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Viewing cable 09CONAKRY114, CNDD OUTLINES VAGUE ELECTION TIMELINE

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09CONAKRY114 2009-02-19 16:41 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Conakry
VZCZCXRO7075
RR RUEHMA RUEHPA
DE RUEHRY #0114/01 0501641
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 191641Z FEB 09
FM AMEMBASSY CONAKRY
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3467
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RHMFISS/HQ USAFRICOM STUTTGART GE
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 CONAKRY 000114 
 
SIPDIS 
SENSITIVE 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM KDEM SOCI ASEC GV
SUBJECT: CNDD OUTLINES VAGUE ELECTION TIMELINE 
 
REF: CONAKRY 0096 
 
1. (SBU) SUMMARY.  Recent meetings between the National 
Council for Democracy and Development (CNDD) and the Forces 
Vives, a group of civil and political actors, have focused on 
identifying an election date and defining a transition 
timeline.  The Forces Vives recently sent a letter to the 
President of the CNDD, Moussa Dadis Camara, pressing for 
clarification of the transition process, but received no 
reply.  Thereafter, during a nationally broadcast meeting 
with members of the international community and Guinean civil 
society, Dadis outlined a potential timeline for holding 
elections, but did not include specific dates.  The reaction 
from civil society seems positive, albeit tentative.  END 
SUMMARY. 
 
------------------------------------ 
CIVIL SOCIETY ASKS FOR CLARIFICATION 
------------------------------------ 
 
2. (SBU) Following a disappointing meeting with Dadis Camara 
(reftel), representatives from political parties, civil 
society, labor unions, religious leaders and 
youth--collectively known as the Forces Vives--met on 
February 10 in order to determine an appropriate course of 
action.  Frustrated by Dadis' ambiguity in regards to a 
transition timeline, the group sent Dadis a letter asking 
that he clarify in writing his vision for the transition. 
The letter was reportedly received, although the Forces Vives 
received no reply. 
 
--------------------------------------------- ---- 
CNDD ASKS FOR "NO TROUBLE" FROM POLITICAL PARTIES 
--------------------------------------------- ---- 
 
3. (SBU) On February 14, representatives from the CNDD, 
without Dadis present, met with the Forces Vives to prepare 
for the arrival of the International Contact Group on Guinea 
(ICG-G).  CNDD representatives emphasized the importance of 
presenting a collaborative and harmonious image to the ICG-G. 
 According to LES sources, when the Forces Vives continued to 
press for a repeal of the suspension of political activity, 
the CNDD demanded assurance that there would be "no trouble" 
from the political parties if it was lifted. 
 
--------------------------------------- 
DADIS LAYS OUT A TIMELINE FOR ELECTIONS 
--------------------------------------- 
 
4. (U) On February 16 at the People's Palace, the CNDD met 
with the ICG-G and the Forces Vives to discuss the transition 
process.  (NOTE.  The US delegate to the ICG-G is reporting 
on the group's response in septel.  END NOTE).  During the 
meeting, Dadis Camara proposed a timeline of essential 
activities that would lead to elections, but this timeline 
did not identify specific dates.  Dadis also indicated that 
the Forces Vives will have a significant role in both the 
approval of the timeline and the implementation of many of 
the actions.  Among the key measures included in the timeline 
were: 
 
-- Establishing a National Transition Council, composed of 
members of the CNDD and members of the Force Vives, to manage 
the transition. 
 
-- Resuming the voter registration process. 
 
-- Lifting the suspension of labor union and political party 
activities. 
 
-- Establishing a structure to monitor the Transition Road 
Map with the Contact Group. 
 
-- Establishing a Commission on Truth, Justice, and 
Reconciliation to investigate crimes committed during the 
June 2006 and January 2007 events. 
 
-- Revising and adopting a new constitution. 
 
-- Publishing a decree to call for elections. 
 
----------------------------------------- 
DADIS CLAIMS HE WILL NOT RUN FOR ELECTION 
----------------------------------------- 
 
5. (U) During his speech, Dadis assured the ICG-G that 
 
CONAKRY 00000114  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
neither he nor the Prime Minister would run in the 
presidential elections.  He also noted that any member of the 
government who wished to run would be asked to step down. 
Dadis included in his statement a denunciation of corruption, 
drug-trafficking, and patronage, while reiterating a plea for 
international support for the electoral process. 
 
---------------------------- 
REACTIONS FROM CIVIL SOCIETY 
---------------------------- 
 
6. (SBU) According to LES sources, the members of the Forces 
Vives, though hoping for specific dates to be included in the 
timetable, demonstrated support for the proposed timeline. 
Presidents of several political parties--the Union of 
Republican Forces (UFR), the Union for Progress and Renewal 
(UPR), the Union for Guinean Progress (UPG), and the Guinean 
People's Assembly (RPG)--expressed their approval for a 
National Transition Council that would serve as a platform to 
debate political, social, and economic issues facing Guinea. 
Ousmane Bah, President of UPR, noted in his speech that the 
meeting was the first time an opposition party had been 
allowed to speak at such a gathering.  Representatives from 
the labor unions, the National Council for Civil Society 
Organizations (CNOSC), youth groups, and religious leaders 
all pledged support to the CNDD and affirmed their commitment 
to the transition process. 
 
------- 
COMMENT 
------- 
 
7. (SBU) Some members of civil society seem hopeful that 
Dadis is increasingly taking their recommendations into 
account.  However, the CNDD'S continued reluctance to 
establish a definite timetable casts doubt on Dadis' 
commitment to move rapidly towards elections.  Further, it is 
unclear who would be responsible for the implementation of 
many of the proposed measures. 
 
RASPOLIC