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Viewing cable 09TOKYO358, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 02/17/09
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Reference ID | Created | Released | Classification | Origin |
---|---|---|---|---|
09TOKYO358 | 2009-02-17 06:55 | 2011-08-26 00:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tokyo |
VZCZCXRO3841
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #0358/01 0480655
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 170655Z FEB 09
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0827
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/USFJ //J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 4812
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 2468
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 6255
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 0294
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 3019
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 7767
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 3789
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 3752
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 11 TOKYO 000358
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA;
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 02/17/09
INDEX:
(1) Japan-U.S. summit meeting set for Feb. 24; Foreign Minister
Nakasone, Secretary Clinton agree to strengthening alliance (Tokyo
Shimbun)
(2) Hillary Clinton also "changes" (Yomiuri)
(3) Prime Minister Aso in dire straits; His administration might
follow same fate as Mori administration (Tokyo Shimbun)
(4) Battle over fiscal 2009 budget to reach final stage (Nikkei)
(5) UNSC reform; Japan to aim at permanent seat via
intergovernmental talks from Feb. 19 (Tokyo Shimbun)
(6) Editorial: Japan's role in revitalizing Asian economy heavy
(Nikkei)
(7) Koizumi reforms coming out as source of trouble in the LDP
(Nikkei)
(8) LDP suffering setbacks in local elections; Defeat of LDP-backed
candidates likely to affect Aso's strategy of dissolving Lower House
(Nikkei)
(9) Prime Minister's schedule, February 16 (Nikkei)
ARTICLES:
(1) Japan-U.S. summit meeting set for Feb. 24; Foreign Minister
Nakasone, Secretary Clinton agree to strengthening alliance
TOKYO SHIMBUN (On line evening edition) (Full)
February 17, 2009
Foreign Minister Hirofumi Nakasone and U.S. Secretary of State
Clinton met this morning at the Foreign Ministry's Iikura Guest
House in Tokyo. The two foreign ministers shared the view that the
Japan-U.S. alliance was indispensable for the peace and stability of
the Asia-Pacific region. They also agreed to further strengthen the
alliance relationship.
Regarding a summit meeting between Japan and the U.S., Japan sounded
out the U.S. on realizing such prior to the G-20 financial summit
that will take place in London on April 2.
This was the first foreign ministerial meeting to take place since
the inauguration of the Obama administration.
The Foreign Minister and Secretary of State exchanged views on North
Korean nuclear development, missile and abduction issues. The two
affirmed that Japan and the U.S. would closely cooperate and respond
to these issues while giving priority to the Six-Party Talks.
Secretary Clinton expressed her resolve to continue to strongly
support Japan on the abduction issue.
On handling global financial uncertainties, the two agreed on the
view of Japan and the United States strengthening relations as the
number one and two economies in the world. Turning to the war on
terror in Afghanistan and Pakistan, Foreign Minister Nakasone
proposed that Japan host an international conference to assist
TOKYO 00000358 002 OF 011
Pakistan. Secretary Clinton said the U.S. would support it.
In addition, the two confirmed to closely cooperate in tackling the
issue of reducing greenhouse gases.
At the beginning of the meeting, Foreign Minister Nakasone welcomed
the Secretary, saying, "We highly appreciate your choosing Japan for
your first overseas trip and for your expressions placing importance
on the Japan-U.S. allliance."
(2) Hillary Clinton also "changes"
YOMIURI (Page 7) (Full)
February 17, 2009
Keiichi Honma, Washington correspondent, and Satoshi Ogawa, Tokyo
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who arrived in Japan
yesterday, started her career as a human-rights lawyer and later
became First Lady and then a senator. As she changed her social
standing, Clinton was consistently proactive in her work efforts but
also known for her aggressive stances against her opponents. As
secretary of State, however, she has set forth 'changes' in her
personal relationships and working style. In Japan as well, she will
likely show a softer aspect that differs from what her image used to
be.
"It's important to talk and listen at the same time." So saying,
Clinton expressed her basic stance while flying to Japan on the
first leg of her Asia tour. She clarified her intention to listen
when meeting with her counterparts in four countries, including
Japan.
Clinton began to take such a low profile when she became secretary
of State. When she invited former Secretary of State Shultz to the
State Department on Jan. 30, she humbly sought his advice. On Feb.
4, she held a town hall meeting with State Department employees. At
that event, she said, "I have totally forgotten that I have just run
in a presidential election." This joke softened the tense
atmosphere.
Clinton was a candidate in last year's presidential election. What
she said during her campaign was contrasting.
"Shame on you, Obama!" Clinton said in February last year, revealing
her emotions. She verbally attacked Obama before TV cameras when she
was vying with him for the party's nomination. One of her former
aides complained that she was hard on her staff.
One of those close to Clinton attributed her defeat in the
presidential election to her "emotional" and "coldhearted" image.
One of the major goals of Clinton's foreign policy is to improve the
feelings of foreign countries toward the United States which soured
during the former Bush administration. Her overseas trip this time
is billed as a "listening tour," a U.S. expert on foreign affairs
noted. This can be called a tactic to change her image as secretary
of State.
There is also something that remains unchanged. For example, Clinton
has been making efforts to champion the human rights of women and
children. Another example is her fashion style, usually a
TOKYO 00000358 003 OF 011
combination of primary-color outerwear and black pants. In addition,
there is an 'alliance' with Bill Clinton, her husband and former
president.
"Bill is playing the role of a coach for Hillary. He explained the
points she should consider for her tour of Asian countries this time
as well. He's like a 'shadow' secretary of state." With this, a
reporter for a major U.S. newspaper portrayed the couple's
relationship.
When Clinton was the first lady, she helped her husband pursue such
policies as reforming the healthcare insurance system. This time,
however, Bill the husband is helping Hillary the wife.
(3) Prime Minister Aso in dire straits; His administration might
follow same fate as Mori administration
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Abridged slightly)
February 17, 2009
Takaharu Watanabe
There has emerged the view in the political community that the
administration of Prime Minister Taro Aso will share the same fate
as the administration of former Prime Minister Yoshiro Mori. The
Mori administration was forced to resign (in April 2001), dogged by
growing complaints in the ruling bloc that lawmakers would not be
able to win in the upcoming House of Councillors election due to
Prime Minister Mori's dwindling approval ratings after a series of
blunders. Will Prime Minister Aso, who is struggling with plummeting
support rates due to a string of gaffes and now faces a House of
Representatives election, follow in Mori's footsteps?
Mori became prime minister in April 2004 when his predecessor, Keizo
Obuchi, passed away after suffering a stroke. Mori made many
controversial comments such as Japan being a "divine country
centered on the Emperor" that ruined his support rates. The ruling
bloc suffered a major setback in the Lower House election in June
ΒΆ2000.
Mori continued playing golf even after receiving a report on the
fatal collision in February 2001 between a U.S. nuclear-powered
submarine and Uwajima Fishery High School's Ehime Maru. His support
rate eventually tumbled to 6.5 PERCENT .
Aware of a growing sense of crisis over the Upper House election and
the Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly election in summer, then New Komeito
Representative Takenori Kanzaki indicated that his party would not
necessarily oppose submitting a no-confidence motion against Prime
Minister Mori. Kanzaki's "resignation advice" solidified the trend
to dump Mori.
On March 10, the embattled Mori proposed carrying out the Liberal
Democratic Party presidential election ahead of the original
schedule. It was a de facto announcement of his resignation as LDP
president before his term of office expired in September. Junichiro
Koizumi was elected the new LDP president in the election in April,
and the LDP achieved an overwhelming victory in the Upper House
election in July owing to the "Koizumi boom."
Support for the Aso administration has been hovering around 10
PERCENT due to his inconsistent comments regarding postal
TOKYO 00000358 004 OF 011
privatization policy and the cash handout program. The term of the
Lower House members will expire in September and the Tokyo
Metropolitan Assembly election will take place this summer --
conditions similar to those of the Mori administration.
Unless there are signs of reversing the Aso administration's support
rates, the ruling bloc is certain to call for his resignation, as
was the case with the Mori administration. Koizumi, who still has
strong influence in the LDP, blasted Aso, saying: "An election
cannot be fought without trust in the prime minister's words." This
criticism might create a move to unseat Aso.
Not all factors are the same as those of the Mori administration.
For instance, the last three administrations led by Shinzo Abe,
Yasuo Fukuda and Taro Aso, respectively, that came after the Koizumi
administration did not seek a public mandate through Lower House
elections. Some in the ruling camp think that even if the prime
minister is replaced, the next leader would not be able to win high
supports rates and that there is no other option but to fight the
Lower House election under Prime Minister Aso.
It is unclear if Aso will accept a call to step down, like Mori
did.
Prime Minister Aso has repeatedly expressed his intention to make a
decision independently to dissolve the Lower House. A person close
to Aso also predicted: "The prime minister will not resign no matter
how low his support rate falls."
(4) Battle over fiscal 2009 budget to reach final stage
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full)
February 16, 2009
Wrangling over the fiscal 2009 budget bill between the ruling and
opposition camps will soon reach the final stage. To ensure the
budget bill will be enacted by the end of this fiscal year, the
ruling camp intends to take votes on the bill and bills related to
tax reform in a plenary session of the House of Representatives on
Feb. 20. But it is still uncertain whether a vote will be taken this
week as the opposition bloc is calling for delaying the vote.
Horse-trading will also gain momentum over a bill to finance the
government's fixed-amount cash handout plan. Former Prime Minister
Junichiro Koizumi of the Liberal Democratic Party indicated a
cautious view about the idea of bringing the bill back into the
Lower House for a revote.
The Lower House Budget Committee will hold a central public hearing
on the 16th, a precondition for taking a vote, and then intensive
deliberations on reforming the public service system on the 17th.
The budget bill is automatically enacted into law 30 days after it
passes through the Lower House under a constitutional provision, so
the ruling parties, without regard for resistance from the
opposition camp, is ready to make preparations to pass the bill
through the Lower House in mid-February and to enact it within this
fiscal year. Should the opposition bloc adamantly oppose the bill,
the voting may be delayed to sometime after Feb. 23.
DPJ Ozawa criticizes additional economic package as "based on
senseless judgment"
Taking up the government and the ruling camp looking into additional
TOKYO 00000358 005 OF 011
economic stimulus measures on the premise of passage of the fiscal
2009 budget bill, Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) President Ichiro
Ozawa indicated that the government should cope with the situation
by reallocating and revising the budget bill. He said in replying to
questions by reporters in Wakayama City: "That is a very undignified
and senseless judgment. The government's move is to show its view
that the current budget will not help revitalize the economy."
(5) UNSC reform; Japan to aim at permanent seat via
intergovernmental talks from Feb. 19
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Excerpts)
February 16, 2009
Government-to-government talks on reform of the UN Security Council
will begin on Feb. 19. The government will aim at a permanent seat
on the UNSC, which Japan failed to obtain during the administration
of Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi.
In July 2005, Japan, Brazil, Germany, and India jointly presented a
proposal to increase the number of permanent seats on the UNSC from
the current 15 to 25. But unable to win the support of the vote-rich
African Union (AU), the proposal was eventually scrapped.
A government source said: "There is a whole lot of difference in the
amount of information between permanent and non-permanent UNSC
members. Looking half a century into the future, Japan definitely
needs a permanent seat." The government is set to aim at
consensus-building once again in cooperation with India and Brazil.
Some points are more favorable than in 2005. Relations with China,
which opposed Japan's bid for a permanent seat, have improved to a
certain extent. With the shift of power from the Republican Party,
which was seen as slighting the United Nations, to the Democratic
Party, the United States has begun pursuing a policy course of
attaching importance to the United Nations. Prime Minister Aso, too,
grappled with UNSC reform during his tenure as foreign minister.
But Japan cannot be overly optimistic. Even if a consensus is
reached on an expansion of the framework, reaching an accord on
specifics, such as the allocation of seats, would be fairly
difficult. Given the prime minister's plummeting support rates, the
stage is not set for the Aso administration to earnestly address the
UNSC reform.
(6) Editorial: Japan's role in revitalizing Asian economy heavy
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full)
February 17, 2009
The financial crisis that started in the U.S. has brought about a
major contraction in credit and demand, rapidly exacerbating the
real economies of Asian countries, which have been using direct
investment from abroad and exports as driving force for achieving
growth. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is hoping
that Japan will display leadership to help revitalize the economy.
However, some take a severe view that Japan's presence has
decreased, compared to the time when Asia was hit by a currency
crisis in 1997.
Even though Japan itself is in a fix, it is still the second largest
economy in the world, and the largest in Asia. We believe that Japan
TOKYO 00000358 006 OF 011
is responsible for leading efforts to address the financial crunch
in the region and initiate a growth strategy.
Currency swap system should be expanded to multinational framework
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its outlook for the world
economy issued in late January projected that the economies of
developing countries in Asia will grow by 5.5 PERCENT . The Chinese
economy has continued to achieve a high rate of growth. However, the
IMF now estimates its growth will fall to 6.7 PERCENT . Likewise, it
projects a fall in the growth of the Indian economy to 5.1 PERCENT
and the economies of five ASEAN member nations -- Indonesia,
Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam -- to 2.7 PERCENT .
The situations in South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong,
countries that are called newly industrializing (NIES), are even
more serious. The growth of their economies this year is estimated
to slip to a negative 3.9 PERCENT . This figure is harsher than
those of leading economies like Japan, the U.S. and Europe, whose
economies are also expected to suffer contraction.
The Asian economy, which has led the global economy, by and large
tends to highly rely on exports. In particular, the ratio of exports
to nominal gross domestic product (GDP) tops 150 PERCENT in
Singapore and Hong Kong. As a result of a steep decline in demand
mainly from the U.S., the largest consumption market, the Asian
economy has fallen into a negative spiral of sluggish exports
exacerbating employment and income conditions, giving rise to
sluggish consumption.
Asian countries, now pressed to change its economic structure, which
relies on U.S. consumption, are frantic about adopting economic
stimulus measures to generate domestic demand. The Chinese
government has released a 4 trillion yuan (roughly 52 trillion yen)
economic stimulus package, equivalent to 13 PERCENT of its nominal
GDP. Singapore has also come up with a cut in the corporate tax.
Taiwan has distributed consumption vouchers worth about 10,000 yen
to all citizens with the aim of stimulating personal consumption.
However, it is not an easy job to switch to a domestic demand-led
structure. Aside from such big countries as China and India, Asian
countries' economic size is so small that it is difficult for them
to overcome the ongoing crisis with domestic demand alone.
It is also impossible to wipe away alarm about the financial crisis
whose bottom is not in sight. Aside from South Korea and some other
countries, where the value of currencies has plunged, turmoil in the
financial markets is still limited in other countries, compared with
the time when the Asian currency crisis occurred. However, it is
hard to assume what crisis will face those countries and when. The
reality is all countries are concerned about the future of the
economy.
The current crisis is a good opportunity for them to strengthen ties
among themselves. Asian economies are in a bind. Now is the time for
Japan to play a role of removing anxieties felt by Asia and
revitalizing its economy.
There is a mountain of challenges to achieve that end. The urgent
issue for cooperation on the financial front is to prepare for a
fluid crisis. There is a framework called the Chiang Mai Initiative,
under which two countries swap their currencies. Talks to implement
TOKYO 00000358 007 OF 011
the framework in a flexible manner, by expanding it to a
multilateral currency swap agreement, are under way. The plan should
be put into practice immediately.
In order to materialize the plan, expanding a swap framework,
standardizing conditions for currency swap and consolidating a
system to mutually monitor economic policies will be unavoidable. It
is also necessary to revise the existing agreement, which makes
linkage with IMF loans a principle for foreign currency swap. It
would be meaningless unless a framework that will function in a
speedy and effective manner with importance attached to the
prevention of a crisis is created.
China has successively signed currency swap agreements for a large
amount with South Korea, Hong Kong and Malaysia since late last
year. If Japan remains idle, China might seize the initiative.
Expansion of domestic demand first
As a measure to contribute to expanding domestic demand, it is
necessary to promptly improve assistance for the consolidation of
infrastructure that uses official development assistance (ODA).
Prime Minister Taro Aso at the recent Davos Conference announced
Japan's plan to contribute more than 1.5 trillion yen in ODA to
Asia. Asian countries welcomed the offer. Countries that received
IMF loans during the currency crisis have been forced to adopt an
austere fiscal policy. As a result, they are by and large falling
behind other countries in consolidating their infrastructures. Given
the size of the economies of such countries, Japan's proposal will
produce a major effect in stimulating their economies.
It is also important to strengthen ties among Asian countries and
create inter-region demand. It would be necessary to reinvigorate
economic activities, by facilitating the signing of bilateral
economic partnership agreements (EPA) as well as to propose specific
measures to realize the integration of economies of East Asia as a
whole with an eye on Japan, China, South Korea, ASEAN, India and
Australia.
Needless to say, Japan is urged to expand domestic demand. It is
also imperative for the government and companies to generate
domestic demand, using every available means, and boost imports from
Asia.
It is also important to underscore the importance of free trade, by
sending a wake-up call against a protectionist move at the G-20
emergency financial summit to be held in April. Protectionism will
deal a serious blow to the Asian economy, which highly relies on
trade.
Increasing presence in Asia and displaying leadership for the
revitalization of the regional economy should eventually contribute
to Japan achieving sustainable growth.
(7) Koizumi reforms coming out as source of trouble in the LDP
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full)
February 16, 2009
Former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi's sharp criticism of Prime
Minister Taro Aso for his wavering stance over the privatization of
TOKYO 00000358 008 OF 011
postal services has caused cracks in the government and the ruling
camp. The prime minister, cabinet ministers, and senior Liberal
Democratic Party (LDP) members have begun to suggest even reviewing
other policy challenges other than the postal privatization tackled
under the Koizumi administration. With Koizumi's appearance on the
political stage, a conflict over the propriety of structural reforms
might come up to the surface in the LDP.
"If you mean a departure from the market-forces principle, you are
right," Aso said in a meeting of the House of Representatives Budget
Committee on Feb. 5 in replying to a question: "Are you going to bid
farewell to the reforms of the Koizumi cabinet?" The questioner was
keeping in mind his earlier remarks on a review of the four-company
system.
He delivered a policy speech last month, in which Aso said: "With
only such slogans as 'transfer of authority from the government to
the private sector' and such ideas as 'change of the big government
into a small government', it is impossible to show the future course
of the nation." Aso thus took up Koizumi's buzzwords and stepped
into revising the reform policy of Koizumi.
Internal Affairs Minister Kunio Hatoyama echoed Aso's call for
reviewing the four-company system. He criticized Koizumi's reform
policy, saying: "He considered things based on the market-forces
principle and excessively carried out unemotional reforms." He also
denounced Koizumi's so-called triple reform of local government
finances. Appearing on a Fuji TV program yesterday, Hatoyama said
that whether to review the structural reforms of Koizumi "naturally
should be taken up in the next Lower House election campaign."
Several heavyweights of the LDP have also made statements related to
reforms. The LDP caucus in the House of Councillors Chairman
Hidehisa Otsuji insisted in a question-and-answer session of the
Upper House plenary session on the need to abolish the Council on
Economic and Fiscal Policy and the Council for Regulatory Reform,
both of which took the initiative in promoting the Koizumi cabinet's
structural reforms. Former Prime Minister Yoshiro Mori said in his
speech: "If Japan is engaged in structural reform and deregulation
for many years, its society may go wrong."
Set off by the criticism of the Aso administration by former Prime
Minister Koizumi, who holds enormous sway over junior party members,
a policy conflict involving different generations in the party may
intensify.
Masaaki Taira, a member of the group to realize people-oriented
politics, composed of first-time-elected Diet members, yesterday
revealed his intention to work on the party leadership to conduct a
discussion on the party's policy manifesto, remarking: "It is
undesirable that party or government leaders, when an unfortunate
event for them occurs, say it was caused not by them but by Koizumi
and Heizo Takenaka."
Former Secretary General Hidenao Nakagawa, who distances himself
from the Aso administration, pointed out yesterday: "Some LDP
members are trying to return the LDP to what it used to be." He
indicated a plan to form a parliamentary group of pro-reform
lawmakers ahead of the next Lower House election. The new source of
trouble over the structural reforms of the Koizumi administration is
generating new moves.
TOKYO 00000358 009 OF 011
(8) LDP suffering setbacks in local elections; Defeat of LDP-backed
candidates likely to affect Aso's strategy of dissolving Lower
House
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full)
February 17, 2009
In the wake of the Aso cabinet's slump in the polls, the decline of
the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is now evident in the
results of recent local elections. The LDP saw a decrease in its
Kitakyushu City assembly members in the recent election. The
incumbent candidate backed by the LDP Yamagata chapter also was
defeated in the gubernatorial election of Yamagata Prefecture,
usually a conservative stronghold. The Democratic Party of Japan
(DPJ), the largest opposition force, taking advantage of the
situation, intends not to back any candidates supported by the
ruling parties. The results of confrontation between the ruling and
opposition parties in local elections will likely affect Prime
Minister Taro Aso's strategy of fighting the next Lower House
election.
Mikio Aoki, former chairman of the LDP's caucus in the House of
Councillors, grumbled to the party's Election Strategy Council
Chairman Makoto Koga and Economy, Trade and Industry Minister
Toshihiro Nikai on the night of Feb. 11: "The situations in
prefectural chapters are terrible. We must support the
administration by all means, but it is becoming hard to do, isn't
it?" Hearing Aoki's remarks, the three senior LDP members fell into
a gloomy mood. The three would only confirm that they would back the
Aso administration for a while longer
Actually, the LDP has suffered setbacks in recent local elections,
which are regarded as preludes to the Lower House election that must
be held by the fall. In the January Yamagata gubernatorial election,
the LDP-backed candidate was defeated by Mieko Yoshimura, a fresh
candidate backed by the DPJ. In the Feb. 1 Kitakyushu City assembly
election, as well, although all DPJ-backed candidates won seats,
three candidates on the LDP ticket failed to be elected. A local
supporter of the LDP, complained: "We were defeated because of
(Prime Minister) Aso."
The impact is crystal clear in municipal elections in which the LDP
has kept strong organizational support. The candidate recommended by
the DPJ defeated the incumbent candidate backed by the LDP in the
Feb. 8 Shirosato town mayor election, Ibaraki Prefecture, where
conservative power has been strong. Since this was the first time
for a candidate the DPJ had recommended to win a municipal election
in the prefecture, senior LDP Election Strategy Council members were
shocked.
In the Nishitokyo mayoral election held on Feb. 8, as well, the
incumbent candidate recommended by the DPJ and other opposition
parties defeated the former city assembly member recommended by the
LDP. The New Komeito, the LDP's junior coalition partner, let its
members cast their votes on their own in the Shirosato and
Nishitokyo elections. A senior LDP member lamented: "The outcomes of
the elections have symbolized the clear trend of New Komeito
abandoning the LDP in the local elections."
The LDP has extensively ruled out the possibility that these local
races will have an impact on national elections, but the party
executive is panicky about the successive setbacks. The LDP has no
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prospects for boosting its low popularity. It will soon start coming
up with additional economic stimulus measures with an eye on a
supplementary budget for the fiscal 2009 budget. Under such
circumstance, the prevailing view in the ruling camp is that it will
be difficult for the prime minister to dissolve the Lower House
until the summer.
Meanwhile, the DPJ is expected to add momentum to the general
election taking advantage of victories in the local elections. In an
attempt to slice down the LDP's support organizations, DPJ President
Ichiro Ozawa has tried to increase the heads of municipalities. At a
press conference in January in Morioka City, he announced the
intention to strictly apply the principle of prohibiting supporting
candidates backed by the LDP and New Komeito.
Following this, the DPJ has decided to field its own candidate in
the gubernatorial race of Chiba Prefecture in March. The party
intends to create a model for confrontation with the ruling camp by
filing its own candidates also in the Akita gubernatorial and Nagoya
mayoral elections in April.
(9) Prime Minister's schedule, February 16
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full)
February 17, 2009
07:32
Took a walk around his official residence.
10:00
Met at Kantei with Chief Cabinet Secretary Kawamura and Deputy Chief
Cabinet Secretary Matsumoto. Matsumoto remained.
11:37
Attended LDP Shizuoka prefectural chapter's women's central study
session.
14:43
Met at Kantei with New Komeito leader Ota, joined by Kawamura. Met
later with Vice Foreign Minister Yabunaka and Deputy Foreign
Minister Sasae.
15:32
Met with Government's envoy Yachi, Natural Resources and Energy
Agency Director General Ishida, and Sasae, attended by Matsumoto and
Assistant Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Hayashi.
16:11
Met with Ambassador to Russia Kono, followed by Okinawa Gov.
Nakaima.
17:02
Attended LDP executive meeting.
17:52
Met at Kantei with Hong Kong's Chief Secretary for Administration
Zeng Yinquan.
18:27
Met Finance Minister Nakagawa, Vice Finance Minister Sugimoto, Vice
Finance Minister for International Affairs Shinohara, International
Bureau Director General Tamaki, joined by Kawamura. Kawamura
TOKYO 00000358 011 OF 011
remained.
19:26
Dined with Tokyo Stock Exchange President Taizo Nishimuro Nippon
Steel Honorary Chairman Takashi Imai and Nippon Steel Chairman Akio
Mitamura and Hiroshi Araki, advisor to Tokyo Electric Power, at
Japanese restaurant Fukudaya in Kioicho.
20:55
Met with Agriculture Minister Ishiba and Deputy Chief Cabinet
Secretary Konoike at Bar Capri in Hotel New Otani.
22:40
Returned to his official residence.
ZUMWALT