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Viewing cable 09TOKYO394, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 02/20/09

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09TOKYO394 2009-02-20 07:59 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO7618
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #0394/01 0510759
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 200759Z FEB 09
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0943
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/USFJ //J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 4884
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 2540
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 6329
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 0365
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 3091
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 7839
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 3861
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 3822
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 09 TOKYO 000394 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 02/20/09 
 
INDEX: 
 
(1) Spot poll on Aso cabinet, political parties (Tokyo Shimbun) 
(2) Who should become the next LDP president? (Asahi) 
(3) No revision to Futenma relocation plan: Maher (Ryukyu Shimpo) 
(4) Tensions between China and neighbors emerging over sovereignty 
of Senkaku, Spratly islands with China taking tougher stance 
(Nikkei) 
(5) Editorial: Increase in U.S. troops in Afghanistan -- Japan 
should participate in drawing up strategy (Sankei) 
(6) Editorial: Is it all right for Finance Minister Yosano to absent 
himself from international conferences? (Tokyo Shimbun) 
 
ARTICLES: 
 
(1) Spot poll on Aso cabinet, political parties 
 
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Full) 
February 19, 2009 
 
Questions & Answers 
(Figures shown in percentage. Parentheses denote the results of the 
last survey conducted Feb. 7-8.) 
 
Q: Do you support the Aso cabinet? 
 
Yes 13.4 18.1 
No 76.6 (70.9) 
Don't know (D/K) + no answer (N/A) 10.0 (11.0) 
 
Q: (Only for those who answered "yes" to the previous question) 
What's the primary reason for your approval of the Aso cabinet? Pick 
only one from among those listed below. 
 
The prime minister is trustworthy 21.7 (13.9) 
Because it's a coalition cabinet of the Liberal Democratic Party and 
the New Komeito 8.8 (7.1) 
The prime minister has leadership ability --- (1.9) 
Something can be expected of its economic policies 2.5 (8.4) 
Something can be expected of its foreign policies 10.2 (4.7) 
Something can be expected of its political reforms 0.7 (1.4) 
Something can be expected of its tax reforms 4.1 (1.9) 
Something can be expected of its administrative reforms 2.6 (4.2) 
There's no other appropriate person (for prime minister) 44.4 
(51.4) 
Other answers (O/A) 2.9 (2.6) 
D/K+N/A 2.1 (2.5) 
 
 
Q: (Only for those who answered "no" to the first question) What's 
the primary reason for your disapproval of the Aso cabinet? Pick 
only one from among those listed below. 
 
The prime minister is untrustworthy 23.6 (16.5) 
Because it's a coalition cabinet of the Liberal Democratic Party and 
the New Komeito 3.7 (4.2) 
The prime minister lacks leadership ability 28.4 (25.8) 
Nothing can be expected of its economic policies 21.2 (28.3) 
Nothing can be expected of its foreign policies 0.6 (1.0) 
Nothing can be expected of its political reforms 5.4 (7.8) 
Nothing can be expected of its tax reforms 1.7 (1.8) 
Nothing can be expected of its administrative reforms 3.9 (6.0) 
 
TOKYO 00000394  002 OF 009 
 
 
Don't like the prime minister's personal character 8.4 (6.4) 
O/A 0.3 (0.5) 
D/K+N/A 2.8 (1.7) 
 
Q: Finance Minister and Financial Services Minister Shoichi Nakagawa 
has resigned from his posts to take responsibility for meeting the 
press drunkenly and groggily at the time of the Group of Seven (G-7) 
Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors meeting in Rome. What 
do you think about his resignation? 
 
Take it for granted 84.1 
No need to resign 12.8 
D/K+N/A 3.1 
 
 
Q: How much responsibility do you think Prime Minister Aso has for 
appointing Nakagawa? 
 
Very responsible 33.7 
Somewhat responsible 47.1 
Not very responsible 14.8 
Not responsible at all 3.1 
D/K+N/A 1.3 
 
Q: Regarding a bill to hand out 2-trillion-yen cash benefits to 
individual households as an economic stimulus measure, the ruling 
coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the New Komeito is 
going to pass it through the Diet by taking a second vote in the 
House of Representatives with a majority of two thirds even if it is 
voted down in the House of Councillors. Do you approve of this 
course of action? 
 
Yes 29.9 
No 61.3 
D/K+N/A 8.8 
 
Q: The House of Representatives' current term is up until September 
this year. When would you like the House of Representatives to be 
dissolved for a general election? 
 
Right away 32.0 (26.3) 
Around April after the budget for fiscal 2009 is approved in the 
Diet 38.8 (36.0) 
Around June when the ordinary Diet session ends 10.4 (14.2) 
Wait until the current term expires in September without dissolving 
the Diet 13.2 (16.3) 
D/K+N/A 5.6 (7.2) 
 
 
Q: Would you like the present LDP-led coalition government to 
continue, or would you otherwise like it to be replaced with a 
DPJ-led coalition government? 
 
LDP-led coalition government 28.1 (25.9) 
DPJ-led coalition government 53.4 (55.3) 
D/K+N/A 18.5 (18.8) 
 
Q: Which political party are you going to vote for in the next House 
of Representatives election in your proportional representation 
bloc? 
 
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 23.9 (23.0) 
 
TOKYO 00000394  003 OF 009 
 
 
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 40.2 (42.9) 
New Komeito (NK) 3.9 (3.4) 
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 3.2 (5.0) 
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 3.8 (0.9) 
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 1.5 (0.6) 
Reform Club (RC or Kaikaku Kurabu) --- (---) 
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) 0.1 (0.6) 
Other political parties, groups --- (---) 
D/K+N/A 23.4 (23.6) 
 
Q: When comparing Prime Minister Taro Aso and DPJ President Ichiro 
Ozawa, which one do you think is more appropriate for prime 
minister? 
 
Taro Aso 20.4 (23.2) 
Ichiro Ozawa 46.4 (43.8) 
D/K+N/A 33.2 (33.0) 
 
Q: Which political party do you support? 
 
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 27.2 (23.7) 
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 33.6 (31.5) 
New Komeito (NK) 3.5 (3.0) 
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 2.8 (5.7) 
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 3.0 (1.1) 
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 1.0 (0.4) 
Reform Club (RC or Kaikaku Kurabu) 0.1 (---) 
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) --- (0.4) 
Other political parties, groups --- (---) 
None 25.7 (33.3) 
D/K+N/A 3.1 (0.9) 
 
Polling methodology: The survey was conducted across the nation from 
the evening of Feb. 17 through Feb. 18 by Kyodo News Service on a 
computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. Among randomly 
generated telephone numbers, those actually for household use with 
one or more eligible voters totaled 1,448. Answers were obtained 
from 1,022 persons. 
 
(2) Who should become the next LDP president? 
 
ASAHI (Page 4) (Abridged slightly) 
February 20, 2009 
 
Akira Uchida 
 
An increasing number of members of the Liberal Democratic Party 
(LDP) are turning their backs on Prime Minister Taro Aso. Moreover, 
specific names are being now mentioned as possible successors to 
Aso, who is also president of the LDP. Those mentioned include Kaoru 
Yosano, whose presence is increasing as an economic minister with 
three portfolios, and Yuriko Koike, a major member of the anti-Aso 
wing of the party. But there seems to be no one who can resuscitate 
the LDP without splitting the party. 
 
Many pin their hopes on Yosano, who single-handedly has taken chare 
of the Aso cabinet's economic policy. In the LDP presidential 
election last September, Yosano came in second after Aso, although 
Aso won by a huge margin. 
 
Three years ago, he resigned as policy research council chairman 
after having an operation for larynx cancer. Yosano still declared 
 
TOKYO 00000394  004 OF 009 
 
 
in a press conference on Feb. 17 that he was in good physical shape. 
Possibly regarding him as the front-runner in the race for the 
post-Aso era, major opposition Democratic Party of Japan President 
Ichiro Ozawa, too, brought up Yosano, saying: "Although I do not 
necessarily agree with his policy and thinking, I think he has been 
performing his duties well." 
 
His advocacy of a consumption tax hike could be an impediment to 
becoming the party's standard bearer for the next election. Many LDP 
lawmakers want to avoid declaring a tax hike before the election. 
Further, he is deeply at odds with former Secretary General Hidenao 
Nakagawa and others who believe spending cuts must come before tax 
increases in achieving fiscal reform and economic growth. The 
chances are slim Yosano will win party-wide support. 
 
Yosano has friendly ties with Ozawa, which were developed through 
their mutual hobby of the game of go. He also is backed by Yomiuri 
Shimbun Group Chairman Tsuneo Watanabe, who allegedly tried in vain 
to get the LDP and the DPJ to form a grand coalition during the 
previous administration of Yasuo Fukuda. This has caused fear that a 
Yosano administration might lead to a grand coalition. 
 
Former Defense Minister Yuriko Koike came in third in the last LDP 
presidential race. There is a move to rally around her as a symbol 
of the anti-Aso group. On an Asahi Newstar program on Feb. 10, Koike 
was asked if she would run for the LDP presidency again. In 
response, she expressed her eagerness, saying, "I tried once, so it 
depends on the political environment." Nakagawa, who backed Koike, 
clashed with former Prime Minister Yoshiro Mori. If he supports 
Koike again, a new chasm would be unavoidable. 
 
There are those lawmakers who want Nakagawa himself to come forward. 
Nakagawa though is losing momentum as he has been demoted from the 
post of representing the Machimura faction, to which he belongs. A 
personal scandal that cost Nakagawa the post of chief cabinet 
secretary in the former Mori cabinet is also a matter of concern. 
 
Health, Labor and Welfare Minister Yoichi Masuzoe, who has high name 
recognition, is a dark horse. A person who served in the former 
Fukuda cabinet along with Masuzoe described him as a person capable 
of sending out a strong message. 
 
Some pin hopes on Senior Deputy Secretary-General Nobuteru Ishihara 
from the viewpoint of playing up a rejuvenated LDP. But his 
faintheartedness was exposed when he met with stiff resistance from 
road policy specialists over the reform of road corporations during 
his tenure as land, infrastructure and transport minister. Masazumi 
Gotoda, a junior Lower House member, took this view: "Agriculture, 
Forestry and Fisheries Minister Shigeru Ishiba and State Minister 
for Consumer Affairs Seiko Noda should also be mentioned in terms of 
generational change." 
 
Every candidate has advantages and disadvantages. A former cabinet 
minister voiced the need to create a strong impact by, for instance, 
accepting Miyazaki Governor Hideo Higashikokubaru or Osaka Governor 
Toru Hashimoto as a candidate. "There is no strong candidate to 
replace Mr. Aso. We simply need a person with a 50 PERCENT 
intra-party support rate," a heavyweight said depressingly. 
 
Possible candidates to replace Taro Aso 
 
Cabinet ministers, LDP executives 
 
TOKYO 00000394  005 OF 009 
 
 
Kaoru Yosano Minister of Finance, State Minister for Financial 
Services, Economic and Fiscal Policy 
Age 70 Tokyo Constituency No. 1 
No factional allegiance 
Advantage: practical business ability 
Disadvantage: advocate of a consumption tax hike 
Yoichi Masuzoe Minister of Health, Labor and Welfare 
Age 60 House of Councillors proportional representation segment 
No factional allegiance 
Advantage: high name recognition 
Disadvantage: an Upper House member 
Shigeru Ishiba Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries 
Age 52 Tottori Constituency No. 1 
Tsushima faction 
Advantages: ability to answer questions at the Diet,    uniqueness 
Disadvantage: geeky image 
Seiko Noda Minister of Consumer Affairs 
Age 48 Gifu Constituency No. 1 
No factional allegiance 
Advantages: youth, female 
Disadvantage: multi-level marketing industry 
Nobuteru Ishihara LDP Senior Deputy Secretary General 
Age 51 Tokyo Constituency No. 8 
Yamasaki faction 
Advantages: youth, Ishihara brand 
Disadvantage: faintheartedness 
 
Faction leaders 
Nobutaka Machimura Former Chief Cabinet Secretary 
Age 64 Hokkaido Constituency No. 5 
Machimura faction 
Advantage: leader of the largest faction 
Disadvantage: bureaucratic 
Sadakazu Tanigaki Former Finance Minister 
Age 63 Kyoto Constituency No. 5 
Koga faction 
Advantage: few enemies 
Disadvantage: weak presence 
Masahiko Koumura Former Foreign Minister 
Age 66 Yamaguchi Constituency No. 1 
Koumura faction 
Advantage: theoretical 
Disadvantage: straight-raced 
 
Anti-Aso members 
Hidenao Nakagawa Former Secretary General 
Age 65 Hiroshima Constituency No. 4 
Machimura faction 
Advantage: Koizumi reform successor 
Disadvantage: scandals in the past 
Yuriko Koike Former Defense Minister 
Age 56 Tokyo Constituency No. 10 
Machimura faction 
Advantages: good sense, female 
Disadvantage: "political migratory bird" 
 
(3) No revision to Futenma relocation plan: Maher 
 
RYUKYU SHIMPO (Page 2) (Full) 
February 20, 2009 
 
The U.S. Department of State has now formally decided to appoint 
 
TOKYO 00000394  006 OF 009 
 
 
Kevin Maher, U.S. consul general in Okinawa, as its next director 
for Japanese affairs (Japan Desk). Meanwhile, Japan and the United 
States have signed an intergovernmental agreement to transfer U.S. 
Marines in Okinawa to Guam. In this connection, Maher reiterated 
yesterday that the U.S. government could not respond to the calls of 
Okinawa Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima and other local authorities for moving 
the planned relocation site of an alternative facility for Futenma 
airfield to an offshore area. "I hope the Futenma relocation plan 
will be implemented as agreed between Japan and the United States," 
Maher told the Ryukyu Shimpo in an interview. "There is no change in 
the U.S. government's position that there will be no revisions (to 
the Futenma relocation plan)," he added. Maher is expected to assume 
his new post at the State Department in mid-July, and it will be 
possibly coincide with Nakaima's planned second visit to the United 
States. 
 
Maher stressed that the signed Guam relocation pact is "what 
reconfirmed the agreement on the roadmap (for the planned 
realignment of U.S. forces in Japan)" and "it is the same in 
substance" as that agreement. Asked about how the pact differs from 
the bilateral agreements made in the past between Japan and the 
United States, Maher said: "In the past as well, we have made 
intergovernmental arrangements. However, those ministry-to-ministry 
arrangements have now become a formal state-to-state commitment or a 
highest-level commitment." 
 
Japan and the United States have agreed to relocate Futenma Air 
Station, return facilities and areas located south of Kadena (Air 
Base), and transfer Okinawa-based U.S. Marines to Guam in a package 
to be implemented in the process of realigning U.S. forces in Japan. 
Bearing this in mind, Maher said, "Implementing the plan will lead 
to mitigating Okinawa's burden." 
 
(4) Tensions between China and neighbors emerging over sovereignty 
of Senkaku, Spratly islands with China taking tougher stance 
 
NIKKEI (Page 6) (Full) 
February 20, 2009 
 
Tensions are emerging between China and its neighbors over the 
sovereignty of the Senkaku Islands (called the Diaoyutai Islands in 
Chinese) and the Spratly Islands, since China has toughened its 
stance. Late last year, Chinese oceanographic research vessels 
intruded into Japanese waters surrounding the Senkaku Islands, but 
China, in reaction to Japan's increased security in the waters in 
the wake of the invasion case, lodged a protest against Japan. China 
also filed a complaint against the Philippines for its adoption of a 
law that recognizes the Spratly Islands as its territory. It seems 
that an increasing number of Chinese people, with the ongoing 
economic recession in mind, are calling on their government to take 
hard-line stands toward foreign countries. 
 
In an executive meeting in Beijing on Feb. 16, Sun Zhi-hui, 
administrator of the State oceanic Administration, referred to the 
case of intrusion of two oceanographic research vessels possessed by 
the administration into the Japanese waters near the Senkaku Islands 
last December. He then revealed that the intrusion was intended to 
demonstrate that China has the right of ownership. 
 
Sun said: "Our vessels navigated all the oceanic areas over which 
China holds sovereignty," emphasizing that China has stepped up 
warning and surveillance in the East China Sea, South China Sea, and 
 
TOKYO 00000394  007 OF 009 
 
 
other waters. He also said that China dispatched a total of about 
200 ships and 140 planes to these areas over the past year. 
 
Set off by the invasion case, the Japanese government has 
strengthened security in the waters surrounding the Senkaku Islands. 
The Japan Coast Guard reportedly has deployed patrol ships carrying 
helicopters in the surrounding sea areas on a regular basis. A 
responsible official of the Chinese Foreign Ministry's Asian Affairs 
Bureau called in a Japanese embassy staff member in Beijing on Feb. 
10 and told him: "If Japan moves more aggressively, China will have 
to take harsh response measures." 
 
On Feb. 17, the Philippine Congress passed a law that specifies Iwo 
Jima and some Spratly islands as its territories. In reaction, the 
Chinese Foreign Ministry issued a statement on the 18th reading: 
"China has ownership of Iwo Jima, Spratly, and other oceanic areas. 
Other countries' claims to these areas are invalid." Chinese Vice 
Foreign Minister Wang Kuang Ya summoned the acting head of the 
Philippine Embassy and conveyed a stiff protest. 
 
Such a resolute posture of the Chinese government reflects a flood 
of hard-line views posted on the Internet. The Chinese people, given 
the current economic recession, tend to fall into an introverted way 
of thinking. The Chinese Foreign Ministry cannot ignore such 
messages as: "Don't show a weak posture"; and, "We demand that the 
Chinese government take substantial action." 
 
China has settled onshore borderline issues with its neighboring 
countries one after another. But the nation remains unable to find 
solutions regarding oceanic territorial issues that involve national 
interests, such as seabed oil and gas fields. Some observers 
speculate that the military, which has enhanced its operational 
capability in the East China Sea, may be gaining more influence. 
 
(5) Editorial: Increase in U.S. troops in Afghanistan -- Japan 
should participate in drawing up strategy 
 
SANKEI (Page 2) (Full) 
February 20, 2009 
 
U.S. President Barack Obama has decided to add about 17,000 troops 
to those already posted to Afghanistan, which the President regards 
as the principal battleground in the war on terror. The Obama 
administration reportedly will boost troops from the present 30,000 
to 60,000 in total over the next two years. 
 
There are no clear prospects as to whether the increase in U.S. 
troops can turn the Afghan situation around. Some critics are 
concerned that Afghanistan could turn into a hopeless mess. 
 
The United States made this decision, while it struggles to overcome 
the unprecedented economic crisis. Japan as a U.S. ally, which has 
called for cooperation, is urged to come up with a concrete 
response. 
 
Al-Qaeda, an international terrorist network, which plotted the 9/11 
terrorist attack in the United States in 2001, has hid itself away. 
Besides the U.S. troops, about 55,000 International Security 
Assistance Force in Afghanistan (ISAF) soldiers have been deployed 
in Afghanistan under command of the North Atlantic Treaty 
Organization (NATO). The ISAF is composed of such NATO member 
countries as Britain, France and Germany. 
 
TOKYO 00000394  008 OF 009 
 
 
 
However, since the Islamic fundamentalist armed insurgent group 
Taliban, the former Afghan government, has regained power, the 
public security in that country has worsened. President Obama, based 
on his view that the Afghan situation cannot be resolved by military 
means alone, has started looking into a new strategy, including 
using diplomacy. As a U.S ally, Japan has been urged to take part in 
drawing up the new strategy. 
 
Japan has been sounded out about participating in ISAF. However, it 
is difficult for Japan at present to establish a law serving as 
basis for dispatching its Self-Defense Forces (SDF). Therefore, 
Japan has no other choice but to continue providing Afghanistan with 
civilian assistance, including a total of 2 billion dollars for food 
assistance, as well as for building infrastructure. 
 
In that sense, we watched closely when Foreign Minister Hirofumi 
Nakasone proposed in a meeting with Secretary of State Hillary 
Clinton a Japan initiative of holding here an international donors 
conference on Pakistan. The mountains that lie between Afghanistan 
and Pakistan are a launch pad for Al-Qaeda and the Taliban. This is 
the main cause for the deterioration of public security in 
Afghanistan. 
 
Japan is expected to ask China and Islamic countries, in addition to 
the United States and European countries, to take part in the 
planned donors' conference. Japan decided last May to offer Pakistan 
47.9 billion yen in loans. It then later announced provide the 
country with aid for flood damage. Japan is probably expected to 
play a role of explaining the efficiency of non-military 
contribution. 
 
If Pakistan, which possesses nuclear weapons, becomes unstable, it 
will lead to a major crisis. We must keep Pakistan and Afghanistan 
in the group of countries fighting against terrorism. Japan as a 
U.S. ally should participate in drawing up a strategy and 
proactively fulfill its role as much as possible. 
 
(6) Editorial: Is it all right for Finance Minister Yosano to absent 
himself from international conferences? 
 
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 5) (Full) 
February 20, 2009 
 
Following the resignation of Finance Minister Shoichi Nakagawa, 
State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy Kaoru Yosano has 
assumed the additional posts of minister of finance and state 
minister for financial services. This is an unprecedented situation. 
The heavy burden placed on him is hampering him from attending 
international conferences. Prime Minister Taro Aso should take a 
second look at the lineup of his cabinet. 
 
The appointment of Yosano as a successor to Nakagawa is probably an 
emergency stop-gap measure. Yosano was probably the only person able 
to make Diet replies readily among the ruling party members at a 
time when deliberations on the fiscal 2008 supplementary budget bill 
and the fiscal 2009 main budget bill are going to the wire. 
 
Yosano has been playing a role in putting out a series of economic 
stimulus packages. Some in Nagata-cho (political center) and 
Kasumigaseki (government office district) say that he in essence has 
been the finance minister. There seems to be no doubt that he is a 
 
TOKYO 00000394  009 OF 009 
 
 
politician who has hands on experience and is trusted by the 
bureaucracy. 
 
It is possible to view that under the present circumstance, in which 
the economy situation is becoming worse one person serving in three 
economic-related posts can be effective in implementing policies 
promptly. 
 
However, its harmful effects cannot be overlooked. For instance, 
Yosano will reportedly absent himself from an ASEAN-plus-3 
(Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Japan, China and South 
Korea) meeting, which is to take place in Thailand starting on the 
22nd. He apparently gave consideration to various circumstances, 
such as Diet deliberations. However, Japan's presence will 
unavoidably be missing in Asia, as a result. 
 
Key international conferences, such as the G-20 emergency financial 
summit, the G-8 Summit and a financial ministerial meeting, are just 
ahead. Failure to take part in discussions at such meetings will 
have an adverse impact on Japan's national interest. 
 
The timetable for a meeting of the Fiscal System Council, an 
advisory council reporting to the finance minister, has also been 
postponed. There might appear a situation in which Yosano is unable 
to make sufficient Diet replies due to schedule conflicts between 
the Lower House and the Upper House. That is because he will simply 
be too busy. 
 
There is also a problem of the mechanism of government. The state 
minister for economic and fiscal policy serves as a moderator (the 
prime minister serves as chair) of the Council on Economic and 
Fiscal Policy (CEFP), which is responsible for setting guidelines 
for various government policies, starting with basic policy 
guidelines on economic and fiscal management and structural reforms. 
The finance minister is responsible for a budget bill, which the 
finance minister drafts based on guidelines set by the CEFP. 
 
When one person serves in the posts of minister of finance, state 
minister for financial services and state minister for economic and 
fiscal policy concurrently, there are occasions in which this person 
has to play roles of both a referee and a player. In other words, 
the finance ministry's influence on policy making becomes even more 
enormous. State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy Yosano, who 
is in favor of a tax hike, serving as finance minister will likely 
boost a tax hike policy line. 
 
There is a possibility of Yosano finding the stand of the finance 
ministry contradictory to that of state minister for financial 
services over the injection of public money. 
 
If the period during which he serves in the three posts -- minister 
of finance, state minister for financial services and state minister 
for economic and fiscal policy -- becomes protracted, the 
disadvantages would surpass the advantages. We urge reconsideration 
of the lineup of economic ministers after the dust settles. 
 
ZUMWALT