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Viewing cable 07MINSK1059, EMBASSY MINSK WEEKLY POL/ECON REPORT - December 28, 2007

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07MINSK1059 2007-12-28 10:15 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Minsk
VZCZCXRO0944
RR RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN
RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHSK #1059/01 3621015
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 281015Z DEC 07
FM AMEMBASSY MINSK
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 6762
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RUEHVEN/USMISSION USOSCE 1777
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MINSK 001059 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM ECON ENRG BO
SUBJECT: EMBASSY MINSK WEEKLY POL/ECON REPORT - December 28, 2007 
 
1.  The following are brief items of interest compiled by Embassy 
Minsk.  The next weekly will come out January 11.  Happy New Year! 
 
TABLE OF CONTENTS 
 
Civil Society 
------------- 
 
- Authorities to Approve Undergraduate Matriculation (para. 2) 
- Polish Catholic Priest Expelled from Belarus (para. 3) 
- Youth Urge Political Prisoner Release (para. 4) 
 
Domestic Economy 
---------------- 
 
- Tax benefits to support rural entrepreneurs (para. 5) 
- Average wages fall in November (para. 6) 
 
International Trade and Investment 
---------------------------------- 
 
- Rumors of Major Asset Sales to Russia Denied (para. 7) 
- Gazprom Leaves Price Formula for Belarus Unchanged (para. 8) 
- Belarus' Largest Bank Seeks Foreign Investment (para. 9) 
 
Quote of the Week (para. 10) 
----------------- 
 
------------- 
Civil Society 
------------- 
 
2.  Authorities to Approve Undergraduate Matriculation 
 
Education Minister Aleksandr Radkov announced plans December 25 to 
require potential undergraduate students in public administration, 
international relations, and journalism to present letters of 
recommendation from special commissions under local executive 
authorities.  Radkov maintained the move would neither restrict 
people's right to education nor violate any enacted legislation.  He 
also noted university administration should assess whether 
undergraduate studies applicants could be enrolled for highly 
responsible majors and professions.  He called journalism a 
"respected" profession and said journalists should feel 
"responsibility" and "not propagate anti-governmental ideas." 
 
3.  Polish Catholic Priest Expelled from Belarus 
 
Polish Catholic Priest Grzegorz Hudek left Belarus December 23 after 
a deportation order against him was issued in November.  Hudek 
served over 14 years in Rechytsa, Gomel oblast, before receiving a 
deportation order in November over his allegedly critical comments 
in a Polish newspaper.  Rechytsa religious affairs official Mikhail 
Zhukevich claimed Hudek did not maintain "a dialogue with 
authorities" and "spoke negatively about Rechytsa."  He also stated 
that deportation was "Hudek's personal problem" and not a sign of 
"confrontation" with the church.  Over 700 believers singed a 
petition in vain urging the GOB to extend Hudek's registration in 
Rechytsa. 
 
4.  Youth Urge Political Prisoner Release 
 
Opposition youth staged a picket in central Minsk December 26 to 
protest the sentencing of political prisoner Artur Finkevich 
sentence to 18 months six days earlier.  Police took away 
Finkevich's portraits and briefly detained five demonstrators. 
Picket organizers plan to continue such rallies across Belarus. 
Finkevich intends to appeal the conviction and the sentence. 
 
---------------- 
Domestic Economy 
---------------- 
 
5.  Tax benefits to support rural entrepreneurs 
 
Lukashenko signed decree number 9 December 21 to provide tax 
benefits and exemptions for businesses and individual entrepreneurs 
registered and operating in rural areas.  The decree comes into 
effect on January 1, 2008 and will provide five-year exemptions from 
profit and real estate tax, transfers to the innovation fund, 
customs payments and VAT on equipment imported to contribute to 
firms' charter funds.  The decree also allows banks to issue up to 
20,000 Euro loans without collateral to support investment projects 
in rural areas.  The decree does not apply to highly profitable 
activities or to companies and entrepreneurs enjoying other 
preference or benefits. 
 
6.  Average wages fall in November 
 
Belarus' average pre-tax monthly pay dropped from USD 343 in October 
 
MINSK 00001059  002 OF 002 
 
 
to USD 342 in November, according to the Ministry of Statistics. 
The Ministry reported December 24 that the country's average real 
pre-tax monthly salary in November feel by 2.4 percent from October. 
 However, year-on-year salaries rose 0.8 percent in real terms. 
 
---------------------------------- 
International Trade and Investment 
---------------------------------- 
 
7.  Rumors of Major Asset Sales to Russia Denied 
 
Belarus' Deputy Economy Minister Oleg Melnikov stated December 21 
that the GOB has no plans to sell stakes in Naftan, one of the 
country's two oil refineries, to foreign investors. One of Belarus' 
few opposition newspapers, "Nasha Niva," wrote December 19 that 
Russia's Lukoil would like to buy more than 50 percent of Naftan's 
shares.  The company performed poorly this year, with profitability 
plunging from 27.1 percent in 2006 to just 1.5 percent.  Melnikov 
also dismissed rumors Belarus would sell any of the country's blue 
chips to Russian companies in return for a USD 1.5 billion 
stabilization loan, which Belarus received December 26. 
 
8.  Gazprom Leaves Price Formula for Belarus Unchanged 
 
According to press services, Gazprom Chairman Alexey Miller held a 
working meeting on December 21 with Belarus' Deputy Premier Vladimir 
Semashko.  The parties discussed gas supplies and related issues, 
and reiterated their commitment to the four-year agreement signed 
December 31, 2006.  In echoing comments made by Vladimir Putin in 
Minsk on December 14, Gazprom signaled GOB failure to minimize 
further natural gas price increases in 2008. 
 
9.  Belarus' Largest Bank Seeks Foreign Investment 
 
Vladimir Novik, Deputy Chairman of the Board of Belarus' largest 
state-owned bank, Belarusbank, told Reuters December 24 that the 
bank has plans to sell a stake of at least ten percent to a foreign 
investor in 2008.  Belarusbank, 99 percent owned by the government, 
would prefer a major Western bank to a Russian bank as a strategic 
partner, as state-of-the-art banking technologies and management 
methods are still new in Russia, according to Novik.  Belarusbank's 
plans for 2008 also include issuing Eurobonds. 
 
---------------------- 
10.  Quote of the Week 
---------------------- 
 
Deputy Prime Minister Ivan Bambiza told journalists he found a 
silver lining in complaints by Belarusians that they cannot afford 
certain "delicacies," such as cured meats.  When people feel they do 
not have enough money "that is normal.  If a person feels 
dissatisfied all the time by his salary, that's good.  That means he 
will always be motivated to earn more." 
 
Moore