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Viewing cable 09MOSCOW1136, RUSSIAN SME SECTOR: DESPERATELY SEEKING SOLUTIONS
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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
---|---|---|---|---|
09MOSCOW1136 | 2009-05-04 13:21 | 2011-08-24 01:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Moscow |
VZCZCXRO5600
RR RUEHDBU RUEHLN RUEHSK RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHMO #1136/01 1241321
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 041321Z MAY 09
FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3131
INFO RUCNCIS/CIS COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MOSCOW 001136
SIPDIS
STATE FOR EUR/RUS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: ECON EFIN EINV RS
SUBJECT: RUSSIAN SME SECTOR: DESPERATELY SEEKING SOLUTIONS
¶1. (U) This message is sensitive but unclassified and not for
internet distribution.
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Summary
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¶2. (U) The economic crisis has hit Russian SMEs hard, resulting in
significant setbacks to the sector's development. Access to credit,
administrative barriers, corruption, and high levels of taxation
continue to be the most serious obstacles. Hoping that the sector
will feature more prominently in Russia's future economic growth,
President Medvedev and other GOR officials have been vocal in their
support and have refocused attention on promoting SMEs. The impact
of their policy initiatives, however, has yet to be seen.
-----------------------------
SMEs Pessimistic About Future
-----------------------------
¶3. (U) According to the latest OPORA (small business association)
survey of 300 SMEs from 30 Russian regions, 28.4% state that their
current business situation is bleak. Citing a lack of credit and
high interest rates, 47.6% expect business prospects for SMEs to
deteriorate further during the coming months. Shrinking demand and
delayed payments are further exacerbating their financial situation.
Price reductions, and wage, personnel, and production cuts are
options for coping with the crisis, but are considered by many SMEs
as measures of last resort. Finally, the poll notes that only 4
percent of SMEs have stated that they see no alternative to selling
their business.
¶4. (U) According to the poll, many SMEs have been forced to strive
for better cost efficiency, in some cases enhancing their
competitiveness within their own niche markets and in other sectors.
The crisis has also resulted in other "benefits" for SMEs. More
qualified personnel have come onto the labor market, and reduced
demand for commercial space has led to lower rents.
-------------------------------------
GOR Attempts to Rejuvenate SME Sector
-------------------------------------
¶5. (U) Business NGOs such as OPORA and Delovaya Rossia are using
the crisis to demonstrate their effectiveness in lobbying with the
government and translating SME sector concerns into concrete
legislative proposals. Measures advocated by these organizations
include: (1) increasing by 43 percent the total amount of money
channeled to the SME sector from the federal budget; (2) introducing
tax holidays; and, (3) freezing tariffs for electricity, gas, and
other natural monopolies.
¶6. (U) The GOR has recently adopted a number of measures to support
SME development. For example, the implementation date of the new
SME inspection law has been moved up from July 1 to May 1. The law
is intended to reduce the frequency and duration of government
inspections and instill greater transparency by creating an official
schedule, made available to the public, listing all planned
inspections. The law also introduces an inspection registration
ledger for entrepreneurs to monitor the process. The ledger is
intended top provide a clear record of inspection activities,
allowing SMEs to comply with requirements and prevent violations by
tax authorities.
¶7. (U) The law simplifies business licensing and registration by
requiring SMEs to submit a simple notification rather obtaining
separate approvals from a multitude of agencies. The GOR hopes that
the reduction in cost and time needed for businesses to begin
activity will boost ht number of SME start-ups in Russia.
¶8. (U) Additional GOR measures include acceleration and
streamlining of the approval process for SMEs seeking a pre-emptive
right to purchase leased real estate at market prices. On March 31,
Economic Development Minister Nabiullina reported that SMEs had
already submitted 581 applications, of which 392 had been approved.
The GOR is also expected to adopt a decree significantly decreasing
lease payments for state- or municipally-owned real estate in the
near future.
¶9. (U) The GOR is also continuing its efforts to provide benefits
to SMEs in their transactions with natural monopolies. At the end
of 2008, the GOR approved a decree to decrease electricity grid
connection charges for SMEs by about 20 to 40 times, depending upon
the region. On December 30, Medvedev signed amendments to the
federal procurement law, requiring municipal authorities to
establish procurement quotas for SMEs (similar to those introduced
at the federal and regional levels). According to Deputy MED
Minister Anna Popova, the GOR is also preparing amendments
stipulating that Russia's natural monopolies give preference to SMEs
in awarding outsourcing contracts, although details are still being
developed. According to MED forecasts, this would result in about
MOSCOW 00001136 002 OF 002
one trillion rubles in orders for SME goods and services.
--------------
Tax Incentives
--------------
¶10. (U) On April 22, Prime Minister Putin also announced a number of
new tax initiatives to help SMEs cope with the economic crisis.
Putin proposed raising the threshold for small businesses access to
the simplified tax system from 30 million rubles in annual revenues
to 60 million rubles ($1.77 million); making funds that SMEs receive
under federal or regional SME support programs tax-deductible; and,
eliminating a requirement that all SMEs that pay taxes on imputed
income must use cash registers. GOR agencies must present
legislation eliminating mandatory cash register use to the Duma by
July 1.
-----------------------------
Support for Regional Programs
-------------------------------
¶11. (U) Putin also promised that the 2009 budget allocation for SME
support would be increased from 10.5 billion rubles ($290 million)
to 25.5 billion rubles ($700 million), to be used for regional
programs. In order for a region to qualify, it must co-finance up
to 30% of the federal funding and propose concrete spending plans.
¶12. (U) The GOR program supports regional initiatives in the
following areas: grants of about US$ 8,300 to qualified start-up
businesses that create new jobs, which is especially critical given
rising regional unemployment; regional guarantee funds that cover up
to 70% of the loan amount; subsidization of interest rates of up to
10% of the annual interest charged by commercial banks; and,
financing for microloans and regional microfinance organizations.
Through the program, regional microfinance organizations would be
able to get up to 1 million rubles from the federal budget for
on-lending to microenterprises. The MED expects the program to
extend up to 20,000 loans in 2009, which would maintain and/or
create about 500,000 jobs.
¶14. (U) The VEB (VneshEconom Bank) is implementing its own SME
support program, which provides financing to 63 regional banks for
on-lending to regional SMEs, as well as providing credit
cooperatives and microfinance organizations with loans and loan
guarantees. The state has already channeled 30 billion rubles (US$
0.8 billion) to VEB for 2009. According to VEB, since the beginning
of 2008, SMEs participating in its program have on average increased
revenues by 41 percent, jobs - by 39 percent, and tax payments to
regional budgets - by 32 percent.
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Comment
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¶15. (U) While the crisis is seriously constraining SME sector
development, some SMEs see opportunities to grow by cutting costs,
introducing new technologies, and increasing labor and capital
productivity. The success of these efforts will depend on the GOR's
ability to fine-tune the legal and institutional environment. In
that regard, the GOR is moving forward with many initiatives to help
SMEs that had been stuck either in the Duma or in various GOR
agencies. Moreover, despite cuts in federal budget expenditures,
the GOR appears committed to SME programs and has even increased
financing for SME sector support.
¶16. (U) Comment, cont.: However, as the economic crisis continues,
it appears that more budgetary resources will be channeled into
social spending (unemployment compensation, job retraining, and
other employment support programs) at the expense of other
priorities, including SME development. Government job support
programs could help SMEs but will most likely be targeted at the
larger employers (often state corporations) and the single-company
towns, primarily in heavy industry, minerals extraction, and
automobile manufacturing. Lastly, it is unlikely in the foreseeable
future that the government will have sufficient funds to invest in
the infrastructure (e.g., higher education, R&D) that would enhance
the environment for more rapid SME growth. Therefore, despite its
rhetoric and some good initial steps, the impact of GOR policies
remains to be seen. End comment.
BEYRLE