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Viewing cable 08TOKYO103, DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 01/11/08

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
08TOKYO103 2008-01-11 08:08 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Tokyo
VZCZCXRO9534
PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH
DE RUEHKO #0103/01 0110808
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 110808Z JAN 08
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 0917
INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5//
RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI
RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/USFJ //J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 7827
RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 5433
RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 9098
RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 4112
RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 6039
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 1056
RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 7124
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 7783
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 13 TOKYO 000103 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 01/11/08 
 
 
INDEX: 
 
(1) New antiterrorism bill to be enacted today, leaving impression 
that DPJ was fighting windmills (Yomiuri) 
 
(2) U.S. State Department welcomes passage of antiterrorism 
legislation (Mainichi) 
 
(3) Upper House deliberations on refueling assistance bill end after 
only scratching the surface (Asahi) 
 
(4) Application of Article 59 of Constitution to new refueling 
legislation (Tokyo Shimbun) 
 
(5) Editorial: DPJ's attitude in Diet beyond comprehension (Nikkei) 
 
(6) Season for LDP factions to increase membership (Yomiuri) 
 
(7) Legislature part 1 (b): Fear of overheated scattering of 
pork-barrel largesse (Yomiuri) 
 
(8) Diet lopsided (Part 3): Fukuda determined to override upper 
chamber (Yomiuri) 
 
ARTICLES: 
 
(1) New antiterrorism bill to be enacted today, leaving impression 
that DPJ was fighting windmills 
 
YOMIURI (Page 4) (Abridged) 
January 11, 2008 
 
The new antiterrorism special measures bill is to be put to a second 
vote in the Lower House plenary session today and be passed into law 
three months after it was submitted to the Diet. During that time, 
the major opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), the first 
party in the Upper House, spent its time running about in confusion 
in handling the legislation. The government and the ruling bloc, 
helped by Prime Minister Fukuda's persistence, somehow managed to 
enact the bill, however. They still have the task of addressing 
future challenges to the management of the Diet, such as closer 
cooperation between the executives of the ruling Liberal Democratic 
Party's (LDP) Lower House and Upper House Caucuses. 
 
Reflection 
 
"The DPJ does not have a single-party majority in the Upper House, 
so we should have exchanged views in a more detailed manner with 
other opposition parties," the DPJ's Deputy President Kan said at a 
press briefing yesterday, humbly reflecting on the fact that the 
party was wavering in its responses during the current session of 
the Diet, for instance, at one point the party threw away its 
initial policy of carrying over the new antiterrorism bill to the 
next Diet session. 
 
Other opposition parties are still angry at the DPJ. 
 
The Japanese Communist Party's (JDP) Chairman Shii criticized the 
DPJ at a press conference: "The DPJ helped the LDP twice in the 
final days (of the Diet session). First, it submitted a 
counterproposal, and next, it turned around its initial policy of 
rejecting (the new antiterrorism bill) and instead decided to carry 
 
TOKYO 00000103  002 OF 013 
 
 
over the bill to the next Diet session. Although (DPJ President 
Ozawa) said he was confronting the ruling bloc, the party's 
confrontational stance lacked substance." 
 
The People's New Party's (PNP) Secretary General Hisaoki Kamei 
warned the DPJ at a press briefing prior to the ordinary Diet 
session to be convened on Jan. 18: "It is necessary to be humble in 
working in the Diet." 
 
The DPJ's initial strategy toward the new antiterrorism legislation 
was that "the opposition parties, which control the Upper House, 
would buy time in the Upper House in order to force the ruling bloc 
to scrap the bill and instead accept the entirety of the DPJ's 
counterproposal," as one senior DPJ lawmaker put it. In October, 
Ozawa in an article for a monthly journal declared that if the DPJ 
took over the government, he would like to realize Japan's 
participation in the International Security and Assistance Force 
(ISAF), but he concluded that the Maritime Self-Defense Force's 
(MSDF) refueling operations in the Indian Ocean was a violation of 
the Constitution. Ozawa instructed his party members to prepare a 
counterproposal that would reflect his views. 
 
Many members of the party, however, raised objections to Ozawa's 
idea, and drafting a counterproposal was not easy. Many opposed the 
submission of the counterproposal. At one point, the party decided 
to defer submitting it. In the one-on-one meeting with Prime 
Minister Fukuda, Ozawa aimed at forming a grand coalition with the 
LDP, but their conversation bore no fruit, so, eventually Ozawa's 
strategy fell apart. 
 
After the fuss caused by Ozawa when he offered his resignation as 
president to take responsibility for the failure of his idea of 
forming a grand coalition, the DPJ continued to appear to be 
wavering in its responses to the new antiterrorism bill. 
 
At a time when the DPJ introduced its counterproposal in the Upper 
House at the end of December, Ozawa was discussing his strategy of 
carrying over both the new antiterrorism bill and the 
counterproposal to the next Diet session with DPJ Upper House Caucus 
Chairman Azuma Koshiishi, Diet Affairs Committee Chairman Kenji, and 
other DPJ executive officers. 
 
One executive DPJ officer gave this explanation about the purpose of 
the submission of the counterproposal: "We aimed at giving the 
impression that the ruling bloc was high-handed by letting it put 
the antiterrorism bill to a second vote despite the opposition 
bloc's call for carrying over the antiterrorism bill to the next 
Diet session. This was also related to the party's decision to 
forego submitting a censure motion against the prime minister." 
 
The last tactic to demonstrate its resistance against the 
antiterrorism legislation was easily frustrated. 
 
LDP uneasy about cooperation between its Upper House and Lower House 
members 
 
The government and the ruling bloc gave the highest priority to the 
adoption of the new antiterrorism bill in the Diet and steered the 
Diet in an aggressive fashion. 
 
LDP Secretary General Ibuki made this critical remark at a general 
meeting yesterday of his Ibuki faction: "The DPJ should have come up 
 
TOKYO 00000103  003 OF 013 
 
 
with its counterproposal a little more early. It appeared to be 
maneuvering for party interests because it introduced its 
counterproposal at the end of the Diet session." LFP Upper House 
Caucus Chairman Otsuji told reporters: "Taking a second vote (on the 
antiterrorism legislation) in the Lower House is a right action 
stipulated in the Constitution." 
 
Prime Minister Fukuda from the beginning signaled his intention to 
re-adopt the legislation in the Lower House. Fukuda's determination 
contained those who were cautious about taking a second vote on the 
legislation in the ruling bloc with one New Komeito member arguing, 
"How about carrying over the bill to the upcoming regular Diet 
session." 
 
An optimistic view now emerging in the LDP is that if the ruling 
bloc assumes a tough stance in the Diet from now on, as well, the 
DPJ's responses to the Diet would be weak. 
 
However, the LDP, too, has the task to address in terms of how 
closely its members of the Lower House and Upper House will work 
together. 
 
At a time of re-extending the term of the current Diet session in 
last December, the LDP Upper House Caucus assumed that the DPJ would 
defer discussion and insisted from the beginning that the Diet 
session be extended to sometime in January, but the LDP Lower House 
Caucus, in anticipation of the DPJ's concessions, called until the 
last moment for extending the session to the end of the year. But 
the LDP eventually decided to extend the term broadly. Members in 
the LDP Upper House Caucus are unhappy with the LDP Lower House 
members, with one Upper House member arguing, "The Lower House 
members do not understand that it is impossible to expect the DPJ to 
behave as if it were living up to the LDP's expectations." 
 
(2) U.S. State Department welcomes passage of antiterrorism 
legislation 
 
MAINICHI (Page 1) (Full) 
Eve., January 11, 2008 
 
Hiroshi Wada in Washington 
 
Japan Desk Director James Zumwalt of the U.S. Department of State, 
meeting on Jan. 10 with the Japan press corps, welcomed the 
impending enactment of the new Antiterrorism Special Measures Law. 
He expressed his expectation for an early resumption of the 
(Maritime Self-Defense Force) refueling mission (in the Indian 
Ocean). 
 
(3) Upper House deliberations on refueling assistance bill end after 
only scratching the surface 
 
ASAHI (Page 4) (Abridged slightly) 
January 11, 2008 
 
Deliberations in the House of Councillors on the 
government-sponsored refueling assistance bill stopped short of 
shedding light on the oil diversion allegation and discussing the 
contents of the bill mainly because the major opposition Democratic 
Party of Japan spent much time pursuing a series of scandals 
involving the Ministry of Defense (MOD) and also because many 
contentious points had already been discussed in the House of 
 
TOKYO 00000103  004 OF 013 
 
 
Representatives. At the same time, as seen in heated discussions on 
the option of enacting a general law on the overseas dispatch of the 
Self-Defense Forces, there are signs of new security debate between 
the ruling and opposition camps. 
 
Deliberations on oil-diversion and cover-up allegations lose 
momentum 
 
Some 60 days have passed since the bill cleared the House of 
Representatives on November 13. In Upper House deliberations, the 
DPJ and other opposition parties put high priority on pursuing the 
series of scandals involving former Administrative Vice-Defense 
Minister Takemasa Moriya. Conducting Moriya's sworn testimony 
following that in the Lower House, the upper chamber successfully 
elicited the names of the lawmakers who had been present at a party 
from the former vice-defense chief. The Upper House undoubtedly 
achieved certain results. 
 
But the chamber's efforts to shed light on allegations that Japanese 
oil had been diverted for use in the Iraq operation and that MOD had 
covered up the underreported fuel the MSDF supplied to a U.S. supply 
ship lost steam in the end. 
 
MOD's survey of 794 refueling operations for six years' time found 
that some 20 PERCENT  of the oil had gone to ships that were engaged 
in multiple operations, such as the Iraq operations. 
 
MOD disclosed voluminous data, including a supply ship's logbook, 
that was largely blacked out. The barrier of military secrecy was 
thick. The government brushed aside the diversion allegation on the 
strength of clear denials by U.S. Ambassador to Japan Thomas 
Schieffer and other key U.S. government officials. It was difficult 
to pursue the allegation further. 
 
In 2003, the MSDF underreported the fuel it provided to a U.S. oiler 
and left the amount uncorrected, allowing cabinet ministers to make 
mistaken replies. Some opposition members pointed out the 
involvement of senior officials of the then Defense Agency. Despite 
that, MOD's conclusion held the Maritime Staff Office accountable. 
 
Last night, reporters at the Prime Minister's Official Residence 
(Kantei) asked Prime Minister Fukuda if the new refueling bill had 
been discussed thoroughly. In response, the prime minister said with 
confidence: "There were many similar questions, and I think that 
means it was debated thoroughly." 
 
Debate on general law gaining steam 
 
The validity of the refueling assistance legislation is one year. 
Operation beyond that period requires an additional legal step. 
Feeling limits to the approach of repeatedly enacting special 
measures laws for SDF overseas missions, the government and ruling 
parties have come up with the idea of enacting a general law 
(permanent law) enabling the government to dispatch the SDF as 
necessary. The matter was discussed actively in the course of Upper 
House deliberations. 
 
Before the Upper House Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee 
yesterday, Prime Minister Fukuda expressed strong eagerness for 
enacting general legislation, saying: "It is vital to let other 
counties know that Japan is eager to extend international 
cooperation. Japan must carry out activities appropriately so as not 
 
TOKYO 00000103  005 OF 013 
 
 
to be labeled as a free-rider relying heavily on other countries' 
activities." 
 
SDF-officer-turned-LDP-lawmaker Masahisa Sato also said on Jan. 8: 
"The government must clearly present its basic thinking about 
international activities to the Japanese people and the 
international community." In response, Chief Cabinet Secretary 
Nobutaka Machimura stated: "Many members not only from the ruling 
camp but also from the opposition bloc mentioned the need for 
general legislation. I think there is a positive environment for 
it." 
 
When Prime Minister Fukuda and DPJ President Ozawa discussed forming 
a grand coalition, they also agreed on the need to enact a general 
law. There are positive views in the DPJ as well. The government and 
ruling parties also want to break the deadlocked talks with the DPJ 
by using general legislation. 
 
(4) Application of Article 59 of Constitution to new refueling 
legislation 
 
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 3) (Full) 
January 11, 2008 
 
The new antiterrorism special measures bill is expected to be put to 
a second vote in the plenary session of the Lower House on Jan. 11 
and passed into law by a majority vote of members of the ruling 
parties. It is the first time in 57 years for the Lower House to put 
a bill voted down in the Upper House to a second vote in the Lower 
House, by applying the regulation provided under Article 59 of the 
Constitution. The Tokyo Shimbun asked two experts who are for and 
against the move about the appropriateness of the application of the 
Article 59 
 
Article 59 (vote on bills and supremacy of the Lower House) 
 
1. A bill becomes a law on passage by both Houses, except as 
otherwise provided by the Constitution. 
2. A bill which is passed by the House of Representatives, and upon 
which the House of Councillors makes a decision different from that 
of the House of Representatives, becomes a law when passed a second 
time by the House of Representatives by a majority of two-thirds or 
more of the members present. 
3. The provision of the preceding paragraph does not preclude the 
House of Representatives from calling for the meeting of a joint 
committee of both Houses, provided for by law. 
4. Failure by the House of Councillors to take final action within 
sixty (60) days after receipt of a bill passed by the House of 
Representatives, time in recess excepted, may be determined by the 
House of Representatives to constitute a rejection of the said bill 
by the House of Councillors. 
 
For: Koji Murata, professor at Doshisha University; Decision on 
whether to exercise the Article depends on political will 
 
-- Do you think it is appropriate for the ruling parties to put the 
bill to a second vote in the Lower House? 
 
"Whether to apply the Article or not is the matter of a political 
will. Whether this bill is worth undergoing a second vote depends on 
individuals' judgments. In terms of procedures, there is no problem 
about the ruling parties exercising Article 59, based on the prime 
 
TOKYO 00000103  006 OF 013 
 
 
minister's decision." 
 
-- Is it worth applying the Article to the new refueling 
legislation? 
 
"It has become worthy of doing so. Since former Prime Minister 
Shinzo Abe declared that he would stake his political career on the 
bill, international interest in the matter and its importance has 
heightened. It is only natural for the opposition camp to oppose to 
such a determination by the prime minister. Since the legislation 
has been made a contentious issue, whether the bill obtains Diet 
approval has become something like a litmus test of Japan's 
international contributions and future relations between Japan and 
the U.S." 
 
-- The opposition camp is criticizing the move, claiming that it 
lacks a national consensus. 
 
"The typical pattern of public opinion on the security issue is that 
those who are for, against and do not know account for one-third of 
respondents, respectively. Since the issue is not directly related 
to people's lives, clear-cut public opinion will not be formed. As 
such, it does not make sense to say that Article 59 should not be 
exercised until public opinion is formed." 
 
-- A point has been made that putting the bill to a second vote is 
contrary to the public will shown in the Upper House election last 
summer. 
 
"The major point at issue in the Upper House election was the 
pension issue. If the ruling parties proceed with pension reform 
without lending an ear to the opposition camp, they would be 
ignoring the public will. However, this is not the case here this." 
 
-- There is the possibility of the ruling parties repeatedly putting 
bills to a second vote in the future. 
 
"It is unusual that the Lower and Upper Houses are controlled by 
different camps. It is also unusual that the ruling parties account 
for two-thirds of the members of the Lower House. It is important to 
realize that we should not consider such coincidences as a 
conventional case." 
 
-- Do you think even bills directly related to people's lives should 
undergo a second vote? 
 
"The public would strongly react to the idea of exercising the 
Article for bills directly related to voters' lives, such as the 
gasoline tax. Public support ratings for the cabinet are bound to 
drop further. Prime Minister Fukuda would be negative toward the 
idea, even though doing so is legally possible." 
 
Koji Murata: Born in Kobe in 1964. Graduated from Doshisha 
University. Studied at George Washington University. Graduated from 
the Kobe University Graduate School of Law. Serving in the present 
position since 2005, after serving as an associate professor at 
Hiroshima University. Fields of specialization are American 
diplomacy and security policy studies. 43 years old. 
 
Against: Setsu Kobayashi, professor at Keio University; Bill should 
be scrapped in principle, since it does not reflect public will 
 
 
TOKYO 00000103  007 OF 013 
 
 
-- The ruling parties will adopt the new refueling legislation in a 
second vote in the Lower House. What is your view on that? 
 
"I cannot believe it. Given the results of opinion polls, there is 
no public opinion supporting a resumption of the refueling 
operations (in the Indian Ocean by the Maritime Self-Defense Force). 
They insist that since they have a majority of two-thirds in the 
Lower House, they are entitled to use the second-vote right. It is 
an offense to democracy." 
 
-- The ruling parties are insisting that putting the bill to a 
second vote is the right given by the Constitution. 
 
"Putting a bill to a second vote should be a special exception. 
Article 59 of the Constitution provides that a bill becomes a law on 
passage by both Houses. And yet, the LDP asserts that it is a usual 
practice to put a bill to a second vote in the Lower House in the 
event it is voted down in the Lower House. The two-chamber system is 
a method of correctly reflecting public will, by having two 
chambers, instead of one. Bills should be killed if they fail to 
obtain approval from both Houses." 
 
-- In reality, the ruling parties have a two-thirds majority in the 
Lower House. 
 
"The premise of that regulation is that since the Lower House can be 
dissolved, it is constantly subject to the public will. However, the 
LDP suffered a crushing defeat in the Upper House election last 
year. The ruling parties' two-thirds majority in the Lower House 
reflects the public will of two years ago. If Prime Minister Fukuda 
insists that it is important to pass the legislation, he should 
dissolve the Lower House to gain a two-thirds majority." 
 
-- What is your view on the necessity of the refueling operations? 
 
"Concerned cabinet ministers had warned that if the new legislation 
were not passed into law, Japan would find itself isolated in the 
international community. However, nothing like that has happened. 
Americans want to end the war. It was careless of former Prime 
Minister Abe and Prime Minister Fukuda to have made a commitment to 
the U.S." 
 
-- There is the possibility of the ruling parties repeatedly putting 
bills to a second vote in the future. 
 
"It is not possible to exercise the two-thirds majority right in a 
casual manner. The public would think it arrogant if the Diet gives 
approval in a second vote without public support. They can do it if 
they like, and set the conditions for being defeated in a Lower 
House election." 
 
Setsu Kobayashi: Born in Tokyo in 1949. Graduated from the Keio 
University Graduate School of Law. Attorney since 1989, after 
serving as guest researcher at Harvard University. Fields of 
specialization are the Constitution and modern politics. Attorney. 
58 years old. 
 
(5) Editorial: DPJ's attitude in Diet beyond comprehension 
 
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Full) 
January 11, 2008 
 
 
TOKYO 00000103  008 OF 013 
 
 
The government's new antiterrorism bill designed to enable the 
Maritime Self-Defense Force (MSDF) to resume its refueling mission 
in the Indian Ocean was voted down yesterday in the House of 
Councillors Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee by an 
opposition-bloc majority. It was a too-late decision made by the 
Upper House. The bill is expected to be rejected at an Upper House 
plenary session today and then will be brought back into the House 
of Representatives for a revote the same day. In its plenary 
session, the bill will be finally passed by the ruling camp's 
two-thirds overriding vote. 
 
The MSDF refueling operation naturally must be resumed quickly, 
because it is Japan's key contribution to fighting terrorism. But 
the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) prolonged the deliberations on 
the bill until the last moment and caused the suspension of the 
refueling mission for a long period. The DPJ's attitude in the Diet 
is totally incomprehensible. The DPJ is not just an opposition party 
but is in partial charge of managing the affairs of state as the 
main party in the Upper House. The party should be more aware of its 
responsibility. 
 
Prior to the start of deliberations on the new antiterrorism bill in 
the Upper House, the Nikkei continued to emphasize the need for the 
ruling and opposition camps to find common ground through talks in a 
sensible way, adding that if it is difficult to do so, the Upper 
House should quickly express its intention. Regrettably, such 
expectations were betrayed, and a decision was made to extend the 
extraordinary Diet session. 
 
It was late last year when the DPJ finally submitted its 
counterproposal. The party should have submitted it much earlier. 
The DPJ counterproposal conditionally allows the dispatch of Ground 
Self-Defense Force troops to Afghanistan to assist civilians there. 
But it is hard to say at the present point of time that the DPJ 
proposal is an effective, appropriate policy. There are objections 
even in the DPJ. 
 
Even at the last moment of the Diet session, the DPJ failed to take 
proper steps. It initially intended to force the government to carry 
its new antiterrorism bill and the DPJ counterproposal over to the 
next ordinary Diet session. But it is irrational that the party did 
not demonstrate the intention of the Upper House during the two 
months of deliberations. Even the significance of the existence of 
the Upper House may be questioned. Since the Japanese Communist 
Party and the Social Democratic Party strongly opposed continued 
discussion, the DPJ had to make a policy switch to take a vote on 
the bill in the current session. It is a matter of course that the 
DPJ is criticized as being swayed by party interests. 
 
Once the new antiterrorism bill is passed in the Diet today, the 
focus of attention will be shifted to deliberations on a budget bill 
in the ordinary Diet session to be convened on Jan. 18. The Liberal 
Democratic Party and the DPJ will inevitably clash head-on over what 
to do about the provisional gasoline tax rate, but unless the budget 
bill is passed into law by the end of March, financial losses may be 
generated, and eventually great confusion may be caused. The ruling 
and opposition parties are now required to take a responsible 
attitude in order to prevent confusion in the people's daily lives. 
 
(6) Season for LDP factions to increase membership 
 
YOMIURI (Page 4) (Full) 
 
TOKYO 00000103  009 OF 013 
 
 
January 11, 2008 
 
Factions in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) are now 
working on increasing their membership. The Koga and Tanigaki 
factions, which were derived from the former Miyazawa faction, are 
expected to merge. The factions have likely been motivated to 
prepare for the political situation after the next House of 
Representatives election, as they have predicted that Prime Minister 
Yasuo Fukuda will give them a certain level of understanding for 
their moves as he became LDP president backed by eight factions, 
excluding the one headed by Taro Aso. 
 
Election Committee Chairman Makoto Koga, who heads a faction, told 
reporters yesterday: "Along with the (Tanigaki faction), our faction 
will continue to support the Fukuda government and will take the 
lead in rebuilding the LDP." Policy Research Council Chairman 
Sadakazu Tanigaki, who also heads a faction, stated in a meeting of 
his faction: "I would like to discuss with Mr. Koga creating a 
faction that would be acceptable." 
 
Koga and Tanigaki will hold a meeting on Jan. 16 to confirm the 
merger plan. The membership of the expanded faction will total 61, 
on a par with the second largest Tsushima faction (membership of 
68). 
 
Former Policy Research Council Chairman Nobuteru Ishihara joined the 
Yamasaki faction last December. The faction is expected to expand 
its membership. Some take the view that faction head Taku Yamasaki 
let Ishihara join his faction to seek to constrain Economy, Trade 
and Industry Minister Akira Amari and former Secretary General 
Tsutomu Takebe, who are influential in the faction. 
 
SIPDIS 
 
The Tsushima, Ibuki and Aso factions have boosted their memberships. 
The reason for the increase is that they believe larger factions 
will receive more cabinet and party posts than smaller ones when the 
cabinet and party executive posts are reshuffled. Depending on the 
outcome of the next Lower House race, political realignment might 
occur. With that in mind, a Koga faction member said: "It would be 
easier for large factions to take political leadership." 
 
A senior member of the Machimura faction, to which Fukuda used to 
belong, noted: "If our faction broadly expands the membership, we 
will come under criticism from other factions." Therefore, the 
faction has taken a cautious stance toward the expansion of its 
membership, only recruiting House of Councillors members elected 
last July. 
 
The factions have called mostly on lawmakers who do not belong to 
any faction to join them. But some lawmakers with no factional 
allegiance have taken part in the policy study group called "New 
Breeze," which is led by Takebe. 
 
There is also a move by a cross-factional study group. The Ibuki 
faction deputy chief, Shoichi Nakagawa, and conservative lawmakers 
formed a study group they call the "true conservative policy 
association." The group has given rise to much speculation that it 
may support Aso in the party's next presidential race. 
 
Number of members of LDP factions 
 
Faction Lower House members Upper House members Total 
Machimura  59 25 84 
 
TOKYO 00000103  010 OF 013 
 
 
Tsushima 46 22 68 
 
SIPDIS 
Koga 38 8 46 
Yamasaki 37 3 40 
Ibuki 21 7 27 
Aso 15 3 18 
Nikai 14 2 16 
Koumura 14 1 15 
Tanigaki 12 3 15 
No faction 49 10 59 
 
(7) Legislature part 1 (b): Fear of overheated scattering of 
pork-barrel largesse 
 
YOMIURI (Page 4) (Abridged slightly) 
January 9, 2008 
 
Measures to improve services to the public can easily obtain 
agreements from various parties. Amid the widespread observation 
that dissolution of the Lower House and a snap election would be 
imminent, lawmakers are beginning to float policies that have a 
strong flavor of bringing in pork-barrel largesse. 
 
Catchy headlines 
 
The LDP's organ newspaper on Jan. 1 featured articles on 
agricultural policies with such headlines as "Another 111 billion 
yen secured in budget" and "LDP will protect agriculture and farm 
villages." LDP printed 1.5 million copies and distributed them in 
rural areas from the end of the year through the beginning of the 
new year. There are 111 billion yen in additional 
agriculture-related budgetary funds earmarked in the fiscal 2007 
supplementary budget and the fiscal 2008 draft budget. 
 
The fiscal 2008 draft budget was adopted at a cabinet meeting on 
Dec. 24. About 20 farmers gathered the same day in Meiwa Town, Gunma 
Prefecture, where there are vast stretches of paddy fields and pear 
farms. Former Agriculture Minister Yoshio Yatsu looked at the 
farmers and successively proposed the amounts of subsidies the LDP 
would pledge: "We will give 50,000 yen to those who have reduced 
acreage. Those who are going to do so from now will get 30,000 yen. 
We will give additional 50,000 yen to those who grow feed-grain 
rice." 
 
As if it were driven by the DPJ, the government made another 
decision to pay lump-sum money to farmers who pledge to adjust 
production over a long period of time. It also plans to pay 
additional lump-sum money to farmers who grow non-stable rice, such 
as feed-grain rice, recognizing such as crops grown as a result of 
reduced acreage. 
 
Takashi Shinohara, a Lower House member of the DPJ, was making an 
impassioned speech with data in his hand in Ukiha City in the 
southeastern part of Fukuoka Prefecture: "You see how government 
policies have become close to the DPJ's policies. However, we will 
directly pay 1 trillion yen to farmers. The government would pay 
only 200 billion yen in all. This is only one-fifth of the amount 
the DPJ will pay." About 300 farmers in the audience were listening 
intently. 
 
Shinohara, a former bureaucrat of the agriculture ministry, is often 
invited as a speaker to meetings of his peer lawmakers. LDP 
supporters who wanted to listen to the DPJ's policy were also seen 
 
TOKYO 00000103  011 OF 013 
 
 
among the audience. 
 
DPJ is the party to consult with first 
 
There have been a number of cases in which the DPJ's moves 
determined the government's and the ruling camp's policy decisions. 
 
 A proposal for lowering the level of the payment of welfare 
benefits was floated in the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare 
(MHLW) in November last year. The proposal was made, following the 
report an experts council compiled. The report noted that the level 
of a livelihood assistance portion in welfare benefits is higher 
than actual living expenses of low-income households. 
 
Makoto Yuasa (38), secretary general of the Moyai Support Center for 
Independent Life, an nonprofit organization that provides 
consultation for those who have trouble making a living, such as 
working poor or homeless people, launched a campaign to oppose 
lowering the level of the payment of welfare benefits. Yuasa, first 
of all, asked the DPJ to provide an opportunity for his group to 
report on the actual situation of poor and needy people. The DPJ 
pledged to invite Yuasa to a meeting of the DPJ's welfare and labor 
division. 
 
Yuasa told a New Komeito lawmaker, "The DPJ pledged to us that it 
will listen to what we have to say." The New Komeito then decided to 
invite Yuasa to its division meeting. 
 
On Nov. 30, Yuasa met with Hidehisa Otsuji, former welfare minister 
and chairman of the LDP Upper House Caucus, in the Diet building. 
After telling Otsuji that he has also worked on the DPJ and the New 
Komeito on the issue, Yuasa said to Otsuji, "Please constrain the 
welfare ministry from taking unrestrained actions." Otsuji 
understood Yuasa's request and said, "Taking a toll on the socially 
weak is not good." He then telephoned  Director General Hidekazu 
Nakamura of the Social Welfare Bureau of the MHLW and asked him to 
reconsider the plan. 
 
The MHLW in December decided to put the plan on the back-burner. 
 
No results produced 
 
Of 13 bills the DPJ submitted to the Upper House during the current 
session, only one was enacted. It was an amendment to the Natural 
Disaster Victims Relief Law, which it submitted jointly with the 
LDP-sponsored bill. 
 
Hiroshi Kawauchi, senior vice chairman of the Lower House Diet 
Affairs Committee, who is out in the forefront in negotiations 
between the ruling and opposition camps in the Diet, said, "Our 
bills do not even get a chance to be deliberated in the Lower House. 
We should work on the ruling parties for policy talks with the 
resolve that we must by all means realize our policies." 
 
The primary role of legislature is to enable the ruling and 
opposition camps to find common ground while cooperating or 
confronting at times, so that bills that are necessary for the 
people are passed into law. However, since the DPJ has brought to 
the forefront its basic strategy of snatching administration, by 
driving the Fukuda administration into an early dissolution of the 
Lower House and a snap election, it is difficult for it to shift its 
policy course to flexibly cooperation with the ruling camp. 
 
TOKYO 00000103  012 OF 013 
 
 
 
Masashi Waki, senior vice chairman of the Upper House Diet Affairs 
Committee, said, "The ruling parties are responsible for passing 
bills. If the DPJ opposes bills we submit in the Upper House, we 
must overcome their opposition, by putting them to a second vote in 
the Lower House for approval by a two-third majority of the ruling 
parties. This is not a tricky move but the royal road." 
 
Both the ruling and opposition camps remain unable to find a 
breakthrough, though they are dissatisfied with the present 
situation of legislature. It is the people who will have to pick up 
the tab for this policy impasse. 
 
(8) Diet lopsided (Part 3): Fukuda determined to override upper 
chamber 
 
YOMIURI (Page 1) (Full) 
January 11, 2008 
 
The city of Yokosuka in Kanagawa Prefecture is where the Maritime 
Self-Defense Force locates the headquarters of its Yokosuka fleet. A 
number of destroyers are lined up there in port. There is also a 
supply ship there named "Tokiwa." 
 
In November last year, the Antiterrorism Special Measures Law 
expired. The MSDF wound up its refueling mission in the Indian Ocean 
and pulled out. It is now over two months since then. "If we could 
come back after handing over our duties to the next ship, that would 
have been the 100 PERCENT  attainment of our mission. I feel as if I 
had left my heart behind." So saying, MSDF Master Chief Petty 
Officer Akio Masuda, 48, bit his lip. He was engaged in the 
refueling mission. 
 
A new antiterrorism bill is now before the Diet. The legislation is 
for Japan to send an MSDF squadron back to the Indian Ocean for 
refueling activities. Today, it will be enacted with a majority of 
two-thirds or more in a second-time vote of the House of 
Representatives. This second vote, as allowed under Article 59 of 
the Constitution, will be invoked for the first time in a half a 
century. 
 
The Defense Ministry is working night and day to load the outbound 
MSDF vessels with supplies. Normally, MSDF crewmen get two 
preventive shots before departure. This time, they will have a 
second shot at sea on their way to the Indian Ocean. "It normally 
takes one month to get ready for departure," an MSDF staff officer 
said. "But," he went on, "we're not allowed any more blank periods." 
He added, "We'd like to get ready in two weeks." 
 
The Diet is now lopsided, with the ruling parties dominating the 
House of Representatives and the opposition parties controlling the 
House of Councillors. This parliamentary distortion is casting a 
shadow over Japan's foreign and security policies. After 
discontinuing the MSDF refueling mission, the government desperately 
sought understanding from various countries. Katsutoshi Kono, 53, 
director general of the Operations and Plans Department of the 
Maritime Staff Office, and other MSDF officers visited the U.S. 
Pacific Fleet in Hawaii and the U.S. Department of Defense in 
Washington for a week from Dec. 2 last year to explain Japan's 
political situation. 
 
Kono said: "The opposition parties are against the refueling 
 
TOKYO 00000103  013 OF 013 
 
 
legislation. But the Constitution provides for the House of 
Representatives to override with a second vote. It's up to the prime 
minister's decision." 
 
A U.S. Navy officer responded: "I understand the political situation 
in Japan. I hope you will come back after going through democratic 
procedures." 
 
Last fall, the ruling parties were wavering over whether to take a 
second vote in the House of Representatives. That is because they 
feared that the prime minister might be driven to dissolve the Lower 
House and call a general election if the leading opposition 
Democratic Party of Japan (Minshuto) passed a censure motion against 
the prime minister in the House of Councillors. New Komeito, the 
LDP's coalition partner, was opposed to voting again on the bill. 
 
In September last year, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Minister 
Takehiko Endo, whose illegal receiving of state subsidies was 
brought to light, resigned when the DPJ was poised to submit a 
censure motion against him in the House of Councillors. A censure 
resolution has no legal force. In 1998, however, the House of 
Councillors passed a motion censuring Fukushiro Nukaga, the then 
director of the Defense Agency. As a result, Nukaga resigned. His 
case was a trauma for Endo. 
 
The atmosphere, however, began to change. That was because the LDP 
and the DPJ were in turmoil over the initiative to form a grand 
coalition. DPJ President Ozawa, meeting the press on Nov. 4, 
clarified his intention to resign as DPJ head. He said, "It would be 
hard to win the next election for the House of Representatives." 
 
Many people in the LDP took it that the DPJ was not ready yet to 
fight seriously. 
 
Makoto Koga, chairman of the LDP's Election Strategy Council, has 
rejected a call for an early dissolution of the House of 
Representatives. "The Constitution provides a second-time vote," 
Koga said in his Nov. 24 speech. He added: "If we can do so when 
necessary, there's no need to panic. We must also think to serve out 
our term in the House of Representatives." 
 
On the evening of Dec. 11, Prime Minister Fukuda invited New Komeito 
President Ota to his official residence. Fukuda then told Ota that 
he was determined to have the new antiterrorism bill pass the Diet 
during its current session. Ota was sure that Fukuda would not 
dissolve the House of Representatives even if he was censured in the 
House of Councillors. 
 
The DPJ decided not to submit a censure motion against Fukuda in the 
House of Councillors even if the House of Representatives overrides 
the House of Councillors' rejection of the new antiterrorism bill. 
That is because a censure resolution would lose its weight if it 
ends in vain. 
 
The Diet has been warped over the past five months. But Fukuda made 
up his mind to unseal the lower chamber's second-time voting with a 
majority of two thirds to override the upper chamber's decision. 
 
DONOVAN