VZCZCXRO7490
OO RUEHROV
DE RUEHKH #1126/02 2091409
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 271409Z JUL 08
FM AMEMBASSY KHARTOUM
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1439
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE
RHMFISS/CJTF HOA

UNCLAS SECTION 02 OF 02 KHARTOUM 001126 
 
DEPT FOR AF/SPG, A/S FRAZER, SE WILLIAMSON 
ADDIS ABABA FOR USAU 
DEPT PLS PASS USAID FOR AFR/SUDAN 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL KPKO SOCI AU UNSC SU
SUBJECT: GOSS MINISTER FOR PRESIDENTIAL AFFAIRS ON ICC, ELECTIONS, 
ABYEI AND THE LRA 
 
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* Missing Section 001 * 
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KHARTOUM 00001126  002 OF 002 
 
 
the South and its elections strategy.  Clearly, the SPLM sees the 
indictments as a possible threat to the implementation of the CPA, 
and is focused on how to keep the CPA on track no matter what.  The 
SPLM is always eager to seek additional leverage against the NCP and 
views a possible run (or threat to run) by Kiir for the national 
presidency in this regard.  The problem of who would run in Kiir's 
place in the South, and what the party would do if Kiir loses in the 
national election, has not been fully addressed.  Presumably the 
SPLM will say Kiir intends to run in the national election until the 
last possible minute, to gain leverage with the NCP, and then strike 
a deal to keep the status quo.  It is certainly hard to imagine 
anyone else besides Salva Kiir being president of the GOSS in the 
sensitive and historic years leading up to the 2011 referendum on 
Southern independence. 
 
FERNANDEZ