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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 10 TOKYO 001492 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 05/30/08 
 
 
INDEX: 
 
(1) Interview with Senator Joseph Lieberman, foreign affairs adviser 
to presidential candidate John McCain -- Reaching U.S.-DPRK 
agreement under Bush administration not possible; New multilateral 
organization to complement United Nations essential (Nikkei) 
 
(2) TICAD IV: Government develops aggressive resources diplomacy 
(Mainichi) 
 
(3) Japan presents aid plans in succession at Africa conference to 
counter China (Yomiuri) 
 
(4) Vacuum in Japan's defense-oriented policy now created due to 
Tokyo's decision to join treaty totally banning cluster munitions 
(Sankei) 
 
(5) Former Defense Minister Yuriko Koike in interview says Prime 
Minister Fukuda should adopt policies agreeable to the public (Tokyo 
Shimbun) 
 
(Corrected copy) Medical service system for elderly people over 75 a 
campaign issue for Okinawa Prefectural Assembly (Mainichi) 
 
ARTICLES: 
 
(1) Interview with Senator Joseph Lieberman, foreign affairs adviser 
to presidential candidate John McCain -- Reaching U.S.-DPRK 
agreement under Bush administration not possible; New multilateral 
organization to complement United Nations essential 
 
NIKKEI (Page 8) (Full) 
May 30, 2008 
 
U.S. Senator Joseph Lieberman, an influential foreign policy adviser 
to Senator John McCain, the Republican presidential candidate, gave 
an interview to a Nikkei reporter in Tokyo on May 29. In the 
interview, the Senator indicated that chances are extremely slim for 
North Korea to reach a "complete, verifiable and irreversible 
agreement" on all its nuclear programs with the Bush administration 
before the President leaves office. He also expressed his desire to 
establish a multilateral consultative body complementing such 
organizations as the United Nations and the summit of major 
nations. 
 
Lieberman, an influential legislator who is a member of the 
Democratic Party, has been close to McCain, as seen in his support 
for the Iraq war along with the Republican presidential candidate. 
Lieberman is regarded as the leading candidate to become secretary 
of State under a "McCain administration." 
 
Senator Lieberman emphatically indicated that it is not enough to 
disable the nuclear facilities around Yongbyon for producing 
military plutonium. He said: "There still remain many issues, such 
as highly enriched uranium (HEU), the nuclear weapons that already 
exist in the North, and the question of proliferation of nuclear 
technology." 
 
He added: "It seems impossible to seek something (agreement) that is 
comprehensive, verifiable, transparent, and irreversible in the next 
six or seven months before the Bush administration steps down." 
 
 
TOKYO 00001492  002 OF 010 
 
 
On Asia policy, he unveiled the following ideas: (1) strengthening 
relations with allies, such as Japan; (2) establishing a spontaneous 
multilateral alliance by such democracies as Japan, the United 
States, Australia, and India to complement the United Nations and 
the summit of major nations; and (3) taking a pragmatic approach by 
accelerating or starting nuclear disarmament talks with China and 
Russia. 
 
Shifting the focus to the Middle East, the Senator expressed concern 
over Iran's assistance to radical Islamic groups. He also warned 
that a prompt withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq would end up 
intensifying such a trend. Pointing out that Iran has yet to abandon 
its nuclear weapons ambitions, he indicated that Israel or other 
countries might take military action. 
 
Main points from statement by Lieberman 
 
(Japan-U.S. alliance) 
 
The alliance with Japan is the cornerstone of America's Asia policy. 
Sharing and maintaining such common values as democracy and the 
market economy benefit the two sides. The rise of China particularly 
requires the two countries to work closely together. 
 
(North Korea) 
 
The North Korean nuclear issue cannot be settled by the disablement 
of nuclear facilities in Yongbyon alone. The issue embraces a wide 
range of matters, including a nuclear program that uses HEU, the 
existing nuclear weapons, and the proliferation of nuclear 
technology. It seems impossible to seek something (agreement) that 
is comprehensive, verifiable, transparent, and irreversible in the 
next seven months before the Bush administration leaves office. 
Although the abduction issue is important, a balance must be struck 
(with the nuclear issue). 
 
(Multilateral consultative organization) 
 
Along with bilateral relations with such countries as Japan, 
Australia and India, the United States must strengthen multilateral 
relations. I am considering a spontaneous alliance that can 
complement the roles of the United Nations and other organizations 
when they cannot take action freely. Senator McCain thinks Russia 
must be removed from the Group of Eight. Their concentration of 
power at the center is a problem. The idea of adding China to the 
G-8 as its formal member also seems premature. 
 
(Middle East peace, Iran) 
 
The United States must become proactively involved in the 
Palestinian-Israeli peace talks. The United States must firmly 
support the Palestinian autonomous government and especially 
cooperate in aiming at enhanced police and security capabilities. 
The most serious factor for Middle East peace is an expansionist 
Iran. Although Senator Obama says that the U.S. military should 
withdraw from Iraq by the end of 2009, such would only benefit Iran 
and the Al-Qaeda. Iran would not hold talks sincerely unless it can 
sense that the United States and other countries might take economic 
sanctions and military action. 
 
(2) TICAD IV: Government develops aggressive resources diplomacy 
 
 
TOKYO 00001492  003 OF 010 
 
 
MAINICHI (Page 9) (Full) 
May 30, 2008 
 
The government is proactively developing diplomacy at the Fourth 
Tokyo International Conference for African Development (TICAD IV), 
now being held in Yokohama City. Africa is attracting the world's 
attention for its rich resources, starting with untapped oil, 
natural gas and rare metals. Japan is visibly lagging behind China, 
which has been actively investing in Africa for many years.  It is 
now doing its utmost to strengthen ties with African countries, 
seeing the TICAD Conference as the perfect opportunity, as a senior 
official of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) put 
it. 
 
Marathon talks 
 
METI Minister Akira Amari on the afternoon of May 29 pursued 
"marathon talks" with the presidents of five African countries, 
including South Africa, Botswana and Namibia.  The main items on the 
agenda of the talks with those countries were resources development 
and technology aid for the promotion of development. 
 
Africa is one of the few areas that produce rare metals, such as 
cobalt and platinum, materials used for the manufacturing of cell 
phones and automobiles. The amount of rare metal deposits in the 
world is limited. However, demand for such is increasing as newly 
emerging countries grow, bringing about a sharp rise in prices. The 
situation is seriously affecting Japan's industries. A major 
challenge for Japan is to secure resources, such as rare metals, by 
strengthening ties with African countries. 
 
However, Japan is visibly lagging behind other countries in building 
relations with African countries. China, in particular, is actively 
strengthening ties with them, pledging a large amount of investment 
in talks with leaders of various countries. The total amount of its 
exports and imports vis-`-vis Africa in 2007 increased to 
approximately 73 billion dollars, or about six times the level of 
five years ago. In contrast, Japan's trade with African countries 
stood at approximately 26 billion yen. The margin of the increase is 
only 250 PERCENT , compared with five years ago. 
 
In a bid to bring about a rollback, Japan at the TICAD Conference 
has come up with a number of measures intended to boost relations 
with African countries. Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda released a plan 
to double the amount of investment in the region. METI Minister 
Amari also tried to appeal to African countries, noting, "Japan 
wants to double trade with Africa." 
 
In concrete terms, Nippon Export and Investment Insurance (NEXI), an 
independent administrative agency under METI's jurisdiction, and 
public insurance agencies joined by African countries concluded an 
agreement for cooperation aimed at promoting investment in Africa. 
Japan and South Africa during a bilateral summit agreed to set up a 
joint trade committee. According to the agreement, the two countries 
will hold regular meetings more than once a year to discuss such 
issues as boosting trade and investment and Japan's assistance for 
South Africa's energy-saving effort. 
 
One senior METI official, who was present at Amari's series of 
meetings with leaders of various African nations, noted that he 
sensed a good response, saying, "Many sought stronger ties with 
Japan." Many African countries sought assistance for the 
 
TOKYO 00001492  004 OF 010 
 
 
consolidation of infrastructure. Their poor infrastructure is 
preventing their economies from growing. 
 
The government also agreed to provide fund aid for the building of a 
port and an airport in Madagascar. In return, the country has 
pledged to offer a preference to Japanese companies regarding the 
mining and refining of nickel. The government wants to fully 
establish a reciprocal relationship for the stable procurement of 
resources, by helping Africa grow stably through proactive 
assistance or the consolidation of infrastructure, etc. 
 
Consolidation of infrastructure 
 
Leading trading houses are already active trying to find investment 
opportunities in Africa. Mitsubishi Corporation in 1998 took part in 
an aluminum refining business in Mozambique. The business expanded 
and now it accounts for about 20 PERCENT  of that nation's GDP. 
Mitsui & Co. and Marubeni Corporation took part in a liquefied 
natural gas (LNG) project worth 140 billion yen in Equatorial 
Guinea. Sojitz Corporation has already secured interest in vanadium 
and other rare metals in South Africa. 
 
However, in Africa, there are many areas where the political 
situation is highly unstable.  These areas have many challenges to 
settle, including improving worsened public security and delay in 
the building of infrastructure. One employee at a leading trading 
house said, "There is a shortage of education facilities. It is not 
easy to secure personnel." 
 
Mitsubishi Corporation has established a fund totaling approximately 
2.6 billion yen as part of its contribution to the region. It is 
using the fund for the building of elementary schools, 
infrastructure and a police organization. 
 
(3) Japan presents aid plans in succession at Africa conference to 
counter China 
 
YOMIURI (Page 3) (Slightly abridged) 
May 30, 2008 
 
The 4th Tokyo International Conference on African Development 
(TICAD4) will end today after adopting three documents, including 
the Yokohama Declaration specifying the philosophy of aid to African 
countries and the Yokohama Action Plan spelling out measures and 
goals for aid over the next five years. The government believes that 
Japan succeeded in establishing a foothold to develop vigorous 
diplomacy toward Africa as a result of taking the initiative in 
producing a comprehensive aid package. But its real worth will be 
judged from now. 
 
Representatives from 51 countries of all the 53 in Africa have 
participated in the 4th TICAD, including 40 top leaders. The leader 
of Guinea cancelled his planned visit at the last minute due to 
ongoing domestic political unrest. A senior Foreign Ministry proudly 
said: "The conference this time is at the largest ever scale among 
the international conferences held under the sponsorship of the 
Japanese government. This shows that Japan has won their 
confidence." 
 
In preparations for TICAD, the Japanese government was keeping in 
mind China's boosting economic advancement to Africa with the aim of 
securing natural resources there. The China and Africa Cooperation 
 
TOKYO 00001492  005 OF 010 
 
 
Forum in Beijing in 2006, hosted by China, brought together the 
heads of 35 countries. A Japanese government source said with a sigh 
of relief: "This (the number of participant countries in TICAD4) is 
a good showy number." 
 
In the ongoing conference, the Japanese government has come up with 
proactive aid plans in succession, including a measure to double the 
government's official development assistance (ODA) disbursements to 
Africa over the next five years and to offer up to 4 billion dollars 
in yen loans. In a meeting held yesterday to discuss soaring food 
prices, Fukuda also stressed: "I promised to help Africa with 
improvement in plant species and other efforts in order to increase 
food and farm production. Japan is ready to make more 
contributions." 
 
China's trade with Africa (in 2007) in value terms reached 73.5 
billion dollars, three times larger than Japan's 26.6 billion 
dollars. Japan, which has continued aid to Africa since the first 
TICAD in 1993, seemingly had a sense of rivalry with China. 
 
The measure to double yen loans is aimed to improve the environment 
for an increase in investment by building vast road systems and 
taking other measures. 
 
Some observers, though, point out that a trick is hidden in the "4 
billion dollars." In many cases of Japan extending yen loans, the 
government announces an amount worked out by deducting repayment 
money of past debts. But even repaid money is included in the 4 
billion dollars. 
 
On the issue of climate change, the Japanese government was willing 
to contain in the Yokohama Declaration the wording "a 50 PERCENT 
cut by 2050" at a target for reducing global greenhouse gas 
emissions, but it had to give it up in the face of a fierce reaction 
by South Africa, a major gas emitter. 
 
Major aid measures announced by Fukuda in TICAD4 
 
(Acceleration of economic growth) 
? Extend yen loans worth up to 4 billion yen over the next five 
years for traffic and other infrastructure building. 
? Develop natural resources by using Japanese technology 
? Dispatch a government-private sector joint economic mission to 
Africa. 
? Establish a fund to support the plan to double investment in 
Africa in the Japan Bank for International Cooperation and double 
the scale of financial aid to 2.5 billion dollars in five years. 
Guarantee direct investment in Africa and Japanese banks' loans to 
Africa. 
? Allocate a considerable portion of emergency food aid worth 100 
million dollars to Africa. 
? Double ODA disbursements to and investment in Africa by the 
private sector in five years. Double grant aid and technical 
cooperation. 
 
(Establishment human security) 
? Double rice production in Africa in 10 years. 
 
African countries seek business, rather than aid 
 
In TICAD4, African leaders have called for expanded trade and 
investment. South African President Thabo Mbeki categorically said: 
 
TOKYO 00001492  006 OF 010 
 
 
"Aid is certainly essential, but trade is to support the future of 
Africa, and not aid." 
 
Of the assistance measures set forth by Prime Minister Fukuda, 
African leaders have paid much attention particularly to such 
measures as improving trade insurance and establishing a fund to 
support doubling investment in Africa. 
 
But many leaders have complained of Japanese companies' halfhearted 
posture toward advancement to Africa, as Botswana's Vice President 
Mompati Merafhe said: "Africa and Japanese firms are only remotely 
related." Many are calling for a new relationship to be established 
based on business. 
 
Rwandan President Paul Kagame said in an interview with Yomiuri 
Shimbun: "China's moves are active, but we rarely see Japanese 
businessmen." 
 
President Jakaya Kikwete of Tanzania, the chair of the African Union 
(AU), complained: "85 PERCENT  of investment in Africa from Japan 
goes to South Africa and Egypt." Even if Japan augments direct 
investment in and trade with Africa, many countries in the region 
will not highly evaluate Japan if this biased state is rectified. 
 
African leaders naturally have expresses appreciation for Japan's 
aid projects, including those to fight poverty. 
 
A reporter of state run Burkina Faso broadcasting station, however, 
expressed this severe view: "I cannot be aware of any effect of 
overseas aid in our daily lives. I do not think the general people 
have placed high hopes on TICAD." 
 
Some countries might disappoint Japan on UNSC reform 
 
Prime Minister Fukuda has engaged in marathon talks with all the 40 
African leaders who have attended the conference, as well as with 
people related to aid to Africa. 
 
In the meetings, Fukuda has asked for their support for Japan's bid 
for a permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). 
By winning support from African countries, which hold one-fourth of 
all the seats of the UN General Assembly, the prime minister aims to 
add momentum to reforming the UNSC. 
 
Fukuda held talks with 45 persons by the 29th, but their responses 
vary. Ghana president John Agyekum Kufuor expressed his positive 
support for Japan's bid, but Nambia President Hifikepunye Pohamba 
only replied: "I will study it in our home country." A government 
source said: "We have gained understanding or support from most of 
the countries, but few have expressed more penetrating support than 
their past words. Egypt, Algeria, Libya, and many other countries 
have said they cannot support Japan's bid because they cannot become 
permanent members. Some of them could betray Japan." 
 
(4) Vacuum in Japan's defense-oriented policy now created due to 
Tokyo's decision to join treaty totally banning cluster munitions 
 
SANKEI (Page 1) (Abridged) 
May 30, 2008 
 
Masato Kimura, Dublin 
 
 
TOKYO 00001492  007 OF 010 
 
 
(The Dublin Conference) of international disarmament talks under the 
Oslo Process, aimed at concluding a ban on cluster munitions by the 
end of the year, reached agreement on May 28 on a draft treaty 
totally banning cluster bombs, except for "newer smart bombs." Such 
smart bombs are capable of identifying targets to attack so that 
unexploded duds would not exist to pose a threat later to civilians. 
The draft treaty is to be formally adopted today, the last day (of 
the Dublin Conference). 
 
Hiroyuki Noguchi 
 
Cluster bombs have been viewed as a trump card for Japan to prevent 
enemies from invading the homeland, but an immediate, total ban on 
cluster bombs would force Japan to drastically reconsider its 
previous strategy and tactics, including its national credo of "sole 
defense-oriented policy." Japan eventually may try to buy a large 
number of newest cluster munitions (not subject to a total ban), but 
this would require an enormous amount of money. It would take Japan 
a decade to completely deploy the state-of-the art cluster bombs, 
but that would create a 10-year vacuum in Japan's defense posture. 
At present, although there is less possibility of invading forces 
landing in Japan, compared with the Cold War period, but national 
defense is not a matter of probability. The important factor in 
national defense is to demonstrate the state's resolve and then to 
create a deterrent force. It is agonizing to see non-combatants 
killed or wounded by duds. That is the major reason for calls to 
totally ban cluster munitions. However, it would be likewise a 
tragedy if the security of the nation is endangered (due to the 
vacuum created be removing all cluster bombs). 
 
The common factor among countries opposed to a total ban on cluster 
bombs is that they do not possess cluster bombs or they possess only 
old cluster munitions. Those countries' military calculation of 
enhancing their countries' safety by adopting a radical treaty is 
seen through their opposition under the guise of humanism. It is 
non-governmental organizations (NGOs) that have led the discussion 
in the (Dublin Conference). They brought countries that possess no 
cluster munitions to the conference table and had them advocate 
their opposition to cluster munitions. In this context, an approach 
that was the same as during the debate at the International Whaling 
Commission (IWC) that was swayed by emotional views. 
 
Nonetheless, the fact is that the Japanese government was inept in 
the talks (of the Dublin Conference). Japan at least should have 
insisted on adding to the draft treaty the condition that "cluster 
bombs should be used primarily to prevent forces from invading the 
country". 
 
(5) Former Defense Minister Yuriko Koike in interview says Prime 
Minister Fukuda should adopt policies agreeable to the public 
 
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Full) 
May 30, 2008 
 
-- You are regarded as one of the potential candidates to succeed 
Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda. 
 
Koike: My name is being tossed around without my permission. I'm 
very annoyed with that. I've been focusing on what kind of policies 
Japan needs for the future. I've been working on such issues as the 
environment, security, and social security in a comprehensive 
manner. 
 
TOKYO 00001492  008 OF 010 
 
 
 
-- The word "change" is now a buzzword in the U.S. presidential 
campaign and it has even been used as the title of a TV drama. What 
do you think are qualifications necessary for the leader? 
 
Koike: I haven't seen that drama, anyway. I think the public always 
seeks change. Japan nor any other country can survive unless it is 
willing to change. Voters support anyone whom they think is 
qualified. 
 
-- The Machimura faction to which you belong is the largest faction 
in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party. 
 
Koike: Because it is not that long since I joined the faction, I 
don't know about it well. I think former Prime Minister Junichiro 
Koizumi reduced the importance of factions. 
 
-- Politicians are now actively on the move with an eye on possible 
political realignment. What do you think is the key to realignment? 
 
Koike: Small government or big government, putting a distance 
between the government and the bureaucracy, and centralization or 
decentralization. I think the key to political realignment will be 
extremely basic issues. 
 
-- It is noticeable that you are carrying out activities focusing on 
women such as the formation of a policy group along with Yukari Sato 
and Kuniko Inoguchi. 
 
Koike: There are many approaches that can move society. I am now 
focusing on women from the viewpoint of changing our way of 
thinking. I think this country will become better if women stimulate 
(politics) as an "introduced species." 
 
-- How do you view the current political situation with the Diet 
divided between the ruling and opposition camps? 
 
Koike: It is similar to driving on both the right and left sides of 
the street. However, there are some good effects, such as Prime 
Minister Fukuda's proposed freeing up of tax revenues earmarked for 
road projects for general expenditures. So, the divided Diet is not 
always necessarily wrong. 
 
-- What do you think of the Democratic Party of Japan's (DPJ) 
response? 
 
Koike: Just inciting anxiety is not good for a party aiming at a 
change of government. The DPJ places top priority on the daily lives 
of people, but President Ichiro Ozawa always prioritizes political 
maneuvering. But Mr. Ozawa has not changed his policy of aiming at 
political change. His political belief has been consistent. 
 
-- What should the prime minister do? 
 
Koike: Before he is forced to do something, he should do what he 
believes in. Through such a way of doing things, he will be able to 
get more public support. 
 
-- Do you think the prime minister is not good at appealing to the 
public? 
 
Koike: Public support is necessary for coming up with policies. This 
 
TOKYO 00001492  009 OF 010 
 
 
is not populism. If the policy is agreeable to the public, it will 
be able to get their understanding even if it places a burden on 
them. With the graying of society, there will be more sad stories 
than happy ones. It is important to have the public understand that. 
The people know the necessity of protecting the nation and society 
(even if their burden increases). 
 
-- Specifically? 
 
Koike: The environment problem is a good example. Since people are 
aware of environmental preservation, they understand the charge 
imposed for plastic grocery bags and that the number of people using 
eco-friendly shopping bags has been increasing. I think public 
support will spread once (the government side) steadily introduces 
its policies. 
 
(Corrected copy) Medical service system for elderly people over 75 a 
campaign issue for Okinawa Prefectural Assembly 
 
MAINICHI (Page 5) (Excerpts) 
May 30, 2008 
 
The Okinawa Prefectural Assembly elections slated for June 8 will be 
officially announced on May 30. Both ruling and opposition camps are 
staging an all-out battle, airing TV commercials and sending in 
senior party officials. That is because since both camps are equally 
matched in strength, if the opposition parties win, the government 
of Governor Hirokazu Nakaima, who supports the relocation of the 
U.S. Marine Corps Futenma Air Station within the prefecture, would 
become a minority government, which is bound to affect the 
relocation issue. In addition, the key campaign issue is the new 
medical service system for elderly people over 75, the focus of 
attention in the final phase of the ongoing Diet session. 
 
The fixed number of seats in the Okinawa Prefectural Assembly is 48, 
of which 27 are held by the ruling parties -- the Liberal Democratic 
Party (LDP), the New Komeito, etc., and 20 are held by opposition 
parties. One seat remains vacant. There are many closely-contested 
constituencies due to mergers of municipalities. One LDP lawmaker 
elected from the prefecture expressed his sense of alarm, "The 
ruling and opposition are equally matched in strength. If the 
opposition camp wins, the Nakaima-controlled prefectural 
administration would be rejected by the public." 
 
Okinawa Assembly election results will influence national 
administration of the Futenma relocation issue. This can be seen in 
a past prefectural referendum held to ask residents about the 
propriety of consolidating and realigning U.S. military bases. 
Because of such a background, both camps are tackling the election 
in an exceptionally serious manner. 
 
The LDP has made TV commercial on the medical service system for the 
elderly, featuring former LDP lawmaker Koichi Hamada (79), about 
making efforts to revise the system. It will be aired in Okinawa 
from the 30th. New Komeito head Akihiro Ota visited Okinawa from the 
23rd through the 26th and delivered speeches, pledging a revision to 
the medical service system. Secretary General Kazuo Kitagawa also 
visited Okinawa to support the election campaign. 
 
Among opposition parties, Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or 
Minshuto) Deputy President Naoto Kan, Japanese Communist Party 
Executive Committee Chair Kazuo Shii, Social Democratic Party 
 
TOKYO 00001492  010 OF 010 
 
 
President Mizuho Fukushima and People's New Party President Tamisuke 
Watanuki will visit Okinawa on June 1 to give sidewalk speeches. Kan 
during a press conference yesterday said, "Elderly people are all 
strongly opposing the system. I want to make a public appeal on this 
issue as a key campaign issue." 
 
SCHIEFFER