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Viewing cable 08BAGHDAD3799, IRAQ AGRICULTURE: RAIN FUELS EXPECTATION OF NORMAL GRAIN

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08BAGHDAD3799 2008-12-04 08:41 2011-08-24 16:30 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Baghdad 
VZCZCXRO8195
RR RUEHBC RUEHDA RUEHDE RUEHIHL RUEHKUK
DE RUEHGB #3799 3390841
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 040841Z DEC 08
FM AMEMBASSY BAGHDAD
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0685
INFO RUCNRAQ/IRAQ COLLECTIVE
 
UNCLAS BAGHDAD 003799 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE PLEASE PASS TO USDA/FAS OGA GRIFFIN, SHEAN 
STATE ALSO PASS TO USDA/FAS OCRA ALLEN 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: EAGR ECON ETRD IZ
SUBJECT: IRAQ AGRICULTURE: RAIN FUELS EXPECTATION OF NORMAL GRAIN 
PRODUCTION 
 
SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED.  PLEASE PROTECT ACCORDINGLY. 
 
1.  (SBU) Substantial general, at times locally very heavy, rain 
arrived 29 November, providing much needed moisture for rain-fed 
wheat and barley production in the 2009/10 crop year.  Based on 
accumulated rainfall data from the Ministry of Agriculture, this 
event provided ample moisture for seeding and germination of dry 
land wheat and barley production from Ninawa Province in the north 
through the central provinces of Iraq.  MoA is extremely pleased and 
relieved with the arrival of rain, especially following the severe 
drought experienced in Iraq for the 2008/2009 crop.  MoA reported 
rainfall totals are listed in paragraph 4. 
 
2.  (SBU) FAS/Baghdad preliminary analysis indicates this rainfall 
is sufficient to maintain a forecast of normal wheat and barley 
production, 2.0 and 1.0 million metric tons respectively, for the 
2009/10 marketing year as of this date.  Additional rainfall for the 
rain fed grain areas will still be required to bring this forecast 
to reality. 
 
3.  (SBU) Rice production remains a question of how much irrigation 
water will be allocated for the crop.  A decision by the Ministry of 
Water Resources (MoWR) has yet to be publicized. However, Iraqi 
reservoir levels are reported to be below those of the previous crop 
season, when MoWR restricted the application of irrigation water for 
rice production.  Local analysts expect MoWR to again restrict water 
availability for rice irrigation based on reported reservoir 
levels. 
 
4.  (SBU) According to Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) officials, 
rainfall accumulations were recorded as follows: 
 
     PROVINCE  LOCALE  REPORTED RAINFALL 29-30 Nov 
         (mm) 
   Bagdad   Baghdad     42.1 
   Baghdad   Airport     5.8 
   Ninawa   Mosul    32.8 
   Ninawa   Sinjar     0.8 
   Ninawa   Rabiaa     7.9 
   Ninawa   Telaafar    11.0 
   Salah ad Din  Tikrit    11.3 
   Salah ad Din  Samarraa    18.0 
   Ta'mim   Kirkuk     5.3 
   Ta'Mim   Tuzkhurmato   12.4 
   Ta'Mim   Chumchama    l4.3 
   Wasit   Al-Hay    14.5 
   Wasit   Al-Azzizia   23.8 
   Wasit   Badra    34.8 
   Maysan   Omara    20.4 
   Maysan   Ali Al-Gharbi   23.2 
   Dahuk     Dahuk    38.0 
   Dahuk   Zakho    36.6 
   Dahuk   Makhmur    18.2 
   Karbal'   Karbala     1.1 
   Najaf   Najaf     0.5 
   Qadisiyah  Diwaniyah     8.3 
   Al Anbar  Ramadi     6.1 
   Basrah   Al-Faw     0.7 
   Babil   Hilla     1.8 
 
   SOURCE: MoA Unpublished Data 
   CROCKER