharply during 
his remaining term of office, which is drawing to an end." 
 
12) Active election preparations underway; DPJ confirms campaign 
cooperative system; LDP rushing to open campaign offices 
 
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Abridged) 
June 17, 2009 
 
 
TOKYO 00001361  009 OF 014 
 
 
The ruling parties began gearing up yesterday for House of 
Representatives dissolution for the next general election. This is 
because support ratings for the cabinet of Prime Minister Taro Aso 
further dropped in many public opinion surveys and also because 
there is a growing view that Aso, alarmed at a move to unseat him, 
might dissolve the Lower House ahead of the July 12 Tokyo assembly 
election. But a cautious view remains in the Liberal Democratic 
Party (LDP) that an early dissolution would be suicidal in the face 
of the major opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), which is in 
a mood of an all-out battle. 
 
DPJ President Yukio Hatoyama revealed this view to reporters 
yesterday: "If Prime Minister Aso wants to dissolve the chamber 
himself, we think that would happen in the next two weeks." Deputy 
President Ichiro Ozawa, too, made the following comment at a press 
conference in Nagoya: "There are 50-50 or 40-60 chances for the 
prime minister to dissolve the Lower House later this month or early 
next month, respectively." 
 
The Diet is heading toward the enactment of key bills, including 
antipiracy legislation, on June 19 and the settlement of the 
remaining budget-related bills by June 26. If the Prime Minister 
dissolves the chamber by early July, chances will grow for an 
election in early August. At an executive meeting yesterday, 
Hatoyama ordered the formulation of the party's manifesto (campaign 
pledges) by July 2. 
 
After much difficulty, the DPJ determined yesterday its official 
candidate for the Lower House Aichi No. 1 district. The party also 
formally decided on its official candidate for the July 5 Shizuoka 
gubernatorial election. Hatoyama met yesterday with the People's New 
Party representative Tamisuke Watanuki and chairman Yoshifumi Tsuge 
of the postal policy study group composed of members of the National 
Postmasters Association and confirmed election cooperation under the 
new system. The DPJ will also accelerate local stumping tours with 
executives, such as Tsuyoshi Takagi, president of Rengo (Japanese 
Trade Union Confederation), the DPJ's support organization. 
 
In the DPJ, there is an observation that voters will continue to 
place its hopes on the Hatoyama leadership for three months at the 
longest. That is partially why the party is inclined toward an early 
dissolution. Some in the LDP think that an early dissolution would 
only please the DPJ. Even so, unable to project future developments, 
the LDP has to brace for the next general election. 
 
Prime Minister Aso's local office has begun making preparations for 
opening several campaign offices in Fukuoka No. 8 district that 
includes Iizuka. Secretary General Hiroyuki Hosoda, too, intends to 
resume activities by July 1 of his campaign office in his home turf 
of Shimane No. 1 district. 
 
The LDP finished last fall determining its official candidates for 
all single-seat constituencies except for Tochigi No. 3, which is 
represented by former Administrative Reform Minister Yoshimi 
Watanabe, who has left the party. The LDP leadership is now having 
difficulty finding an attractive catchphrase to counter the DPJ's 
slogan of a change of government. 
 
13) Fall in cabinet's public approval rates rattles LDP 
 
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
TOKYO 00001361  010 OF 014 
 
 
 
A sharp plunge in the support rates for the Aso cabinet has left the 
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) shocked and shaken. When asked about 
Prime Minister Taro Aso's active support for LDP candidates running 
in the Tokyo Metropolitan assembly election by a Nihon Keizai 
Shimbun reporter, a senior LDP member said last evening: "The Prime 
Minister has probably made up his mind." The LDP member hinted at 
the possibility that if the ruling bloc is defeated in the Tokyo 
election, the situation could develop into the question of whether 
Aso should leave office. The senior member referred for the first 
time to the possibility of Aso's resignation as prime minister. 
 
The Machimura faction in the LDP held yesterday a senior officials' 
meeting to exchange views on future political schedules. The view 
was raised that the cabinet should be shuffled before the next House 
of Representatives election. 
 
After the meeting, one member told reporters: "We simulated a 
political schedule until October." The participant hinted at the 
possibility of delaying the Lower House election to October after 
the terms of the Lower House members expire. Former Chief Cabinet 
Secretary Nobutaka Machimura, former Prime Ministers Yoshiro Mori 
and Shinzo Abe, and Nariaki Nakayama, former Land, infrastructure, 
and transport minister, attended the meeting. 
 
In a meeting yesterday of the LDP's Lower House members, 
Environment Parliamentary Secretary Sadahisa Furukawa criticized 
Aso's dismissal of Kunio Hatoyama as internal affairs and 
communications minister, noting: "Our party has definitely lost 
public confidence due to the Hatoyama problem this time." He even 
said: "In order to return to the origin of a conservative party, we 
should transfer power (to the opposition). This is the shortest way 
for our party to regain power," indicating the perception that the 
LDP should prepare for the situation where it would fall into the 
opposition. 
 
Aso, too, attended the meeting. Furukawa has close ties to Hatoyama. 
Some viewed that he urged Aso to step down from his post by using 
the expression the transfer of power. Aso later told the press 
corps: "I did not understand what kind of power should be 
transferred. I thought that young lawmakers were feeling the 
tension." 
 
14) Senior LDP member: If LDP defeated in Tokyo election, Prime 
Minister Aso's responsibility will be called into question 
 
ASAHI (Page 4) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
A Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) executive member said last evening 
regarding the Tokyo metropolitan assembly election on July 12: 
"Since Prime Minister Taro Aso has visited (candidates to give them 
encouragement), I think he has made up his mind (on what he will do) 
(if the LDP is defeated)." He indicated that if the LDP fails to 
secure the largest number of Lower House seats, the prime minister's 
responsibility will be called into question. He then said, "(Aso) 
should not go" to Shizuoka Prefecture to support the LDP-recommended 
candidate running in the Shizuoka gubernatorial election on July 5 
although Aso is eager to do so. 
 
15) JICA to resume overseas investment and financing project 
possibly this fall 
 
TOKYO 00001361  011 OF 014 
 
 
 
ASAHI (Page 5) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
The government in 2001 decided to end the Japan International 
Cooperation Agency's (JICA) overseas investment and financing 
projects, but it now has decided to resume such projects, possibly 
this fall. The decision has been included in the basic policy 
guidelines for the fiscal 2009 budget, which were presented on June 
ΒΆ16. The government intends to promote financial assistance to 
projects Japanese companies are carrying out in developing countries 
with the aim of using such projects to help revitalize their 
economies. 
 
 JICA's investment and financing program targeted projects with 
major development effects but involving high investment risks. 
However, since the program continued to incur losses, it was 
abolished when JICA was subjected to reform of special public 
corporations. Natural resources development and the agricultural 
sector are expected to be eligible for the resumed JICA projects. 
 
16) JAMSTEC to develop probes to locate undersea minerals 
 
NIKKEI (Page 1) (Full) 
Evening, June 16, 2009 
 
Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) will 
develop unmanned probes that will search for mineral deposits in 
waters near Japan. The Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, 
Science and Technology, which has jurisdiction over JAMSTEC, will 
invest about 3 billion yen in the project. The agency plans to 
develop two prototypes - one that scours the seafloor autonomously 
and the other that is remotely operated from a ship - during this 
fiscal year. JAMASTEC will also team up with Nissan Motor Co. to 
develop the next-generation technology for resource searching. This 
is the first time for Japan to develop full-scale probes in a bid to 
secure underwater resources. JAMSTEC aims to commercialize the 
probes in about 10 years. 
 
The self-navigating probe will be able to autonomously operate at 
depths of up to 3,000 meters. It will install sensors that will 
analyze input such as underwater topography and seawater compounds, 
and locate mineral veins. To enhance mobility, the machine will be 
4-5 meters long and run on long-lasting lithium-ion batteries. 
 
JAMSTEC will work with Nissan to develop an advanced 
image-recognition device that will be installed on the probes. The 
device, based on the technology Nissan developed to help drivers 
park cars, will give the machines the ability to search in all 
directions, including underneath. A prototype of the device will be 
produced within a year. 
 
Hydrothermal mineral deposits are belched out with hot water at 
depths of 500 to 3,000 meters. Valuable resources, such as gold, 
cooper and gallium are included the deposits. It is said that in 
Japanese waters, there are deposits worth 80 trillion yen. The most 
promising sites are off Okinawa and Ogasawara islands. 
 
17) China remains inactive one year after agreement reached on joint 
development of gas field with Japan 
 
ASAHI (Page 4) (Excerpts) 
 
TOKYO 00001361  012 OF 014 
 
 
June 17, 2009 
 
June 18 marks the first anniversary of the Japan-China agreement to 
jointly develop gas fields in the East China Sea. However, joint 
development has yet to be started. Furthermore, talks to compile 
specifics of the agreement into a formal treaty have not even been 
started. While Japan is positive toward the project, the Chinese 
side appears to be unable to enter talks out of concern over a 
dispute over interests in the South China Sea and its impact on 
public opinion. 
 
Foreign Minister Nakasone during a press conference on June 16 said, 
"It is very regrettable that talks to sign a treaty have not started 
yet." 
 
The situation was different a year ago, when the agreement was 
reached. Then Foreign Minister Komura had proudly said, "This is a 
good opportunity for Japan and China to show that they can settle 
any difficulties through talks." Concerning the mapping out of a 
treaty, he had said, "It will not take a long time." 
 
However, a foreign ministry official said that the ministry is not 
concerned about the current impasse. 
 
When both countries reached the agreement in June last year, they 
reached a consensus on capital participation by Japan in the 
development of the Shirakaba gas field (Chunxiao in Chinese), which 
China had already begun developing. As a result of the agreement, 
the development by China was suspended until the time a treaty was 
signed, eliminating Japan's concern that resources on the Japanese 
side of the oil field would be siphoned off by China. The area 
straddling the median line, which Japan claims to be the demarcation 
line between Japan and China in the exclusive economic zone in the 
East China Sea, became the target of the joint development. A senior 
foreign ministry official revealed that since Japan's stance was 
adopted, the agreement was highly praised as a victory by Japan. 
 
In the meantime, the Chinese side is hardening its attitude. 
Division director-level officials of the Japanese and Chinese 
foreign ministries met informally in late May. A senior official of 
China's newly established bureau responsible for national border and 
marine affairs was in charge of the meeting on the Chinese side. 
According to Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesman Ma Zhaoxu, this 
bureau is a highly specialized organ established to settled border 
issues in various parts of China. 
 
There is a strong possibility that behind China's stance is the 
territorial dispute in the South East Sea, in which China is 
contending with Vietnam and the Philippines. A diplomatic source in 
Beijing speculated, "The Chinese government is afraid that its 
concession made over the East China Sea will affect the South China 
Sea issue." A source connected with the Chinese government revealed: 
"The agreement was reached thanks to then Prime Minister Fukuda, who 
attaches importance to relations with China. It is impossible for 
China to press ahead with risky talks with Prime Minister Aso, 
because he will dissolve the Diet anytime soon." 
 
18) Top priority issues added to draft basic policy guidelines on 
prime minister's orders: Spending cuts recede further 
 
MAINICHI (Page 6) (Full) 
June 17, 2009 
 
TOKYO 00001361  013 OF 014 
 
 
 
Draft basic policy guidelines on economic and fiscal management and 
structural reforms for the fiscal 2009 national budget were 
presented on June 16 at a meeting of the government's Council on 
Economic and Fiscal Policy, chaired by Prime Minister Taro Aso. 
Although the government did not change its stance of continuing its 
regular efforts to cut spending in the next fiscal year's budget, it 
decided to add immediate top priority issues, such as advancing 
efforts to strengthen social security, on the prime minister's 
orders. Kaoru Yosano, who is in charge of economic and fiscal policy 
as well as financial services, indicated his intention to set up a 
special framework when compiling a budget for the next fiscal year 
and intensively inject budgetary funds into it. 
 
This development is in response to mounting pressure from the ruling 
parties to boost spending in the run-up to the upcoming general 
election. As a result, the spending reform policy line based on 
fiscal reconstruction has suffered a further setback. 
 
The prime minister ordered the inclusion of two priority issues - 
overcoming the economic crisis and realizing a secure society. An 
immediate effort to maintain jobs, an approach to promoting 
private-sector investment in environment-related markets, the 
advance implementation of social security measures such as medical 
services and pensions, and promoting measures to deal with the 
declining birthrate, were added. In compiling the basic guidelines 
for the fiscal 2009 budget, many ruling party members are calling 
for shelving the guidelines of the fiscal 2006 budget, which 
indicate specific goals for spending reforms. In particular, strong 
opposition continues to an annual reduction of 220 billion from 
natural increases in social security expenditures. 
 
Yosano, during a press conference after the meeting, indicated his 
stance of maintaining the goal to cut social security expenditures. 
However, he also said, "The finance ministry should provide an 
appropriate response." He indicated a policy of setting up a special 
framework in budget request guidelines for the next fiscal year to 
be adopted in July and intensively injecting budgetary funds into 
it. 
 
The government intends to search for common ground with ruling party 
lawmakers who are against the idea. However, whether a settlement 
can be reached still remains to be seen. The goal to cut 
expenditures has been chipped away at without debate in past budget 
compilations. Some finance ministry members said that if the 
situation is left as it is, it would be impossible to maintain 
fiscal discipline. 
 
Spending cut goal indicated in fiscal 2006 basic policy guidelines 
 
"Total of between 11.4 trillion yen and 14.3 trillion yen in 
expenditures to be cut over five years from fiscal 2007 through 
fiscal 2011." 
 
Q Social security spending: 1.1 trillion yen to be cut (220 billion 
yen a year) 
Q Payroll cost for public servants: 2.6 trillion yen to be cut 
Q Public works: Annual 1 PERCENT -3 PERCENT  cut in comparison with 
each of the previous years' levels 
Q ODA: Annual 2 PERCENT -4 PERCENT  cut in comparison with each of 
the previous years' levels 
Q Science and technology promotion expenditures: To be constrained 
 
TOKYO 00001361  014 OF 014 
 
 
within the scope of economic growth 
 
ZUMWALT