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Viewing cable 08TOKYO491, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 02/25/08

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08TOKYO491 2008-02-25 08:04 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO6091
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #0491/01 0560804
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 250804Z FEB 08
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1973
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/USFJ //J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 8662
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 6267
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 9934
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 4831
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 6872
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 1836
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 7903
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 8492
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 10 TOKYO 000491 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 02/25/08 
 
INDEX: 
 
(1) Prime Minister Fukuda, President Lee in their first summit 
likely to agree to restart regular diplomatic exchanges (Tokyo 
Shimbun) 
 
(2) New Komeito frets over losing clout in divided Diet (Nikkei) 
 
(3) 8 parties agree to revise SOFA (Ryukyu Shimpo) 
 
(4) Keidanren to approve mandatory caps on greenhouse gas emissions 
under industry-specific accumulation method (Nikkei) 
 
(5) Koga takes offensive on selection of Nippon Izokukai vice 
chairmen with eye on accelerating debate on removing Class-A 
criminals from Yasukuni Shrine (Mainichi) 
 
(6) FTC eyes exclusively clamping down on unscrupulous business 
practices (Yomiuri) 
 
(7) NPA says cases of child abuse largest ever in 2007, although 
decrease in death toll of abused children (Mainichi) 
 
(8) Poll on public attitude toward politics (Yomiuri) 
 
ARTICLES: 
 
(1) Prime Minister Fukuda, President Lee in their first summit 
likely to agree to restart regular diplomatic exchanges 
 
TOKYO SHIMBUN ONLINE (Full) 
February 25, 2008, 11:38 a.m. 
 
Seoul, Kyodo News Service, Feb. 25 
 
Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda this afternoon is to meet at the Blue 
House in Seoul with new South Korean President Lee Myung Bak 
immediately after his inauguration as president. Both leaders are 
expected to agree to restart what they call a "shuttle diplomacy" or 
both leaders visiting each other on a regular basis, with Lee making 
a visit to Japan in late April. Fukuda will convey his intention to 
travel again to South Korea sometime in the latter half of this 
year, and confirm with Lee to open up a future-oriented, new 
"Japan-South Korea age," based on a relationship of personal mutual 
trust. 
 
Both leaders are also expected to speed up the work aimed at 
resuming negotiations as quickly as possible for concluding a 
bilateral economic partnership agreement (EPA). The negotiations 
were interrupted in 2004. 
 
On the North Korean nuclear issue, both leaders will confirm that 
Japan, the United States, and South Korea will work in close 
cooperation through the six-party talks to bring about a peaceful 
solution. Fukuda, based on the Japan-North Korea Pyongyang 
Declaration, will brief Lee on Japan's policy of normalizing 
diplomatic ties after resolving the abduction, nuclear, and missile 
issue, and seek Lee's understanding. 
 
(2) New Komeito frets over losing clout in divided Diet 
 
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Abridged slightly) 
 
TOKYO 00000491  002 OF 010 
 
 
February 25, 2008 
 
The New Komeito, the Liberal Democratic Party's coalition partner, 
is visibly frustrated as its say declines in the divided Diet, where 
the ruling coalition does not hold a majority in the House of 
Councillors. Although the New Komeito leadership, including 
Representative Akihiro Ota, advocates closer cooperation with the 
LDP, frustration is bubbling up in the party about the party's 
inability to demonstrate its own policy identity. The option of 
forming a grand alliance between the LDP and the major opposition 
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) might come up again, and political 
realignment might occur after the next House of Representatives 
election. The New Komeito, however, has yet to come up with any game 
plan to deal with such an eventuality. 
 
Ota has recently repeatedly played up the party's policy goal of 
raising the level of national income to the highest level ever over 
the next three years or 2010. On the afternoon of Feb. 15, Ota held 
a meeting with Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda, his first this year, at 
the Prime Minister's Office (Kantei). In the 50-minute Fukuda-Ota 
meeting, business and economic measures took center stage. 
 
Ota has indicated to his aides that he shares the same awareness of 
issues with the prime minister. But there are no signs of the LDP 
producing a package of policies in line with the New Komeito's 
calls. 
 
In terms of numbers, the New Komeito's role has diminished due to 
the divided Diet. Even with the New Komeito, the coalition is still 
a minority in the Upper House. 
 
The New Komeito is also placed outside the loop of the LDP-DPJ 
battle over the selection of new Bank of Japan governor. At a 
meeting on Feb. 19 of New Komeito Lower House members, Isamu Ueda 
said: "Our party needs a venue to discuss BOJ personnel affairs. 
Without it, we won't be able to fulfill our accountability." 
 
The party's image going against reform over road-related tax revenue 
is also a matter of concern for the New Komeito. Land, 
Infrastructure, and Transport Minister Tetsuzo Fuyushiba, who served 
as New Komeito secretary general for eight years, repeatedly made 
Diet replies that could be taken as siding with his ministry. Many 
New Komeito supporters complained that Fuyushiba has acted like a 
lawyer representing MLIT bureaucrats and LDP lawmakers with ties to 
road construction interests. 
 
What is more serious is that the party has yet to come up with any 
plan to deal with a rekindled grand coalition vision and political 
realignment. An alliance between the LDP and DPJ is certain to 
reduce the New Komeito's presence. "If this situation persists, our 
usual strategy of holding the deciding vote will not work," a New 
Komeito member said with alarm. 
 
(3) 8 parties agree to revise SOFA 
 
RYUKYU SHIMPO (Top play) (Full) 
February 24, 2008 
 
In the wake of an Okinawa-based U.S. serviceman's rape of a junior 
high school girl and other incidents caused by U.S. military 
personnel, the Ryukyu Shimpo held an urgent roundtable of 
representatives from eight political parties in Okinawa Prefecture 
 
TOKYO 00000491  003 OF 010 
 
 
yesterday afternoon at its head office in Naha. On Feb. 22, the 
government announced a plan to prevent similar incidents. However, 
the representatives from the eight political parties unanimously 
agreed that the government-announced plan is insufficient. They also 
agreed that the Japan-U.S. Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) should 
be drastically revised. They stressed that the Okinawa should assume 
a strong stance in pressing for a revision of SOFA provisions, 
including the need for the Okinawa prefectural assembly to pass 
another resolution. 
 
The roundtable participants were Seizen Hokama, deputy chairman of 
the Liberal Democratic Party's Okinawa prefectural federation, 
Kantoku Teruya, chairman of the Social Democratic Party's Okinawa 
prefectural federation, Tomonori Itosu, representative of New 
Komeito's Okinawa prefectural headquarters, Masaharu Kina, chairman 
of the Okinawa Socialist Masses Party, Seiken Akamine, chairman of 
the Japanese Communist Party's Okinawa prefectural committee, Mikio 
Shimoji, representative of the Political Group of Okinawa Revolution 
(Seito Souzou), Chobin Zukeran, deputy representative of the 
Democratic Party of Japan's Okinawa prefectural federation, and 
Hiroshi Goya, representative of the People's New Party's Okinawa 
prefectural federation. 
 
The SDP, OSMP, JCP, and DPJ called for holding a rally of local 
residents at an early date, insisting that all the parties should 
demonstrate the anger of Okinawa to Japan and the United States. 
However, the LDP, New Komeito, Souzou, and PNP were cautious, 
maintaining that they have yet to find out any drastic measures and 
that they must first clear up the causes of such incidents. They 
were divided over whether to hold a rally. 
 
The roundtable participants severely criticized the recent junior 
high school girl rape. "He did not even have the morals common to 
human beings," Hokama said. Teruya called the incident "extremely 
despicable, a clever trick, and malicious." Itosu also called the 
government's plan "insufficient," suggesting the need to register 
U.S. military personnel living outside their bases as foreign 
residents with local government offices. "The government is taking 
just cosmetic steps," Kina said, "so we should watch U.S. military 
personnel at the gates." 
 
In addition, all representatives from the eight political parties 
consented to a drastic revision of the SOFA. "Including the 
propriety of stationing foreign troops in Japan," Akamine insisted, 
"we should hold in-depth discussions." Shimoji said his party would 
shortly write up SOFA provisions that should be revised. His party 
will present its report of recommendations to the government. Goya 
said the Okinawa prefectural government should work on the Japanese 
government to revise the SOFA, representing the people of Okinawa 
Prefecture. 
 
The ruling parties gave high marks to the Okinawa prefectural 
government's response, saying the prefectural government is making 
strenuous efforts to take preventive steps in an earnest manner. The 
ruling parties also suggested the need for Okinawa to make a strong 
request to the Japanese government for preventive measures. 
Meanwhile, the opposition parties criticized voiced criticism. "The 
prefectural government remains hesitant before the government," one 
of the representatives from the opposition parties said. Another 
opposition representative said, "The prefectural government should 
have come up with its own request before the government's plan was 
out." 
 
TOKYO 00000491  004 OF 010 
 
 
 
(4) Keidanren to approve mandatory caps on greenhouse gas emissions 
under industry-specific accumulation method 
 
NIKKEI (Page 3) (Full) 
February 25, 2008 
 
Nippon Keidanren (the Japan Business Federation) has started 
coordination to accept Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda's proposal for 
setting targets by country for reducing greenhouse gas emissions 
under a post-Kyoto framework for combating global warming. The 
nation's largest business organization will make a policy switch 
from its cautious stance and fall in step with the government. But 
the group is still dead set against the idea of setting mandatory 
caps on each corporation. 
 
To achieve the targets set in the Kyoto Protocol, Keidanren has 
worked out an industry-specific voluntary action plan. Under the 
plan, however, some industries have not been required to reduce gas 
emissions and have been mandated only to improve their energy 
efficiency. Keidanren had insisted that setting reduction targets 
for industries under a post-Kyoto framework would undermine their 
competitiveness. 
 
Even if energy efficiency is improved, a rise in output will 
inevitably increase emissions. Now that such criticism is growing 
even in the government, Keidanren was apparently pressed to change 
its strategy. 
 
Keidanren will start a discussion in March on the method of 
collecting and aggregating data on possible gas-emissions cuts for 
different industries and sectors. Prime Minister Fukuda made this 
proposal at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum (Davos 
Conference) this January. A Keidanren member said: "Industrial 
circles' voluntary reduction efforts are likely to be reflected in 
it." Keidanren Chairman Fujio Mitarai, chairman of Canon, indicated 
in a press conference on Feb. 20 that the organization would approve 
a market to trade the right to emit greenhouse gases. Reflecting its 
softened stance, Keidanren hopes to come up with a specific 
post-Kyoto mechanism by this April. 
 
Still, industries that have emitted huge amounts of greenhouse 
gases, like steel and electricity, are putting up strong resistance 
to the idea of setting country-specific targets. Hearing the policy 
stance announced by the prime minister in his speech at the Davos 
Conference, a senior Nippon Steel Corporation critically said: "It 
is premature to approve of setting numerical targets before the U.S. 
announces its policy." The government may find it difficult to 
promote work to unify views. 
 
If the government is able to obtain approval for introducing 
numerical targets, the next focus of attention will shift to how to 
attain the target set for Japan. If Japan adopts the method of 
collecting and aggregating data, as recommended by the government 
and Keidanren, industries will estimate the amount of reduced gases 
by themselves. In such a case, their estimates tend to be 
overoptimistic. 
 
Keidanren has insisted that nonbinding targets should be introduced, 
opposing an introduction of a penalty if and when companies fail to 
meet the targets set for them. It therefore is uncertain whether 
greenhouse gas emissions will be significantly reduced. 
 
TOKYO 00000491  005 OF 010 
 
 
 
The government plans to discuss ways to set a target for Japan and 
other details at its Council on Global Warming, which also includes 
business leaders as members. Keidanren will determine its policy 
stance, reflecting discussions at the council. 
 
(5) Koga takes offensive on selection of Nippon Izokukai vice 
chairmen with eye on accelerating debate on removing Class-A 
criminals from Yasukuni Shrine 
 
MAINICHI (Page 5) (Full) 
February 22, 2008 
 
Makoto Koga, chairman of the Japan Association for the Bereaved 
Families of the War Dead (Nippon Izokukai) has begun paving the way 
for accelerating debate in the association on the idea of removing 
the enshrined Class-A war criminals from Yasukuni Shrine. With an 
eye on a meeting on Feb. 28 of the association's directors and 
councilors, Koga last month tried to maneuver to appoint an 
individual favoring his plan into the vice chairman's post. However, 
encountering strong opposition from those who are reluctant to 
pursue the idea, he gave up this time around. But he has not budged 
from pursuing his goal to remove Class-A war criminals enshrined at 
Yasukuni Shrine. Koga's political clout is indispensable for the 
association, which is gradually decreasing in numbers because of the 
graying of the membership. Koga, who will retain the chairman's 
post, is waiting for the next chance. 
 
Koga last May formed a study group of 14 members in the association. 
Most of the 14 are in favor of removing Class-A war criminals from 
the shrine. However, the three vice chairmen -- Hidehisa Otsuji, who 
is chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party's caucus in the House of 
Councillors, former LDP Upper House member Tsugio Morita, and 
Tokushima Prefectural Izokukai Chairman Minoru Masuya -- are 
reluctant to do so. Since Masuya chairs the study session, the 
argument to remove enshrined Class-A war criminals from Yasukuni has 
not moved forward. 
 
Koga attempted to convince Morita and Masuya to quit their posts at 
a time when the chairmanship and vice chairmanship elections are 
conducted. He also tried to find the chance of picking as the 
replacements of Morita and Masuya a standing director who favors 
removing the enshrined war criminals, and LDP Upper House member 
Toshiei Mizuochi,. 
 
In a meeting on Jan. 31 of the committee on selection of board 
members, one committee member, who is close to Koga, suggested: "Why 
don't we decide on chairmen as Chairman Koga wishes?" A total of 
eight committee members, excluding the chairman and vice chairmen, 
opposed the suggestion. On the night of Jan. 30, committee members 
reluctant to unenshrine Class-A war criminals from Yasukuni worked 
on other committee members to persuade them. 
 
As a result, a rumor appeared that Koga had indicated his intention 
to quit his post. Otsuji and two other chairmen met on Feb. 7 with 
him at LDP headquarters to ask him to remain in his post. Koga told 
them that he would continue in the post. This incident demonstrated 
that Koga was still an important player in the Nippon Izokukai. 
 
Koga played up his presence by visiting Iwojima (Iwoto) on Feb. 13 
for the first time as chairman of the Nippon Izokukai. He told the 
press: "My feelings about the Yasukuni issue have been consistent." 
 
TOKYO 00000491  006 OF 010 
 
 
 
(6) FTC eyes exclusively clamping down on unscrupulous business 
practices 
 
YOMIURI (Page 2) (Abridged slightly) 
February 24, 2008 
 
The Fair Trade Commission (FTC) unveiled a plan yesterday to 
integrate the existing consumer administrative bodies into one under 
the leadership of the government. The plan is mainly designed to 
allow the FTC to solely take charge of regulations on consumer 
transactions, including unscrupulous business practices. The FTC 
plans to request such powers at a meeting of the Consumer 
Administration Promotion Council, but the plan is likely to draw 
objections from affected government offices. 
 
The plan is intended to unify administrative bodies offering 
consultation services and handling consumer complaints with the 
penalty department and to allow the FTC to take charge of 
regulations on consumer transactions, including fraudulent business 
practices, unscrupulous canvassing, mislabeling, and inappropriate 
contracts. 
 
Under current bureaucratic sectionalism, the Internal Affairs and 
Communications Ministry holds jurisdiction over matters related to 
mobile phones, and the Land, Infrastructure, and Transport over 
problems associated with travel and real estate. Further, because 
the Consumer Contracts Law under the competence of the Cabinet 
Office does not provide any punitive measures against transgressors, 
victims of illegal contracts must file civil lawsuits. 
 
The FTC's current powers focus on cracking down on illegal business 
practices, such as bid-rigging and cartels. Its rules governing 
consumer transactions are restricted to advertisements and 
mislabeling under the Law for Preventing Unjustifiable Extra or 
Unexpected Benefit and Misleading Representation. 
 
The plan is designed to extend the FTC's powers to regulate all 
consumer transactions, including unscrupulous business practices. 
The commission claims that the plan will allow it to apply the law 
across the board. 
 
In the United States, the Federal Trade Commission can crack down on 
bogus advertisements, canvassing, and telephone sales. In Australia, 
Britain, Canada, and South Korea, competition policy authorities 
also handle complaints regarding consumer transactions. 
 
Some government officials are toying with the idea of establishing a 
consumer agency to unify consumer administrative bodies, but 
relevant ministries and government agencies reluctant to see their 
powers divided oppose the plan. They are expected to object to the 
FTC's plan as well. 
 
(7) NPA says cases of child abuse largest ever in 2007, although 
decrease in death toll of abused children 
 
MAINICHI ONLINE 
13:45, February 21, 2008 
 
According to a report compiled by the National Police Agency (NPA), 
the cases of child abuse the police arrested suspects or sent papers 
to prosecutors last year totaled 300 (one percent increase from the 
 
TOKYO 00000491  007 OF 010 
 
 
previous year), the largest number since 1999 when the NPA started 
tallying statistics about the child abuse. The number of children 
who died from physical abuse was 37 (a 37.3 PERCENT  drop from 
2006). A total of 315 children, including those who died, suffered 
from physical abuse, with the number remaining high (down 0.3 
PERCENT  from 2006). 
 
Regarding the reason for a decrease in the death toll, despite an 
increase in the number of arrests, the NPA said: 
 
"The reason may be that the police have responded promptly to the 
reports since cooperation with child consultation centers has been 
strengthened, although the number of reports on child abuse has 
boosted as society has become more aware of child abuse." 
 
The cases of child prostitution and child pornography totaled 1,914 
(a 14.1 PERCENT  drop from the previous year) last year. The number 
of children who were victims of child pornography totaled 304 (a 
20.2 PERCENT  increase from 2006). The serious situation of children 
becoming wrapped up in such criminal acts continues. 
 
According to the NPA, the number of abused children totaled 315, 
which include 224 cases of physical abuse, 69 cases of sexual 
molestation, and 22 cases of denying children basic care. By age, 47 
children were less than one year old; 25 were five-year-olds; and 24 
were three year olds. 
 
A total of 97 children were abused by their mothers, 91 were abused 
by their fathers, 55 by their adopted fathers or stepfathers, and 46 
by their common-law fathers or others. 
 
The cases of child prostitution the police arrested suspects and 
sent papers to prosecutors totaled 1,347 (down 16.5 PERCENT  from 
2006). A total of 984 suspects were sent to public prosecutors 
offices (drop of 13.7 PERCENT ). The cases of child pornography were 
567 (8.0 PERCENT  decrease). The police sent 377 suspects to 
prosecutors (up 7.7 PERCENT ). A total of 1,160 children (a 12.5 
PERCENT  drop) were victimized and forced into child prostitution. 
However, the number of children, who were victimized to submit to 
child pornography, increased by 20.2 PERCENT , or to 304. 
 
Meanwhile, the number of crimes committed by juveniles has dropped 
for four years in a row. 
 
(8) Poll on public attitude toward politics 
 
YOMIURI (Page 11) (Full) 
February 24, 2008 
 
Questions & Answers 
(Figures shown in percentage) 
 
Q: Do you trust Japan's political parties or politicians today? 
 
Trust very much 2.7 
Trust somewhat 27.2 
Don't trust very much 45.0 
Don't trust at all 23.0 
No answer (N/A) 2.0 
 
Q: Are you interested in state affairs? If any, pick up to three 
from among those listed below. 
 
TOKYO 00000491  008 OF 010 
 
 
 
The government's economic policy 65.1 
The government's foreign policy 34.3 
The government's environmental, welfare, educational policies 55.9 
Opposition parties' policies 9.6 
Elections, results 9.6 
Diet debate 16.9 
Power struggles among politicians, intraparty factions 8.1 
Topics about politicians 4.8 
Other answers (O/A) 0.5 
Nothing in particular (NIP) + N/A 10.3 
 
Q: What do you think Dietmembers prioritize in their daily 
activities? If any, pick as many as you like from among those listed 
below. 
 
Interests for the whole nation 27.3 
Interests for their home constituencies 43.9 
Their political parties' policies 38.3 
Requests from their local supporters 26.5 
Requests from bureaucrats 24.9 
Requests from industries, big businesses 29.6 
Requests from labor unions, other organizations 9.7 
Requests from consumer groups, other civic organizations 8.3 
O/A 3.4 
N/A 3.0 
 
Q: What do you think is important in particular when you evaluate 
political parties? Pick up to three from those listed below. 
 
Policies 58.9 
Party heads' caliber 28.8 
Governance 21.8 
Reform-oriented efforts 37.2 
Long-term perspectives 19.8 
Their lawmakers' capabilities 15.9 
Political fund clarity 17.4 
Policy for the weak 23.6 
O/A 0.3 
NIP+N/A 6.8 
 
Q: Do you think policies which politicians think are needed for the 
nation should be translated into action even if many of the people 
are opposed to these policies? 
 
Yes 38.4 
No 54.8 
N/A 6.7 
 
Q: Do you think it's only natural for the Diet to decide by majority 
even if there is an objection? 
 
Yes 49.8 
No 44.6 
N/A 5.5 
 
Q: Generally speaking, do you think it would be better for the 
ruling and opposition parties to change places at times? 
 
Yes 63.3 
No 26.9 
N/A 9.7 
 
TOKYO 00000491  009 OF 010 
 
 
 
Q: (Only for those who answered "yes" to the foregoing question) 
Why? Pick up to three from among those listed below. 
 
Policy will change its course 49.4 
Politics will change its structure 34.4 
Political corruption will hardly occur 55.4 
Political parties will activate policy debate 44.4 
Bureaucratic clout will weaken 30.3 
O/A 0.4 
No particular reason 2.7 
N/A 0.3 
 
Q: (Only for those who answered "no" to the foregoing question) Why? 
Pick up to three from among those listed below. 
 
Policies will be inconsistent 66.0 
Politics will be confused 65.7 
Political corruption will not disappear 6.6 
Elections will tend to court public favor rather than to be for 
policies 25.7 
Bureaucratic clout will be stronger 8.4 
O/A 1.3 
No particular reason 4.1 
N/A 0.9 
 
Q: Do you think there will be a change of government from the ruling 
parties to the opposition parties in the near future? 
 
Yes 40.8 
No 49.8 
N/A 9.3 
 
Q: The ruling parties currently hold a majority of the seats in the 
House of Representatives, and the opposition parties dominate the 
House of Councillors. There are two opinions as below about this 
divided balance of the ruling and opposition parties' strengths in 
the Diet. Which opinion is closer to yours? 
 
(A) Bills do not pass the Diet or fall behind if the ruling and 
opposition parties confront over these bills. 
(B) The ruling and opposition parties will hold policy talks and 
activate the Diet. 
 
(A) to a certain degree 40.7 
(B) to a certain degree 48.9 
N/A 10.4 
 
Q: Do you think votes cast by voters in elections are reflected in 
politics? 
 
Yes 28.8 
No 67.1 
N/A 4.0 
 
Q: (Only for those who answered "no" to the foregoing question) Why. 
Pick up to three from among those listed below. 
 
Political parties and politicians do not keep their public pledges 
43.8 
Policies are not translated into action in spite of public 
expectations 54.0 
 
TOKYO 00000491  010 OF 010 
 
 
Politics will not improve 34.9 
Public life will not improve 57.7 
The prime minister is replaced in spite of election results 14.9 
The election system has a problem 13.0 
People will be carried away with a mood in elections 21.6 
O/A 0.4 
N/A 0.5 
 
Q: Do you feel like taking part in politics? If any, pick as many as 
you like from those listed below. 
 
Vote in elections 76.2 
Visit or petition a local assembly 9.5 
Participate in a civic political watch group 9.5 
Attend a political party's or a politician's town meeting 11.6 
Volunteer or contribute for a political party or a politician 4.0 
Join an association of supporters for a politician 4.4 
Act as a political party member 1.9 
Act as an assembly member or run in elections 1.0 
O/A 0.1 
NIP+N/A 19.2 
 
Q: Do you think Japan's politics will go in a good direction, or do 
you otherwise think it will go in a bad direction? 
 
Good direction 10.0 
Good direction to a certain degree 35.6 
Bad direction to a certain degree 34.6 
Bad direction 10.3 
N/A 9.5 
 
Polling methodology 
Date of survey: Feb. 16-17. 
Subjects of survey: 3,000 persons chosen from among all eligible 
voters throughout the country (at 250 locations on a stratified 
two-stage random-sampling basis). 
Method of implementation: Door-to-door visits for face-to-face 
interviews. 
Number of valid respondents: 1,734 persons (57.8 PERCENT ) 
Breakdown of respondents: Male-49 PERCENT , female-51 PERCENT ; 
persons in their 20s-8 PERCENT , 30s-14 PERCENT , 40s-17 PERCENT , 
50s-19 PERCENT , 60s-24 PERCENT , 70 and over-18 PERCENT ; big 
cities (Tokyo's 23 wards and government-designated cities)-23 
PERCENT , major cities (with a population of more than 300,000)-17 
PERCENT , medium-size cities (with a population of more than 
100,000)-25 PERCENT , small cities (with a population of less than 
100,000)-24 PERCENT , towns and villages-11 PERCENT . 
 
SCHIEFFER