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Viewing cable 08VILNIUS784, BELARUS WEEKLY POL/ECON REPORT - September 19, 2008

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08VILNIUS784 2008-09-19 14:23 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Vilnius
VZCZCXRO6888
RR RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN
RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHVL #0784/01 2631423
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 191423Z SEP 08
FM AMEMBASSY VILNIUS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2845
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 VILNIUS 000784 
 
SIPDIS 
AMEMBASSY MINSK SENDS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM ECON ENRG BO
SUBJECT: BELARUS WEEKLY POL/ECON REPORT - September 19, 2008 
 
1.  The following are brief items of interest compiled by Embassy 
Minsk. 
 
TABLE OF CONTENTS 
 
Civil Society 
------------- 
 
- Brest Opposition Activists Arrested (para. 2) 
- Police Violently Disperse Solidarity Demonstration (para. 3) 
- Soligorsk Malady Front Activist Detained (para. 4) 
- Central Election Commission Releases Statistics (para. 5) 
 
Domestic Economy 
---------------- 
 
- Statistics Ministry Reports Significant Price Increases through 
August (para. 6) 
- U.S. Manufacturer Of Fertilizers Sues Russian, Belarusian and 
Canadian Competitors (para. 7) 
- National Bank Registers Belarusian-Iranian Bank (para. 8) 
- Belarus' Foreign Debt is above USD 14 Billion (para. 9) 
- World Bank Group Notes Improvement in Belarus' Business Code 
(para. 10) 
 
Foreign Trade 
-------------- 
 
- Economy Ministry Reverses its Tough Mark-up Control Regulations 
(para. 11) 
 
Quote of the Week (para. 12) 
----------------- 
 
------------- 
Civil Society 
------------- 
 
2.  Brest Opposition Activists Arrested 
 
A Brest district court sentenced opposition activists Yevgeniy 
Skrebets and Mikhail Ilyin to five days in jail on September 15. 
Police detained the two activists for distributing leaflets that 
called for boycotting upcoming elections, and charged them with 
using profanity in public.  They also searched Ilyin's apartment and 
seized printed materials.  Ilyin protested that the police continued 
to crack down on opposition forces prior to the elections. 
 
3.  Police Violently Disperse Solidarity Demonstration 
 
Police violently dispersed an unsanctioned "Solidarity Day" protest 
-- marking the disappearances of opposition figures in 1999 -- in 
central Minsk September 16.  Approximately 40 opposition members and 
families of the disappeared in 1999 prominent politicians gathered 
to mark the anniversary of their abduction.  Riot police brutally 
pushed the demonstrators out of the central square and beat a number 
of well-known opposition figures, including Belarusian Popular Front 
first deputy chair Vintsuk Vyachorka and his son Franak.  The 
activists registered their injuries and appealed to prosecutors. 
 
4.  Soligorsk Malady Front Activist Detained 
 
On September 15, police briefly detained Malady Front (MF) activist 
Andrey Tychina in Soligorsk.  Law enforcers apprehended Tychina when 
he was distributing copies of the local independent newspaper 
"Svobodny Soligorsk" and handcuffed the activist to transport him to 
a police station.  He was released an hour later without official 
charges.  Police seized 40 copies of the newspaper. 
 
5.  Central Election Commission Releases Statistics 
 
On September 12, Central Election Commission (CEC) Chairwoman Lidiya 
Yermoshina announced at a press conference that 279 candidates were 
running for the parliament.  63 of those represent opposition 
political parties.  Yermoshina also informed that the CEC had 
already registered 205 international observers and over 600 local 
observers.  Over 520 applications from international organizations 
were still pending.  Lida-based Belarusian Popular Front member 
Stanislav Sudnik reportedly withdrew from the race on September 17, 
so the number of candidates decreased further to 278. 
 
---------------- 
Domestic Economy 
---------------- 
 
6.  Statistics Ministry Reports Significant Price Increases through 
August 
 
According to news stories, Belarus' Statistics Ministry reported on 
September 15 that consumer prices grew through August by 8.3 
percent.  The rise of prices on non-food products was 5.3 percent, 
while food became more expensive 7.5 percent on the average. 
 
VILNIUS 00000784  002 OF 002 
 
 
 
7.  U.S. Manufacturer of Fertilizers Sues Russian, Belarusian and 
Canadian Competitors 
 
The Interfax news agency reported September 15 that the U.S. 
manufacturer of mineral fertilizers Min-Chem Inc. sued some of the 
world's leading producers that supply 71 percent of the world 
potassium market in a Minnesota county court.  The plaintiff 
believes Russia's Uralkaliy and Silvinit, Belarus' Belaruskaliy and 
several Canadian companies made coordinated efforts in 2003-2008 to 
inflate the prices of potassium fertilizers in the United States. 
Uralkaliy reported that the same companies were sued in an Illinois 
court.  Uralkaliy has already voiced their commitment to actively 
defend their interests in court. 
 
8.  National Bank Registers Belarusian-Iranian bank 
 
Belarus' National Bank posted on its website a press-release on the 
September 12 registration of the Belarusian-Iranian joint stock 
"Trade Capital Bank" (TC Bank).  The founders of the bank are Iran's 
Tejarat bank and Belarus' Lada OMC-Holding.  The bank's charter fund 
is above Euro 5 million. 
 
9.  Belarus' Foreign Debt is above USD 14 Billion 
 
According to Belarus' National Bank statistical report cited in the 
press September 16, the country's aggregate foreign debt as of July 
1 was USD 14.1 billion.  The debt has grown 13 percent since 
January.  The biggest shares in the growing debt belong to 
commercial banks and some unnamed sectors of the economy: 30.6 
percent and 11.9 percent respectively. 
 
10.  World Bank Group Notes Improvement in Belarus' Business Code 
 
According to the Prime-TASS news agency, officers of the World Bank 
and International Financial Corporation (IFC) in Minsk presented the 
new "Doing Business 2009" report on September 15.  They noted 
Belarus' rating improved significantly, as the country heightened 
its rank from 115 in 2008 to 85 in 2009.  The World Bank Group's 
report (www.doingbusiness.org) provides quantitative indicators on 
business regulations and the protection of property rights in 181 
economies.   The reports evaluated Belarus' regulations that 
directly affect the ability of businesses to grow and create jobs 
and identified improvement in regulatory reform practices. 
 
------------- 
Foreign Trade 
------------- 
 
11.  Economy Ministry Reverses its Tough Mark-up Control 
Regulations 
 
According to various news agencies reports, Belarus' Economy 
Ministry passed resolution 183 on September 10 to void many of the 
most prohibitive regulations introduced by the same Ministry's 
resolution 179, which was passed in late August.  The original plan 
of limiting wholesale and retail price mark-up on all imported goods 
to the total of 30 percent caused the most active and organized 
protest  in the country's business community, which obviously scared 
the government.  The new resolution allows 30 percent mark-up for 
importers/wholesalers and the total of 30 percent for retailers. 
Leaders of the Belarusian business community call resolution 183 a 
sensible compromise between business and the government and claim it 
satisfies their communities 95 percent.  The resolution exempts 
about 40 types of imports, primarily food products, from any mark-up 
limits. 
 
----------------- 
Quote of the Week 
----------------- 
 
12.  Answering questions of Euroradio on September 15 and commenting 
on the potential removal from the EU travel ban list, the 
Chairperson of Belarus' Central Election Commission Lidiya 
Yermoshina said she is sick and tired of traveling to Turkey and 
Egypt for vacation and is looking forward to visiting Europe: 
 
"I am afraid to believe this happiness is possible.  If that 
happens, yet next year I will be able to select a travel to my 
liking.  I would certainly love to see Paris, Venice and certainly 
Spain.  This is my dream.  I am an educated girl and I take interest 
in museums.  Seeing them is the most important thing for me". 
 
MOORE 
CLOUD