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Viewing cable 09TOKYO330, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 02/12/09

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09TOKYO330 2009-02-12 07:55 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO9814
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #0330/01 0430755
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 120755Z FEB 09
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0726
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/USFJ //J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 4732
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 2389
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 6176
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 0228
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 2941
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 7697
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 3717
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 3689
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 10 TOKYO 000330 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 02/12/09 
 
INDEX: 
 
(1) Poll on Aso cabinet, political parties (Yomiuri) 
 
(2) Government expects Clinton's Japan visit on Feb. 16 to help 
resolve abduction issue (Sankei) 
 
(3) Prime Minister Aso's visit to Sakhalin on Feb. 18 may end up 
accepting Russia's claim over island; Practical approach raises fear 
(Sankei) 
 
(4) Third group of 23 DPJ candidates for next Lower House election 
(Mainichi) 
 
(5) Gov. Nakaima again proposes Futenma alternative's offshore 
relocation (Ryuku Shimpo) 
 
(6) Greenhouse gas emissions: Government looking into emissions cuts 
with focus on between 5 PERCENT -15 PERCENT : Six proposals for 
mid-term goal (Nikkei) 
 
ARTICLES: 
 
(1) Poll on Aso cabinet, political parties 
 
YOMIURI (Page 10) (Full) 
February 10, 2009 
 
Questions & Answers 
(Figures shown in percentage) 
 
Q: Do you support the Aso cabinet? 
 
Yes 19.7 
No 72.4 
Other answers (O/A) 0.7 
No answer (N/A) 7.3 
 
Q: Which political party do you support now? 
 
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 26.8 
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 28.3 
New Komeito (NK) 3.2 
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 2.4 
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 0.8 
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.3 
Reform Club (RC or Kaikaku Kurabu) --- 
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) --- 
Other political parties --- 
None 35.7 
N/A 2.5 
 
Q: When comparing Prime Minister Aso and DPJ President Ozawa, who do 
you think is more appropriate for prime minister? 
 
Prime Minister Aso 23.7 
DPJ President Ozawa 40.1 
N/A 36.2 
 
Q: There is an opinion saying it would be unavoidable to raise the 
consumption tax rate in order to maintain the social security 
system, including pensions. Do you agree to this opinion? 
 
TOKYO 00000330  002 OF 010 
 
 
 
Yes 33.6 
Yes to a certain degree 19.5 
No to a certain degree 9.1 
No 34.4 
N/A 3.4 
 
Q: Prime Minister Aso has indicated a plan, which is contingent on 
an economic turnaround, to raise the consumption tax rate in fiscal 
2011 to ensure financial resources for social security. Do you 
support this plan? 
 
Appreciate very much 11.4 
Appreciate somewhat 21.9 
Don't appreciate very much 19.4 
Don't appreciate at all 42.2 
N/A 5.1 
 
Q: The government plans to hand out 2-trillion yen cash benefits to 
individual households as an economic stimulus measure. Do you 
appreciate this cash payout plan? 
 
Appreciate very much 10.6 
Appreciate somewhat 10.8 
Don't appreciate very much 18.6 
Don't appreciate at all 56.1 
N/A 3.8 
 
Q: The government plans to pay out the cash benefits within the 
current fiscal year. How will you use the money? 
 
Use the money for daily lives 44.4 
Buy something that I wanted to buy if I could afford to 16.8 
Use the money for travel, leisure, eating out, etc. 14.2 
Save the money 18.4 
Won't receive the money 3.7 
O/A 0.2 
NA 2.2 
 
Q: The government plans to send out the Maritime Self-Defense Force 
in order to protect Japanese and Japanese-related ships from pirates 
rampant in waters off the eastern African coast of Somalia. Do you 
support this MSDF deployment plan? 
 
Yes 39.5 
Yes to a certain degree 17.5 
No to a certain degree 10.7 
No 21.6 
N/A 10.7 
 
Q: The MSDF, even when deployed to Somalia waters, is currently not 
allowed to protect foreign ships irrelevant to Japan. Do you support 
the idea of enacting a new law allowing the MSDF to protect these 
foreign ships as well? 
 
Yes 45.0 
Yes to a certain degree 13.6 
No to a certain degree 8.2 
No 21.4 
N/A 11.8 
 
Q: Concerning the "amakudari" (descent from heaven) practice of 
 
TOKYO 00000330  003 OF 010 
 
 
retired government bureaucrats landing jobs with public corporations 
or private businesses and their "watari" (migration) practice of 
moving into a number of jobs through their ensuing outplacements to 
public corporations in particular, Prime Minister Aso has indicated 
a plan to prohibit government ministries and agencies within this 
year from offering amakudari and watari outplacements to their 
retirees. Do you appreciate this plan? 
 
Appreciate very much 55.5 
Appreciate somewhat 23.4 
Don't appreciate very much 7.2 
Don't appreciate at all 9.8 
N/A 4.1 
 
Q: When would you like the House of Representatives to be dissolved 
for a general election? 
 
Right away 27.9 
Around this spring 19.8 
No later than this June when the current Diet session ends 21.9 
Before the current membership's expiry in September 26.1 
N/A 4.3 
 
Q: If an election were to be held now for the House of 
Representatives, which political party would you like to vote for in 
your proportional representation bloc? 
 
LDP 26.0 
DPJ 40.3 
NK 3.4 
JCP 3.1 
SDP 1.9 
PNP 0.5 
RC --- 
NPN --- 
Other political parties --- 
Undecided 20.5 
N/A 4.3 
 
Q: What form of government would you like to see after the next 
election for the House of Representatives? 
 
LDP-led coalition government 10.6 
DPJ-led coalition government 24.5 
LDP-DPJ grand coalition government 23.6 
Government under new framework after political realignment 35.2 
O/A 0.0 
N/A 6.1 
 
Polling methodology: The survey was conducted Feb. 6-8 across the 
nation on a computer-aided random digit dialing (RDD) basis. 
Households with one or more eligible voters totaled 1,805. Valid 
answers were obtained from 1,087 persons (60.2 PERCENT ). 
 
(Note) In some cases, the total percentage does not become 100 
PERCENT  due to rounding. 
 
(2) Government expects Clinton's Japan visit on Feb. 16 to help 
resolve abduction issue 
 
SANKEI (Page 3) (Full) 
February 11, 2009 
 
TOKYO 00000330  004 OF 010 
 
 
 
Six months have passed since North Korea promised in working-level 
talks with Japan on August 11 to reinvestigate past abduction cases 
of Japanese nationals by North Korean agents. During this period, 
however, North Korea did not carry out this promise and even 
threatened that it would fire a ballistic missile. This brinkmanship 
diplomacy was apparently intended to draw out concessions from the 
U.S. The government expects to use the upcoming visit to Japan by 
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton starting on Feb. 16 to find 
a clue to resolving the North Korean abduction and nuclear problems 
by obtaining U.S. understanding and cooperation on these issues. 
 
In her first telephone conversation with Japanese Foreign Minister 
Hirofumi Nakasone in January, Clinton referred to the abduction 
issue, saying: "I place importance on the abduction issue. I am 
giving consideration to the abduction victims and the Japanese 
people." Tokyo has worked on Washington to realize her meeting with 
family members of abduction victims. Deputy Spokesman Robert Wood 
gave this positive reply: "Ms. Clinton will give proper 
consideration to the Japanese proposal." 
 
It appears so far that Japan and the U.S. have made a smooth start 
on policy coordination toward North Korea, but a lawmaker with 
cabinet experience suggested: "It is necessary to carefully watch 
what moves the U.S. government will make from now." 
 
Last October, Washington removed North Korea from the list of states 
sponsoring terrorism, even though the Japanese government had voiced 
strong opposition, citing the North's failure to deliver what it had 
promised to Japan. The delisting decision by former President Bush, 
who used to repeatedly say, "I will never forget the abduction 
issue," after meeting with Sakie Yokota, the mother of an abduction 
victim, has damaged the sensitivities of the Japanese people toward 
the U.S. 
 
A Japan-U.S. negotiator commented: 
 
"The Obama administration is fully aware that removing North Korea 
from the terror list has not helped resolve the issue; on the 
contrary, it has complicated U.S. relations with Japan. The Obama 
administration will not make the same mistake as its predecessor. 
The administration also is keeping in mind the DPRK's violation of 
the 1994 Framework Agreement with the U.S. under the Clinton 
administration that resulted in giving Pyongyang time to develop 
nuclear weapons." 
 
A Foreign Ministry source, however, noted: "Since the U.S. gives 
priority to the nuclear issue over the abduction issue, if new moves 
are observed in North Korea, Japan's view probably will be 
ignored." 
 
Kyoko Nakayama, special advisor to the prime minister, visited the 
U.S. in January and asked key U.S. government officials to continue 
to help resolve the abduction issue. However, according to a senior 
Foreign Ministry official, North Korea is also trying to have its 
views reflected in the new U.S. administration's policy. Optimism 
may not be warranted regarding how the U.S. will respond. 
 
Administrative Vice Foreign Minister Mitoji Yabunaka stated in a 
press conference on Sept. 9 that it was important to strengthen 
cooperation among Japan, the U.S., and South Korea in dealing with 
North Korea. He said: "What is clear is that the Obama 
 
TOKYO 00000330  005 OF 010 
 
 
administration has recognized the six-party talks as an effective 
framework." 
 
Clinton is scheduled to meet with Prime Minister Taro Aso and other 
senior Japanese government officials when she visits Japan. The 
Japanese officials should convey to her Japan's indomitable resolve 
to settle the abduction and nuclear issues. If so, Japan may be able 
to have the U.S. government set its policy toward the North in its 
favor. 
 
(3) Prime Minister Aso's visit to Sakhalin on Feb. 18 may end up 
accepting Russia's claim over island; Practical approach raises 
fear 
 
SANKEI (Top play) (Abridged slightly) 
February 12, 2009 
 
Morimichi Imahori 
 
Prime Minister Taro Aso will visit Sakhalin on Feb. 18 to hold a 
Japan-Russia summit, becoming the first Japanese premier to visit 
that island in the postwar period. Sakhalin is called Karafuto in 
Japan. Southern Sakhalin was Japan's territory until it was invaded 
and occupied (in 1945) by the Soviet Union. Prime Minister Aso has 
decided to visit Sakhalin with the aim of bringing progress to the 
Northern Territories issue by building relations of cooperation in 
resource exploitation. There are some misgivings that the prime 
minister's visit before the sovereignty issue has been settled might 
generate the wrong message regarding Japan's diplomatic stance. 
 
The prime minister's decision to visit Sakhalin is traceable to his 
telephone conversation with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev on 
Jan. 24 in which the president said: "I would like to invite you to 
the ceremony celebrating the start-up of the Sakhalin-2 project. I 
would like to discuss all outstanding issues between Russia and 
Japan." 
 
Japan received an informal invitation from Russia on the 
administrative level just before the Aso-Medvedev telephone 
conversation. A senior Foreign Ministry official noted: "Our initial 
reaction was: 'What is the motive for inviting the prime minister to 
Sakhalin? The invitation came only three weeks before the ceremony. 
Should the prime minister willingly visit the island?'" 
 
The Japanese people have mixed feelings about Sakhalin. 
 
Under the Portsmouth Peace Treaty of 1905 that ended the 
Russo-Japanese War, Japan took over the southern part of Sakhalin 
from the line at 50 degrees north latitude from Russia. Japan 
renamed the area Karafuto Prefecture with its capital at the place 
currently called Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk. 
 
Karafuto was invaded by the Soviet Union on August 9, 1945, days 
before the end of the war. Japan renounced its rights and claims in 
the Treaty of San Francisco of 1951. But because the Soviet Union 
did not sign the treaty, Japan's standpoint is that the issue of 
sovereignty over the Kuril Islands, excluding the four Russian-held 
islands, and southern Karafuto has not been settled under 
international law. 
 
The number of visas issued to travelers to Japan has increased as 
Japan has begun cooperating earnestly in the exploitation of oil and 
 
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natural gas in waters off Sakhalin. The Japanese government opened 
an office in Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk in 1997. The government upgraded the 
office to a consulate general in 2001, citing a growing need to 
protect Japanese nationals in Sakhalin. 
 
Despite such complex circumstances, Prime Minister Aso has decided 
to visit Sakhalin by turning a deaf ear to the concern in the 
Foreign Ministry and other circles that the prime minister's visit 
to the island over which sovereignty has not been established might 
end up sending the wrong message to Russia and the Japanese public. 
 
Since taking office, Prime Minister Aso has been endeavoring to 
forge pragmatic relations with China and South Korea centering on 
the economy. In his policy speech on Jan. 28, Aso defined Russia as 
an important partner in the Asia-Pacific region. The prime minister 
intends to strengthen relations with Russia centering on the 
resource and energy fields and move the Northern Territories issue 
forward with the start-up of Sakhalin-2 as a turning point. Aso told 
the House of Repetitive Budget Committee on Feb. 5: "I have no 
intention of using any political issue as a tool of political 
bargaining. I am always considering our country's national 
interests. 
 
Japan Forum on International Relations President Kenichi Ito 
commented apprehensively: "I don't know if it is a good idea for the 
Japanese prime minister to visit Sakhalin at a time when the 
Northern Territories issue remains stalled. Such might end up 
endorsing the former Soviet Union's military act." 
 
(4) Third group of 23 DPJ candidates for next Lower House election 
 
MAINICHI (Page 5) (Full) 
February 12, 2009 
 
The Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), the largest opposition force, 
decided on Feb. 10 in its executive meeting on the third group of 23 
candidates for the next general election of the House of 
Representatives. With the decision, the DPJ has officially endorsed 
a total of 260 candidates. Of the 300 electoral district seats, the 
DPJ has decided on the lineup of 284 candidates, including 22 
candidates to who the DPJ will give its recommendations. When asked 
on a television program on Feb. 10 about his party's target for 
seats, DPJ President Ichiro Ozawa said: "More than 150 electoral 
district seats." 
 
Based on its surveys since last fall, the DPJ has officially 
endorsed candidates, who meet a certain level of requirements. In 
order to swiftly make arrangements to meet the election, the party 
endorsed this time the 23 candidates in a lump. According to 
Election Campaign Committee Chairman Hirotaka Akamatsu, Ozawa will 
narrow down the electoral districts, in which the party will 
extensively put funds and support by senior members, to 50 to 60 in 
one month. 
 
The DPJ officially endorsed 289 candidates and recommended two 
candidates for 291 electoral districts in the 2005 Lower House 
election. However, the ratio of the DPJ recommending other parties' 
candidates in the upcoming election will remarkably increase. The 
party's way of fielding candidates has shown that the DPJ aims at 
taking over the reins of government by allying with other opposition 
parties. Of the remaining 16 electoral districts, the DPJ has 
labeled eight districts, including the Ibaraki No. 3, Niigata No. 5, 
 
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Hiroshima No. 6 and Okayama No. 3 constituencies, as "cooperation 
districts." The Ibaraki No. 3 electoral district is currently 
represented by former Administrative Reform Minister Yoshimi 
Watanabe, who has left the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP); 
the Niigata No. 5 district, by former Foreign Minister Makiko 
Tanaka, who belongs to the DPJ Lower House parliamentary group; the 
Hiroshima No. 6 constituency, by People's New Party Deputy Chief 
Shizuka Kamei; and the Okayama No. 3 constituency, by former trade 
minister Takeo Hiranuma. The DPJ intends to cooperate with eight 
incumbent lawmakers who are expected to run in these districts. 
 
Remaining eight electoral districts 
 
The DPJ plans to field its candidates in eight single-seat 
constituencies, which include the Iwate No. 4, Saitama No. 11, Gunma 
No. 4 and No. 5, Tokyo No. 12, Kanagawa No. 1, Toyama No. 3 and 
Hyogo No. 8. 
 
Of the eight electoral districts, although the Iwate No. 4 district 
is Ozawa's home constituency, Ozawa has implied at switching to the 
Tokyo 12 district, which is New Komeito leader Akihiro Ota's home 
constituency. Ozawa has said that he will decide at the last as to 
in which electoral district I should run. As he indicated on Jan. 31 
that he would run in the Iwate No. 4 constituency, the possibility 
of Ozawa switching to another district is now diminishing. 
 
A rumor is going around that New Party Nippon leader Yasuo Tanaka, 
who joins the DPJ's Upper House parliamentary group, will vie for 
the Lower House seat in the Hyogo No. 8 district, in which a New 
Komeito member will run. Tetsundo Iwakuni declined the DPJ's 
endorsement as the candidate for the Kanagawa No. 1 constituency. 
Although the People's New Party has called on the DPJ to file a 
united candidate (PNP candidate) in the Kanagawa No. 1 district, the 
DPJ is expected to dwell down on fielding its own candidate. The DPJ 
has picked a candidate for the Toyama No. 3 constituency. 
Coordination will be carried out as to which a unified opposition 
candidate or DPJ candidate should be fielded. 
 
(5) Gov. Nakaima again proposes Futenma alternative's offshore 
relocation 
 
RYUKYU SHIMPO (Page 2) (Full) 
February 11, 2009 
 
The Okinawa prefectural assembly yesterday opened its February 
regular session, during which Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima delivered a 
policy speech for fiscal 2009 and again proposed moving out to sea 
the government-planned relocation site of an alternative facility 
for the U.S. Marine Corps' Futenma Air Station. In his policy speech 
for fiscal 2008, the governor stated that "the relocation site 
should be moved to an offshore area as far as possible." In 
yesterday's speech, however, the governor stated that the relocation 
site should be moved as far as possible into the offshore area, 
etc." In this way, his policy speech showed a subtle change in its 
wording by inserting "etc. (nado)." 
 
According to the Okinawa prefectural government's base reversion 
policy division, the word "etc." was inserted by its administrative 
officials. It was not especially instructed by the governor, the 
division said. The division explained that the reason why the word 
"etc." was inserted is because it is intended to expand the scope of 
possible changes to the Futenma relocation plan. In addition, the 
 
TOKYO 00000330  008 OF 010 
 
 
division also said Okinawa is not coordinating in concrete terms 
with the government on any other solution plans that differ from the 
governor's proposal to move the relocation site out to sea. 
 
Concerning the expanded scope of possible changes to the 
government's Futenma relocation plan, the division explained that 
that is because the governor has sought to move the relocation site 
to an offshore area from the perspective of considering the living 
environment of local residents but has recently said he would also 
lay emphasis on the environmental impact of the newly planned 
facility on other areas, including Oura Bay, where Futenma airfield 
will be relocated. 
 
As a general trend, administrative documents frequently use the word 
"etc." One prefectural government official said the usage of "etc." 
is called "toton-no-jutsu" or a technique that leaves a loophole. 
"It's a typical bureaucratic style of writing," the official 
explained. If bureaucrats say or write something to define in only 
one way, that could deny other possibilities. The usage of "etc." 
has a shade of meaning as an excuse that they can make later if and 
when what they said or wrote did not come out as a result. 
 
(6) Greenhouse gas emissions: Government looking into emissions cuts 
with focus on between 5 PERCENT -15 PERCENT : Six proposals for 
mid-term goal 
 
NIKKEI (Top Play) (Full) 
February 8, 2009 
 
The government has finalized six proposals for a mid-term goal of 
cutting greenhouse gas emissions, an issue that will come into focus 
in talks on an international framework (post-Kyoto Protocol) for 
measures to address global warming starting in fiscal 2013. Details 
of the proposals have now been revealed. The proposed goals to be 
achieved by 2020 are broad-based, consideration having been given to 
the cost of emissions cuts and the state of international 
negotiations. The targets range between a 7 PERCENT  increase and a 
25 PERCENT  cut, compared with the 1990 level. The government 
intends to narrow down the proposed range of reduction percentages 
to between 5 PERCENT  and 15 PERCENT , the range with the highest 
feasibility. It will set Japan's target by June. 
 
The government will present the six proposals to the Round-Table on 
Global Warming, chaired by Hiroshi Okuda, executive and advisor of 
Toyota Motors, which directly reports to Prime Minister Taro Aso. 
The prime minister will likely order each government agency to press 
ahead with the Green New Deal program, which is designed to make 
efforts to prevent global warming and buoy up the economy 
compatible. 
 
The six proposals have been set, based on certain premises, such as 
a 6 PERCENT  increase, calculated on the premise of the continuation 
of the present effort to cut emissions," "between a 7 PERCENT 
increase and a 2 PERCENT  cut to be achieved, by taking measures 
that will cost a similar amount of money spent by the U.S. and 
European countries." Among the proposed amounts of cuts, a 25 
PERCENT  cut is the largest, which was worked out, based on the view 
presented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 
that it is necessary for industrialized countries as a whole to cut 
emissions by 25 PERCENT -40 PERCENT . 
 
Since Japan is calling for changing the base year for comparison of 
 
TOKYO 00000330  009 OF 010 
 
 
emissions cut from 1990 as provided under the Kyoto Protocol, target 
figures compared with the 2005 emissions level have also been 
indicated. Provided that 2005 is adopted a new base year, emissions 
cuts to be achieved will range between 4 PERCENT  and 30 PERCENT . 
 
The subcommittee (chaired by former Bank of Japan Governor Toshihiko 
Fukui) of the Round Table, which is looking into a prospective 
mid-term to be adopted, has analyzed the feasibility of the six 
proposals by inviting views from industrial circles and the public. 
It will reach a formal decision by June, after determining the 
international situation, people's livelihood and burdens likely to 
be imposed on corporate activities. 
 
The compiled proposals are aimed at smoothly facilitating 
discussions with the inclusion of measures needed in the event of a 
specific reduction rate being set. However, a growing view among 
government officials is that a settlement will be reached on the 
range of cuts by between 5 PERCENT  and 15 PERCENT . Under the Kyoto 
Protocol, Japan is required to cut emissions by 6 PERCENT  from the 
1990 level in the 2008-2012 period. As such, it would be difficult 
for it to obtain understanding from various countries, unless it 
comes up with a goal higher than that. On the other hand, a dominant 
view is that a proposal for cutting emissions by 25 PERCENT  is 
unrealistic, as it necessitates such measures as to disseminate high 
energy-efficiency water heaters to 90 PERCENT  of households 
throughout the nation or installing solar heat panels at every new 
house, as a government source said. 
 
Many foreign countries will likely make requests in setting their 
emissions cut goals. China and India are insisting that 
industrialized countries that have emitted a great deal of 
greenhouse gases should cut emissions substantially. The EU has come 
up with a 20 PERCENT  reduction plan, compared with the 1990 level. 
It will most likely call on Japan to make a substantive cut, too. 
However, it is deemed certain that domestic industry circles will 
complain about the idea of expanding a reduction rate as it will 
have an adverse effect on the economy. 
 
Six proposals for mid-term goal (to be achieved by 2020) 
 
Proposal  Rate of emissions reduction or increase, compared with 
1990 level ( PERCENT ) Basic thinking Major measures 
(1) 6 Continue present effort Increase the use of wind power and 
solar heat panels for houses four times larger than the present 
level 
(2) 7 - minus 2 Invest costs on the level similar to the mount the 
U.S. and European countries spend Increase the use of solar heat 
panels nearly 10 fold 
(3) Minus 4 Improve measures through self-help effort Increase the 
use of solar heat panels approximately 10 fold. 5-fold increase in 
the use of wind power 
 
case in which industrialized countries as a whole aim at a 25 
PERCENT  cut 
 
(4) Minus1 - minus13 Each country equally shares emissions cut cost 
Increase the use of solar heat panel up to 20 fold 
(5) Minus 16 - minus 18 Unify the ratio of the cost of emissions 
cuts to be shouldered by each country to GDP Increase the use of 
solar heat panels over 20 fold. Increase the ratio of 
next-generation types among new model cars to over 40 PERCENT 
(6) Minus 25 Japan will independently cut emissions by 25 PERCENT 
 
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Increase the use of solar heat panels more than 50 fold. Install 
high-efficiency water heaters at 90 PERCENT  of households 
 
(N.B.) Global warming gas targeted is carbon dioxide (CO2). 
 
ZUMWALT