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Viewing cable 09LAGOS24, NIGERIA: ELECTRICITY REGULATOR DEVELOPING POWER

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
09LAGOS24 2009-01-16 08:06 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Consulate Lagos
VZCZCXRO8544
PP RUEHMA RUEHPA
DE RUEHOS #0024/01 0160806
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 160806Z JAN 09
FM AMCONSUL LAGOS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0435
INFO RUEHZK/ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
RUEHUJA/AMEMBASSY ABUJA 0070
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH AFB UK
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
RHMCSUU/DEPT OF ENERGY WASHINGTON DC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
RUEWMFD/HQ USAFRICOM STUTTGART GE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LAGOS 000024 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
DOE FOR GPERSON, CHAYLOCK 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ENRG EINV EFIN PGOV NI
SUBJECT: NIGERIA: ELECTRICITY REGULATOR DEVELOPING POWER 
DISTRIBUTION AGREEMENT 
 
REF: A. LAGOS 143 
     B. LAGOS 415 
 
1. (SBU)  Summary: On December 17, the head on the Nigerian 
Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), Dr. Ransome Owan 
said that NERC is developing a memorandum of understanding 
for use by state governments and the Power Holding Company of 
Nigeria (PHCN) to permit states to keep some of the power 
generated by state financed power plants.  Currently all 
power is sent to the national grid with no guarantee that the 
state that paid for the power plant will benefit from it. 
The Commission recently heard arguments in a dispute between 
Lagos State and PHCN over the distribution of power from the 
AES power barges located in Lagos.  Owan lamented the GON's 
failure to provide sovereign risk guarantees for power 
purchase agreements and said the dispute with AES Nigeria is 
giving the country a bad reputation among international power 
investors.  The GON plans to round out the national grid that 
connects power plants in the south with northern customers. 
As currently constructed, the national grid is not a loop and 
any break in the trunk line that runs from the south to the 
north disrupts power to follow-on customers.  The planned MOU 
is a positive step that should encourage states to invest 
further in power generation projects.  The U.S. Mission and 
NERC also have a MOU for capacity building and technical 
assistance from the state of Michigan.  End Summary. 
 
Regulator to Develop State/PHCN Power Sharing MOU 
--------------------------------------------- ---- 
 
2. (SBU) In a meeting with the Consul General on December 17, 
Dr. Ransome Owan, the head of NERC and a former regulator in 
the United States, said his organization is developing a 
memorandum of understanding that can be used by state 
governments and PHCN as power sharing agreements to 
facilitate state investment in power generation facilities. 
Several states are funding, or are planning to fund, 
independent power projects with the assumption that some of 
the power will be dedicated to customers in the state. 
Currently there is no formal mechanism for making such an 
arrangement.  Power is sent by the power plant to the 
national grid and PHCN determines where that power is 
distributed.  Under the planned MOU, if a state finances a 
power project, PHCN will promise to transmit some incremental 
power from that plant back to the state over and above what 
the state currently receives from the national grid.  As an 
example, Owan cited an Akwa Ibom State funded power plant 
which will generate 190 MW per day.  Under the MOU, Akwa Ibom 
is guaranteed 70 MW of power above what it is currently 
receiving from the national grid; PHCN is free to distribute 
the remaining 120 MW across the country as needed.  PHCN will 
still charge the state customers for the electricity; the MOU 
will simply guarantee the electricity will be available. 
NERC is formalizing a blanket MOU that can be used by any 
state and it should be ready in a few months. 
 
3. (SBU) To emphasize the importance of an MOU, Owan said he 
had come to Lagos with other NERC commissioners to hear 
arguments by lawyers from Lagos State and PHCN over the 
distribution of power from the AES Nigeria power barge 
facility in Lagos.  Lagos State partially funded construction 
of the 270 MW facility, with the understanding most of that 
power would be distributed to customers in Lagos State, in 
addition to the power the state was already receiving from 
PHCN.  Lagos State does not believe it is receiving the 
additional power as promised and is seeking an order to force 
PHCN to supply it with more electricity.  For its part, PHCN 
argues that NERC does not have jurisdiction and the case must 
be brought to a federal court or to an arbitrator in London 
as specified in the AES contract.  NERC expected to rule on 
whether it has jurisdiction by January 7.  (Note: No ruling 
had been published as of January 15. End Note.) 
 
Sovereign Risk Guarantees Needed to Attract Investors 
--------------------------------------------- -------- 
 
4. (SBU)  When asked about the view of the international 
investment community towards the electricity sector, Owan 
acknowledged that it is difficult to arrange financing for 
 
LAGOS 00000024  002 OF 002 
 
 
such large scale projects in Nigeria even in the best of 
times.  He criticized a recent government decision (which he 
said he only read about in the newspapers) not to provide 
sovereign risk guarantees for new power purchase agreements. 
Since the electricity buyer, PHCN, is "not a creditworthy" 
institution, power plant investors will not trust it to make 
timely, complete payments.  Additionally, he thinks the GON's 
dispute with AES Nigeria over the terms of its power purchase 
agreement is giving the country a black eye among 
international power investors (Ref A) (Note: This dispute is 
over the power purchase agreement between PHCN and AES and is 
not connected to the dispute between Lagos State and PHCN 
noted above. End Note.)  The GON is too focused on the short 
term costs of the contract and does not realize the 
opportunity cost of deterring investors and forgoing new 
electricity generation projects.  Owan had not heard of the 
payment dispute between PHCN and the Agip/ConocoPhillips 
consortium that owns the Kwale-Akpai power plant, but he 
urged the companies to reach out to NERC if they are having 
problems Qth PHCN (Ref B). 
 
Completing the Transmission Loop 
------------------------------- 
 
5. (SBU) On the subject of the nation's transmission grid, 
Owan said PHCN plans to construct a transmission line that 
will run from power plants in the Niger Delta to an area 
north of Jos, thereby "closing the loop" on Nigeria's power 
grid.  Currently, in northern Nigeria, the grid really isn't 
a grid as only one main transmission line connects the 
southern grid to Nigeria's northern cities.  If there is a 
break in the line, electricity to all of northern Nigeria is 
cut off.  Owan did not have a timeline for completion of the 
project. 
 
6. (SBU) Owan lamented the slow pace of power plant 
construction under the National Integrated Power Project 
(NIPP), the GON's plan to build or expand eight thermal power 
plants over a three year time frame to quickly boost the 
nation's supply of electricity.  Suffering from delays and 
accusations of corruption and poor performance by the local 
contractors, Owan thought that the plan was overly ambitious 
and tried to build too many plants at once.  In his view, the 
GON should order contractors to build one or two power plants 
at a time rather than spreading the limited ability of local 
contractors over dozens of projects.  (Note: One local firm, 
Rockson Engineering, is building four of the eight NIPP power 
plants, while building transmission lines and several state 
financed power plants.  Since it started work in 2006, it has 
not completed a NIPP power plant.  End Note.) 
 
7. (SBU) Owan, a dual national American/Nigerian, has two 
more years left in his five year term as the head 
commissioner at NERC.  Commissioners are limited to two, five 
year terms and he indicated he would accept reappointment. 
Owan admitted he is pushing NERC boundaries, attempting to 
perform some roles he sees going unfilled by other federal 
ministries.  For instance, under the guise of quarterly 
agency status reports mandated by the National Assembly, NERC 
plans to publish and present to the President and National 
Assembly a comprehensive update on the sector to include the 
status of all power related projects. 
 
8. (SBU) Comment:  The plans for a NERC-facilitated MOU 
between states and PHCN is an interesting step in the right 
direction.  Several southern state governors appear eager to 
by-pass the federal government and fund power projects from 
their states' cash flow.  If those states can also figure out 
a way to provide power payment guarantees as well, we could 
see some real progress towards attracting outside investors 
in public private partnerships in the power sector.  End 
Comment. 
 
9. (U) This cable cleared with Embassy Abuja. 
BLAIR