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Viewing cable 08ADDISABABA2802, ETHIOPIA'S LACKLUSTER PARLIAMENTARY AGENDA

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08ADDISABABA2802 2008-10-08 07:17 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Addis Ababa
VZCZCXRO0949
OO RUEHROV
DE RUEHDS #2802/01 2820717
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 080717Z OCT 08
FM AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2318
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
RUEWMFD/HQ USAFRICOM STUTTGART GE IMMEDIATE
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE
RUEPADJ/CJTF HOA IMMEDIATE
RUEKDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE
RHEHAAA/NSC WASHDC IMMEDIATE
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 ADDIS ABABA 002802 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV EAGR ECON ET
SUBJECT: ETHIOPIA'S LACKLUSTER PARLIAMENTARY AGENDA 
 
REF: A. ADDIS 910 
     B. ADDIS 2645 
 
SUMMARY 
------- 
 
1. (U) Ethiopian President Girma Woldegiorgis presented the 
Ethiopian Government's (GoE) parliamentary agenda at the 
October 6 opening session of Parliament.  Peppered with dry 
calls for administrative proclamations, quality control 
standards and institutes, and the improvement of key sectors 
such as the apiculture industry, the President's 
dispassionate speech largely neglected every major key issue 
of the day.  While making vague pledges of sustaining 
economic growth, controlling inflation, and consolidating 
good governance marked the major themes, the President made 
no mention of contentious national security concerns such as 
Somalia, tensions with Eritrea, or preparations for the 2010 
national elections.  President Girma did make passing 
reference to the pending civil societies organizations (CSO) 
law, drawing on international best practices to establish a 
counter-terrorism proclamation, and "changing the structure" 
of the Ministry of Information.  The President also re-echoed 
the Prime Minister's pledge to Parliament in March (Ref. A) 
for the GoE to continue to provide grain, sugar, and edible 
oil subsidies to urban dwellers.  While largely a mundane 
laundry list of apolitical administrative actions that left 
many observers and opposition MPs bewildered, the largely 
ceremonial head of state's address was sure to open and 
conclude in emphasizing that the government has ensured the 
"opposition's right to be heard and the ruling party's 
prerogative to take decisions."  End Summary. 
 
FIRST, EXECUTIVE BRANCH STEPS TO MANAGE THE ECONOMY 
--------------------------------------------- ------ 
 
2. (U) Before addressing the legislative agenda, the 
President opened with a review, and foreshadowing, of GoE 
actions to manage the economy.  President Girma noted that 
the continuation of strong economic growth and control of 
inflation remain the GoE's top priorities.  To ensure 
sustained growth above 10%, Girma argued that the GoE would 
target the promotion of agricultural productivity, 
stabilization of prices, and reduction of food prices.  Girma 
was clear that "the government will continue to intervene to 
stabilize grain prices" by importing grains for subsidized 
resale to the poor.  By redoubling efforts to increase 
government revenues, minimize the budget deficit, and 
limiting bank lending, the GoE will seek to reduce by half 
the amount of money in circulation to control inflation. 
 
SOME NUGGETS... 
--------------- 
 
3. (U) Moving into the meat of the GoE's legislative agenda, 
President Girma sprinkled few key efforts amidst a veritable 
laundry list of more mundane technical and administrative 
initiatives.  Among these was a proclamation to establish a 
Council of regional and federal government officials charged 
with implementing a National Preparatory Plan developed to 
promote long term economic growth and create a "single strong 
economic community."  To improve the legal and judicial 
regulatory infrastructure, the GoE will propose an updated 
Criminal Procedure Code to better conform with the revised 
Penal Code, a codified evidence law, a judicial 
procedure/administration law, and a proclamation governing 
alternative dispute resolution.  A pledge to submit a 
Charities and Societies Proclamation (CSO law) to parliament 
merited only a passing utterance buried among this broader 
list of legal sector initiatives without any specific 
comment. 
 
4. (U) As part of the GoE's focus on "creating a conducive 
environment for the prevalence of peace, President Girma 
pledged that priority will be given to producing a proper 
legal framework to combat terrorism, the GoE will present an 
Anti-Terrorism Proclamation "based on the constitution and 
lessons from international practice."  After announcing an 
initiative to establish a Ministry of Science and Technology, 
Girma noted the need to "change the existing structure of the 
Ministry of Information" to allow the expansion of 
information technology and the diversity of the media to 
contribute more effectively to the development of the 
country."  (Note: In an October 3 meeting with Embassy 
Officers, House Speaker Teshome Toga reported that this step 
 
ADDIS ABAB 00002802  002 OF 002 
 
 
may mean the dissolution of the Ministry of Information and 
the placement of its functions under the Office of the Prime 
Minister.  End Note). 
 
...BUT MOSTLY ADMINISTRIVIA 
--------------------------- 
 
5. (U) Apart from these few nuggets on issues of broad 
interest, the bulk of the President's address covered a slew 
of bureaucratic and administrative initiatives to establish 
standards and monitoring mechanisms affecting key elements of 
Ethiopia's overwhelmingly agricultural-based economy.  To 
promote agricultural productivity, the GoE would propose 
bills governing the supply of imported seeds and grains, 
widening the use of modern and organic fertilizers, and 
establishing a legal framework for the importation and use of 
pesticides.  To shift the export focus of the country with 
Africa's largest herd from live animals to meat and meat 
products, the GoE will submit legislation to ensure the 
quality of meat production.  Similar initiatives aim to 
legislate on bee-keeping development and the production and 
development of forest resources including natural incense and 
gum.  While Girma made passing reference to legislation on 
structural reforms in the agricultural sector, he provided no 
details. 
 
6. (U) To promote the development and quality of industrial 
products to meet international standards, the GoE will 
propose legislation to establish a Standards and Quality 
Authority, a National Patent Institute, and re-establish the 
National Meteorological Institute.  In the social sector, 
bills will be submitted on education reform, higher 
education, social insurance, health care, and to establish a 
Health Supervision Authority. 
 
7. (U) Beyond the scope of the lower, legislative House of 
People's Representatives, the President noted that the GoE 
will urge the upper House of Federation -- charged with 
administering inter-regional affairs and federal revenue 
sharing arrangements with the regions -- to review 
international best practices on the administration of federal 
systems of governance, to promote domestic awareness of the 
constitution, and initiate efforts to mitigate conflict among 
neighboring peoples and regions.  President Girma both 
opened, and concluded, his address by emphasizing that the 
GoE has, and continues to, ensure the "opposition's right to 
be heard and the ruling party's prerogative to take 
decisions." 
 
COMMENT 
------- 
 
8. (U) While Ethiopia's ceremonial head of state seldom takes 
up highly-political or contentious issues, our contacts among 
the political opposition and broader public unveil a high 
degree of bewilderment and frustration by the President's 
absolute refusal to raise major political themes of current 
debate including Ethiopia's role in Somalia, sustained 
tensions with Eritrea, or the coming 2010 national elections. 
 Certainly the amended structure of the Ministry of 
Information and the details contained in the forthcoming 
Anti-Terrorism Proclamation could have broad-ranging 
implications for U.S. interests and objectives in Ethiopia 
and the region; we will actively monitor how these 
developments take shape. 
 
9. (U) The pledged continuation of the GoE's largely 
ineffective food subsidization program, however, raises 
concerns.  If this will be driven by imported grain, as 
stated by President Girma, the move may supplement the coming 
harvest's expected short supply, but at a significant hard 
currency cost at a time when foreign reserves are at 
precarious lows.  Alternately, if sourced from the domestic 
harvest, as previously reported (Ref. B) the initiative risks 
exacerbating food insecurity as Ethiopia moves into mid-2009. 
 End Comment. 
MALAC