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Viewing cable 07BELGRADE1719, DATE FOR LOCAL ELECTIONS STILL LINGERS

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
07BELGRADE1719 2007-12-21 16:08 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Belgrade
VZCZCXRO8163
OO RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN
RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG
DE RUEHBW #1719/01 3551608
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 211608Z DEC 07 ZDK
FM AMEMBASSY BELGRADE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1957
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC 1412
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 BELGRADE 001719 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR EUR/SCE 
 
E.O.12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV PREL KV SR
SUBJECT: DATE FOR LOCAL ELECTIONS STILL LINGERS 
 
REFS:  A. Belgrade 1657 B. Belgrade 1504 C. Belgrade 1552 
 
Summary 
------- 
 
1.  (SBU) Although first and second round Presidential elections are 
scheduled for January 20, and February 3, 2008, Serbia's Parliament 
Speaker has yet to call for local elections.  Parliament first must 
pass a series of laws before the Speaker can call local elections. 
Although some analysts believe holding local elections in 
conjunction with a second round of presidential elections would help 
the Democratic Party (DS) Presidential candidate Boris Tadic by 
bringing more democratic bloc party voters to the polls, the DS has 
done little prep work to make this happen, and other parties remain 
skeptical.  End Summary. 
 
Requirements of the Constitutional Law 
-------------------------------------- 
 
2.  (SBU) Article 3 of the Constitutional Law states that local 
elections are to be announced by the Speaker of Parliament by 
December 31, 2007, or no later than 60 days after the amendment of 
the laws regulating the territorial organization of Serbia, local 
self-administration, local elections, and the status of the capital 
city.  The Constitutional law also says that elections for the 
Vojvodina Provincial Assembly are to be announced by the Speaker of 
Parliament by December 31, 2007, or no later than 60 days after the 
amendment of the law on territorial organization of Serbia.  To date 
parliament has yet to pass any of this required legislation. 
 
DS Wants to Pass Required Legislation 
--------------------------------------- 
 
3.  (SBU) The Democratic Party (DS) wants to pass the required 
legislation and move forward with local elections, according to 
local media and some DS officials.  It is unclear, however, if the 
DS will be able to do so since the legislation is still with the 
Government for its consideration before it is forwarded on to 
Parliament.  Parliament Speaker and DS member Oliver Dulic told the 
media on December 20 that the constitutional law obligated him to 
schedule all elections by the end of the year, but he gave no 
indication of when the elections would be held.  DS MP, Konstantin 
Samafolov told poloff on December 20 that parliament would be 
prepared to consider the necessary legislation during the week of 
December 24.  He speculated, however, that even if the assembly 
passed the legislation, local and Vojvodina elections would not 
occur until spring 2008.  DS MPs Gordana Comic and Srdjan 
Milivojevic, however, made no mention of local elections during a 
separate meeting with poloff on December 20.  Suzana Grubjesic, head 
of the G-17 Plus parliamentary caucus and government coalition 
partner, told poloff on December 17 that it was unlikely that the 
legislation would be passed by the end of the year, and she did not 
expect local elections until the spring. 
 
DSS Undecided While Radicals Oppose February Elections 
--------------------------------------------- --------- 
 
4.  (SBU) Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica's Democratic Party of 
Serbia (DSS) is waiting until its Main Board meets the weekend of 
December 22 to discuss next steps on elections, but for now all 
options remain on the table.  DSS MP Aligrudic told poloff on 
December 20 that these issues would only be decided once Kostunica 
met with the board, but after DSS decided whether to support Tadic 
(septel), the DSS and DS "would then get on with local and 
provincial elections."  The DSS walked out of parliament on December 
21.  Local media speculated that the walkout was at least partially 
motivated by the possibility that local elections were being 
considered and to buy the DSS time to respond.  Radical Party (SRS) 
leader Tomislav Nikolic told local media on December 20 that if the 
DS planned to tie local elections with the second round of the 
presidential election, it would be an "imprudent and rotten idea." 
According to local media B-92, Nikolic thinks that the DS is afraid 
of electoral defeat and wants to increase turn out in a second round 
by calling local elections. 
 
Polls in Kosovo? 
---------------- 
 
5. (SBU) Perhaps the least considered and most problematic aspect of 
local elections is whether they would be held in Kosovo.  The GOS, 
via its Coordination Center for Kosovo, worked with UNMIK most 
recently to open polling stations in Kosovo during the October 2006 
referendum and the January 2007 parliamentary elections.  The acting 
head of the UN liaison office in Belgrade told poloff December 20 
that the GOS had made no inquiries and, in his estimation, was 
completely unprepared to arrange local elections in Kosovo by 
February 2008. 
 
Comment 
 
BELGRADE 00001719  002 OF 002 
 
 
------- 
 
6.  (SBU) Parliament will need to act quickly if it wishes to 
arrange for local elections to be held on February 3, 2008, in 
conjunction with a second round vote for President.  With 
legislation still in the hands of the government, post expects that 
only a unified political decision by all coalition partners to move 
forward could make February local elections possible.  Beyond 
weighing the value that simultaneous elections would have on the 
outcome in the presidential election, the DS has given little 
thought to the impact local elections would have on the Kosovo 
decision process, the resulting composition of local governments, 
and how Serbia intends to resolve the thorny issue of voting in 
Kosovo.  End Comment. 
 
MUNTER