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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 11 TOKYO 004373 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; 
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; 
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; 
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, 
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA 
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; 
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
 
SUBJECT:  DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 09/19/07 
 
 
Index: 
 
(1) Spot poll on LDP presidential election 
 
(2) UNSC resolution showing appreciation for OEF: DPJ member 
"Seeking appreciation is a farce" 
 
(3) DPJ remains opposed to allowing MSDF to continue refueling 
mission, describing UNSC's draft resolution as "not a sufficient 
condition" 
 
(4) DPJ-PNP relationship estranged over postal privatization freeze 
bill 
 
(5) Chief Cabinet Secretary Yosano in desperate attempt to explain 
reason for not appointing acting prime minister; Abe carrying out 
duties from hospital room 
 
(6) Personnel appointments already a focus of attention for LDP; 
Only a few cabinet ministers expected to be replaced for remaining 
Diet session 
 
(7) Editorial: Japan should not abstain from upcoming UNGA as it did 
last year 
 
(8) Cuts in ODA budget a major mistake for Japan's diplomatic 
strategy 
 
(9) Shock caused by Abe's resignation (Part 4): Concern about 
decline in Japan's influence 
 
ARTICLES: 
 
(1) Spot poll on LDP presidential election 
 
YOMIURI (Page 2) (Full) 
September 11, 2007 
 
Questions & Answers 
(Figures shown in percentage.) 
 
Q: Now that Prime Minister Abe has announced his resignation, the 
ruling Liberal Democratic Party will elect its new president. There 
are two candidates running in the LDP race, Yasuo Fukuda and Taro 
Aso. Which one do you think is appropriate for the LDP presidency? 
 
Yasuo Fukuda 57.5 
Taro Aso 22.4 
None 9.2 
No answer (N/A) 10.9 
 
Q: What do you think is needed in particular for the next prime 
minister? Pick as many as you like from those listed below, if any. 
 
Leadership ability 89.1 
Stability 61.3 
Public accountability 85.6 
Popularity 33.9 
Political career 71.5 
Political ideal, goal 76.5 
Economic sense 76.8 
Inter-party coordination 68.6 
 
TOKYO 00004373  002 OF 011 
 
 
Other answers (O/A) 0.4 
Nothing in particular (NIP) 1.0 
N/A 1.6 
 
Q: What issues would you like the candidates to discuss in the LDP 
presidential election? Pick as many as you like from among those 
listed below, if any. 
 
Economy, employment 80.7 
Consumption tax 69.5 
Pensions 89.4 
Social divide 62.7 
Education 71.1 
North Korea 68.4 
Politics and money 75.2 
Antiterror law 66.2 
Constitutional revision 50.9 
O/A 0.4 
NIP 1.1 
N/A 1.2 
 
Q: Would you like the next prime minister to take over Prime 
Minister Abe's political stance? 
 
Yes 25.9 
No 62.0 
N/A 12.1 
 
Q: In the LDP presidential election this time, LDP factions were at 
the center of screening candidates. Do you think it was desirable? 
 
Yes 14.6 
No 70.2 
N/A 15.2 
 
Q: Do you think it's only natural for Prime Minister Abe to step 
down? 
 
Yes 58.1 
No 32.6 
N/A 9.4 
 
Q: Prime Minister Abe has now announced his resignation. Do you 
think it's irresponsible to do so at this timing? 
 
Yes 69.3 
No 26.4 
N/A 4.3 
 
Q: Do you think it would better to dissolve the House of 
Representatives as soon as possible for a general election? 
 
Yes 50.7 
No 40.6 
N/A 8.7 
 
Q: Which political party do you support now? Pick only one. 
 
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 31.9 
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 27.1 
New Komeito (NK) 2.7 
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 2.7 
 
TOKYO 00004373  003 OF 011 
 
 
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1.4 
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.3 
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) --- 
Other political parties --- 
None 31.6 
N/A 2.3 
 
Polling methodology: The survey was conducted across the nation over 
the telephone from the afternoon of Sept. 15 through Sept. 16. For 
the survey, respondents were chosen on a computer-aided random digit 
dialing (RDD) basis. A total of 1,672 households were found to have 
one or more eligible voters. Valid answers were obtained from 1,047 
persons (63 PERCENT ). 
 
(2) UNSC resolution showing appreciation for OEF: DPJ member 
"Seeking appreciation is a farce" 
 
Asahi.com 
Sept. 19, 2007 
 
In reference to a new United Nations Security Council (UNSC) 
resolution that would express appreciation for Operation Enduring 
Freedom (OEF), an antiterrorism operation, Chief Cabinet Secretary 
Yosano said in a press conference this morning: "Since Japan is not 
a UNSC member, instead of lobbying for it, Japan has explained to 
council member the situation Japan has found itself placed in, its 
activities to date, and the outlook for Diet proceedings,." 
According to several UNSC sources, the Japanese government's view 
was taken into consideration in drafting the resolution. 
 
Some officials in the Japanese government and members of the ruling 
bloc in Diet expect the resolution, if adopted, to make it difficult 
for the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) to continue to oppose the 
government's plan to extend the Maritime Self-Defense Force (MSDF) 
refueling operation. Liberal Democratic Party Diet Affairs Committee 
Chairman Tadamori Oshima also said: "If such a resolution is 
adopted, we will find it easier to obtain public understanding." 
 
However, DPJ Secretary General Yukio Hatoyama told reporters: "Even 
if a new resolution is adopted ex post facto in an unnatural way, it 
is in the wrong order. Our party's stance will remain unchanged." 
Demonstrating his recognition that the Japanese government called on 
UNSC member nations to adopt a new resolution, Hatoyama commented: 
"It is a farce that Japan has urged the UNSC to show appreciation. 
Japan will only make itself the butt of international ridicule. We 
will rigorously grill the government over this issue." 
 
In an interview with the Asahi Shimbun, Keiichiro Asao, defense 
minister in the DPJ next cabinet, stressed the need for maritime 
intercept operations to be clearly endorsed by the UN in a 
resolution, saying: "If only appreciation is shown, it will be 
meaningless." 
 
(3) DPJ remains opposed to allowing MSDF to continue refueling 
mission, describing UNSC's draft resolution as "not a sufficient 
condition" 
 
YOMIURI ONLINE NEWS (Full) 
September 19, 2007, 13:49 p.m. 
 
A resolution expressing appreciation for the multinational force's 
Maritime Interception Operation (MIO), in which Japan's Maritime 
 
TOKYO 00004373  004 OF 011 
 
 
Self-Defense Force (MSDF) has participated in the Indian Ocean, was 
submitted to the United Nations Security Council yesterday (this 
morning, Japan time). The main opposition Democratic Party of 
Japan's (DPJ) leadership deems that the resolution bill will not 
have any impact on the party's policy of opposing the government to 
allow the MSDF to continue the refueling mission. 
 
DPJ Secretary General Hatoyama this morning made this critical 
comment to reporters: "It's a farce to force (each member nation) to 
express thanks. This can't change the DPJ's stance. It'll only 
invite snickers from the public." Many in the DPJ take the 
resolution as not directly endorsing the MSDF's refueling 
operations. 
 
In response to a question by reporters, "Will the DPJ assume a 
different stance if the UN adopts a resolution that will give 
approval directly to the MSDF's refueling operations," Hatoyama 
said: "A UN resolution is a necessary condition, but it is not a 
sufficient condition. Even if a resolution is adopted after the 
fact, the order of matters is incorrect. It will not bring a drastic 
change in our party's position." 
 
Meanwhile, the government and the ruling coalition this morning 
emphasized the importance of the new UNSC resolution. 
 
Defense Minister Komura told reporters at the Ministry: "Even if the 
Foreign Ministry thought up a UN resolution that would be acceptable 
to DPJ President Ozawa as a legal basis for the MSDF's refueling 
mission, they would naturally oppose it. If the resolution were 
adopted, the DPJ would lose a major reason for its opposition 
(namely that there is no seal of approval for the MSDF's refueling 
mission from the UN)." 
 
When asked by reporters at a press briefing, "The DPJ may lose its 
grounds for opposition," Chief Cabinet Secretary Yosano noted, "It 
is a matter on which President Ozawa and Secretary General Hatoyama 
should confer." The junior coalition partner New Komeito's Secretary 
General Kitagawa told reporters: "I hope to see the DPJ take the 
resolution bill this time as an international call (for a 
continuation of the refueling mission) and sincerely debate the 
issue." 
 
(4) DPJ-PNP relationship estranged over postal privatization freeze 
bill 
 
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Abridged slightly) 
September 19, 2007 
 
The relationship between the Democratic Party of Japan (Minshuto or 
DPJ) and the People's New Party (PNP) has been chilly recently due 
to a plan to submit a bill to freeze the government's timetable to 
privatize the postal business on Oct. 1. 
 
It all started with the PNP's proposal to the DPJ to jointly submit 
a bill. DPJ President Ichiro Ozawa gave a nod to it, partly out of 
expectations of forming a joint parliamentary group with the PNP. 
Subsequently, three opposition parties, including the Social 
Democratic Party, submitted the bill to the extraordinary Diet 
session in August. But the bill was killed in the Diet, and the plan 
to form a joint parliamentary group was also put off due to 
objections from the PNP. Given the short deadline of Oct. 1, the 
idea of submitting a bill was expected to go up in smoke. 
 
TOKYO 00004373  005 OF 011 
 
 
 
But calls reemerged in the PNP for resubmitting the bill to pave the 
way for discussions, and the party again asked the DPJ to become a 
cosponsor. 
 
But this time, the DPJ reacted coldly to the PNP request, with one 
senior DPJ lawmaker saying: "That party is asking for our 
cooperation after turning down the plan to form a joint 
parliamentary group. They are asking too much." 
 
Privatizing the postal business reflect the popular will, as seen in 
the results of the 2005 House of Representatives election. That 
factor apparently is discouraging the two other parties from 
agreeing to submit another bill. 
 
Meanwhile, a senior PNP lawmaker bitterly noted: "(Depending on the 
DPJ's response), we might not vote for Mr. Ozawa in the upcoming 
prime ministerial election and not cooperate with the DPJ in the 
next Lower House election." 
 
Ozawa is scheduled to have a meeting shortly with PNP head Tamisuke 
Watanuki. The two leaders are expected to coordinate views on: (1) 
establishing a consultative body to review the postal privatization 
plan by giving up on the freeze bill; and (2) submitting a new bill 
stopping the phasing in of the postal privatization plan. The 
meeting might leave hard feelings, however. 
 
(5) Chief Cabinet Secretary Yosano in desperate attempt to explain 
reason for not appointing acting prime minister; Abe carrying out 
duties from hospital room 
 
MAINICHI (Page 2) (Full) 
September 9, 2007 
 
The outlook is that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who has been admitted 
to a Tokyo hospital after the announcement of his intention to step 
down, will continue his job without appointing a deputy until Sept. 
25 when the new cabinet is inaugurated. The Cabinet Law stipulates 
that in case the prime minister is prevented from discharging his 
functions, an acting prime minister will carry out his duties. Chief 
Cabinet Secretary Kaoru Yosano stated in a press conference 
yesterday that Abe's hospitalization did not meet that requirement, 
and there was no crisis management problem. However, Abe is now 
carrying out his duties from a hospital room, which is a closed 
environment. How he is fulfilling his duties and making decisions 
are conveyed through certain politicians alone. 
 
Article 9 of the Cabinet Law stipulates that in case the prime 
minister is prevented from discharging his functions, or the post of 
the prime minister is vacant, the minister of the state designated 
by him perform temporarily the functions of the prime minister. The 
government's view is that an overseas trip and hospitalization 
prevent the prime minister from carrying out his duties. 
 
According to the Cabinet Affairs Office, only two acting prime 
ministers were appointed under the present Constitution since due to 
the hospitalization of prime ministers. In April 2000 when then 
Chief Cabinet Secretary Mikio Aoki served as proxy of Prime Minister 
Keizo Obuchi, who entered the hospital after suffering a stroke, the 
decision was criticized because the appointment process was unclear. 
Therefore, a system was adopted to decide at the time when the 
cabinet is inaugurated the hierarchy of state ministers to serve as 
 
TOKYO 00004373  006 OF 011 
 
 
an acting prime minister. Under this system, Yosano is ranked the 
number one in the list of the Abe cabinet ministers. 
 
According to the hospital, Abe will stay there until this weekend. 
Despite that, Yosano said that Abe's hospitalization did not prevent 
him from performing the prime minister's functions, explaining, "The 
reason is that when he leaves the hospital is clear." He also 
revealed the diagnostic outcome of Abe's health that although there 
was little progress in his condition, he had no problem in making 
decisions. 
 
Moreover, Aso said that prime ministerial secretaries were staying 
at the hospital so that they would be able to get Abe's approvals. 
He also revealed that in case a crisis that required Abe to return 
to the Kantei (Prime Minister's Official Residence) occurred, he 
would be able to do so since it would t only five minutes. 
 
International University of Japan Prof. Tomohito Shinoda said: 
 
"There is the deputy chief cabinet secretary for crisis management 
in the Kantei. So the Kantei has detailed crisis management 
simulations. There is no problem without an acting prime minister." 
 
Health, Labor and Welfare Minister Yoichi Masuzoe told reporters 
yesterday: 
 
"When the prime minister leaves the hospital will be decided by the 
political situation. I think he probably takes careful notes of a 
negative impact on the LDP presidential election." 
 
He pointed out the possibility that whether to appoint an acting 
prime minister was decided intertwined with the political 
situation. 
 
(6) Personnel appointments already a focus of attention for LDP; 
Only a few cabinet ministers expected to be replaced for remaining 
Diet session 
 
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Abridged slightly) 
September 19, 2007 
 
Former Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda is enjoying a 
comfortable lead over Liberal Democratic Party Secretary General 
Taro Aso in the LDP presidential race. Given the situation, many LDP 
lawmakers are turning their attention to personnel appointments 
after the Sept. 23 presidential election. Although both Fukuda and 
Aso mentioned the possibility of replacing only a few cabinet 
ministers, all factions have their eyes on major cabinet portfolios 
and LDP executive posts. 
 
Taku Yamasaki, who heads his own faction, delivered a speech in 
Tokyo yesterday, in which he speculated that the next prime minister 
might keep the same cabinet ministers for the remaining Diet 
session. 
 
The Yamasaki, Koga, and Tanigaki factions that threw their support 
behind Fukuda ahead of other factions have strong expectations for 
key posts. But the ongoing Diet session, which is being disrupted by 
the LDP presidential race, would leave little time for thoroughly 
screening prospective cabinet ministers. The new prime minister must 
staff his cabinet with trouble-free individuals so as not to stumble 
right from the start. 
 
TOKYO 00004373  007 OF 011 
 
 
 
Another vital element is the ability to answer questions in the 
Diet. With both chambers of the Diet expected to host 
interpellations as early as Oct. 1 following the September 25 prime 
ministerial election, the new cabinet ministers must be able to hit 
the ground running. 
 
In 2000, then Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi died after suffering a 
stroke while the Diet was in session. His successor, Prime Minister 
Yoshiro Mori launched his cabinet by reappointing all the Obuchi 
cabinet ministers. A Fukuda camp executive predicted that the next 
prime minister would replace only the LDP's three top executives and 
the chief cabinet secretary for the remaining Diet session. 
 
The personnel approach and the lineup of the new cabinet and LDP 
officers would significantly differ depending on who -- Fukuda or 
Aso -- becomes the new prime minister. Receiving support from eight 
factions, excluding the Aso faction, it would be difficult for 
Fukuda to ignore their wishes. Aware of the difficulty meeting their 
expectations, Fukuda seemingly mentioned the possibility of 
replacing only a few cabinet ministers. In the case of Aso, who is 
receiving cross-factional support, it would be easier to display his 
originality. 
 
The focus of attention is on such posts as LDP secretary general and 
chief cabinet secretary. With a Lower House dissolution for a snap 
general election looming, the post of secretary general, who would 
spearhead the election campaign, would become even more vital. The 
ability to deal with the reversal of positions between the ruling 
and opposition parties in the Upper House would also be a key factor 
in determining cabinet ministers and LDP officers. 
 
Another key position is chief cabinet secretary, who serves as the 
cabinet spokesperson. The chief cabinet minister must be able to 
coordinate views and communicate effectively with the bureaucrats 
and the ruling parties. With the shift of weight to the Kantei 
(Prime Minister's Official Residence) in decision-making, this post 
has come to draw more attention than the finance and foreign 
ministers. 
 
New Komeito to ask next prime minister to retain Fuyushiba as land 
and transport minister 
 
The New Komeito has decided to ask the next LDP president to let 
Tetsuzo Fuyushiba stay on as land, infrastructure, and transport 
minister in the cabinet to be launched as early as Sept. 25. 
 
With both Fukuda and Aso having voiced their plans to replace only a 
small number of cabinet ministers, the next prime minister is likely 
to let Fuyushiba keep his current post in compliance with the New 
Komeito's request. 
 
(7) Editorial: Japan should not abstain from upcoming UNGA as it did 
last year 
 
NIKKEI (Page 2) (Abridged) 
September 19, 2007 
 
The United Nations opened its 62nd General Assembly (UNGA) (on Sept. 
18). Top leaders and foreign ministers of member states will deliver 
speeches there next week. If Japan does not take any action now, it 
may result in failing to send either its prime minister or its 
 
TOKYO 00004373  008 OF 011 
 
 
foreign minister to the UNGA for two years in a row. Whoever may be 
chosen as next prime minister, Yasuo Fukuda or Taro Aso, Japan 
should somehow send a foreign-ministerial-level politician, or Japan 
will further diminish in its presence in the international 
community. There is great need to avoid that possibility. 
 
The UN member nations send their top leaders or foreign ministers to 
the UNGA every year, and those officials deliver speeches and meet 
with other countries' officials on a bilateral or multilateral 
basis. Japan will lose such meetings if neither the prime minister 
nor the foreign minister is sent to the UNGA. At the time of last 
year's UNGA, the then Koizumi administration was in a transition to 
the Abe administration. Both Prime Minister Koizumi and Foreign 
Minister Aso stayed away from the UNGA, even though they were 
physically able to attend it. 
 
The reason Koizumi abstained from the UNGA was reportedly because he 
had concluded that attending it would be unnecessary for he would be 
leaving his post shortly. Meanwhile, Aso gave priority to 
undertaking coordination over personnel selection for a new Abe 
administration. The Nikkei at the time wrote: "It's no good to 
prioritize personnel selection over diplomatic activities in the 
UN." Finally Japan sent Deputy Foreign Minister Nishida to a foreign 
ministerial of the Group of Eight (G-8), and Ambassador to the UN 
Oshima and the Foreign Ministry official delivered speeches. In the 
world of diplomacy, however, importance is given to rank. So, Japan 
presumably was seen as making light of the UN. 
 
If Japan failed to send either its prime minister or foreign 
minister to the UNGA this year, as well, its bid for a permanent 
seat on the UN Security Council (UNSC) would be questioned. There 
are precedents in this regard for Japan to follow. 
 
For example, the second Koizumi administration was established on 
Sept. 22, 2003, immediately before the start of the UNGA. Contrary 
to all expectations, Foreign Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi stayed on 
primarily because she was considered to be a ready candidate in the 
arena of UN diplomacy. Fukuda and Aso, who are in the midst of the 
LDP presidential campaign, are unable to pay attention to UN 
diplomacy at present, but one idea for them to consider is to follow 
precedent. 
 
Specifically, three options are conceivable: (1) reinstall Foreign 
Minister Nobutaka Machimura in the same post in forming a new 
cabinet and immediately send him to New York; (2) appoint a ready 
workhorse as foreign minister and do the same; or (3) give a status 
of government representative to Machimura and allow him to act in 
effect as foreign minister in the UN. If Tokyo fails to send 
political leaders to the UN for two consecutive years, Japan will be 
dubbed an inward-looking country and its influence internationally 
will diminish. That would lead to Japan losing diplomatic clout. 
 
Sending a bigwig politician at a foreign ministerial-level to New 
York is important not only in view of UN diplomacy but also in terms 
of relations with the United States. Given the current political 
situation in Japan, it is indispensable for Japan to hold 
preliminary discussions in case of a failure to extending the 
antiterrorism law, the legal basis for the Maritime Self-Defense 
Force's ongoing refueling mission in the Indian Ocean. 
 
(8) Cuts in ODA budget a major mistake for Japan's diplomatic 
strategy 
 
TOKYO 00004373  009 OF 011 
 
 
 
YOMIURI (Page 13) (Excerpts) 
September 19, 2007 
 
Official development assistance (ODA) funds and other related 
outlays have suffered a 3 PERCENT  cut in the budget request outline 
for next fiscal year adopted last month at a cabinet meeting. There 
has been a growing need for assistance to help the reconstruction of 
those countries that have suffered damage from disputes. In 
response, European countries, the US and China have increased their 
ODA budgets. In contrast, Japan has cut its ODA budget by 38 PERCENT 
 over the past decade. As a result, Japan's influence in the 
international community is beginning to decline. 
 
Since Japan does not use armed force to settle disputes, ODA must be 
its major and most effective means of contributing to the 
international community. I have been in charge of helping the 
reconstruction process in Iraq and Afghanistan. Leaders of both 
countries and their peoples repeatedly expressed words of gratitude, 
noting that Japan was making efforts to help the reconstruction of 
their countries without resorting to military force or having any 
political intentions. 
 
Although some Japanese masochistically criticize their diplomacy 
saying that it lacks visibility, the face of Japan's ODA is clearly 
recognized by the international community. Teamed with its 
consistent peace diplomacy in the disarmament area, Japan in fact 
has had a sharply-defined presence as an aid donor to developing 
countries for many decades, including a period in which Japan was 
the largest aid donor in the world. 
 
However, continuous cuts in the ODA budget have begun to undermine 
that international status. Japan enjoyed the position of being the 
top donor throughout the 1990s. Last year, though, its ODA 
performance ranked third, behind the US and Britain. It will likely 
be soon overtaken by France and Germany, which were fourth and fifth 
respectively last year. China is swiftly boosting its assistance to 
developing countries in a bid to secure resources. 
 
I served as an ambassador to Cambodia for three years starting in 
¶2000. Relations between Cambodia and Japan are close thanks to ODA. 
Cambodia expressed its gratitude to Japan in the form of printing 
the picture of the Bond Bridge, which was built over Mekong River 
with Japan's assistance, on its new paper currency. China is 
reinforcing its policy of moving closer to Southeast Asia. I acutely 
felt that its influence is gradually filtering down to the region, 
including Cambodia. While Japan is curtailing aid to African 
nations, China is stepping up assistance to them, strengthening 
influence in Africa. Japan has encountered much resistance in its 
bid for reform of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). This 
is not unrelated to those facts. 
 
Japan has been playing a leading role in helping with a 
reconstruction process in Afghanistan. However, its role is now 
relatively declining due to reinforced assistance by European 
countries and the US. Chances are that if the situation is left 
unheeded, the high scores the international community has given to 
Japan over several decades would be undermined.  Continuous cuts in 
ODA are a major error in Japan's diplomatic strategy. 
 
Of course, we must accept a certain amount of cuts in order to 
achieve a major goal of recapitalizing public finances. However, 
 
TOKYO 00004373  010 OF 011 
 
 
while the state budget for general expenditures has grown 7 PERCENT 
, the ODA budget has suffered a major reduction from 1.1687 trillion 
yen in 1997 to 729.3 billion yen this fiscal year. This is a 38 
PERCENT  cut. In view of the fact that the ratio of the ODA budget 
to general expenditure is only 1.6 PERCENT , the margin of the drop 
is extremely irrational in terms of the fact that a 3 PERCENT  cut 
in the ODA budget makes little contribution to efforts to reduce the 
fiscal deficit. 
 
If Japan boosts the ODA budget to a considerable degree, it could 
regain its image as a country of peace diplomacy and restore its 
high international reputation and influence, which it is now 
beginning to wane.  Numerically speaking, it is possible to boost 
ODA funds by close to 10 PERCENT , by slashing budget items totaling 
7 trillion yen by only 1 PERCENT . Strategic diplomatic thinking for 
the sake of our national interest is essential. 
 
(9) Shock caused by Abe's resignation (Part 4): Concern about 
decline in Japan's influence 
 
NIKKEI (Page 1) (Full) 
September 17, 2007 
 
By Tetsuya Jitsu, chief correspondent in Washington 
 
It now has been revealed that the Koizumi era was an exception, 
after all. The shadows of faction leaders can be glimpsed in the 
process of selecting a successor to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe 
following his abrupt announcement of his resignation. Looking at the 
current situation, some in the US are feeling disappointed. 
 
Americans had a good impression from former Prime Minister Junichiro 
Koizumi, who pushed ahead with reforms by demonstrating his strong 
leadership and was eager to play a positive role in the 
international community. 
 
Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Campbell, knowledgeable 
about Japan, said: "Americans had believed that the Koizumi 
administration's basic policy would continue even after Koizumi left 
office." The US placed strong expectations particularly on Prime 
Minister Abe, who played up the need for cooperation with such 
countries that share democratic values as the US, Australia, and 
India. 
 
That was why Americans were stunned by Abe's announcement of his 
resignation only four days after his meeting with President Bush, in 
which Abe had promised Japan's cooperation in the war against 
terrorism. This experience might have led to making the US 
distrustful of Japanese politicians. 
 
Campbell said: "We are increasingly worried about the possibility 
that Japan will return to the 1990s, when political turmoil was 
rife, with one weak prime minister after another coming into 
office." 
 
Now that there is no strong leader in Japan, its future course is 
also a matter of concern for the US. In the US, views are split over 
the propriety of the Iraq war, but even the Democratic Party takes 
the antiterrorism operation in Afghanistan as a "good war." That's 
why Americans had not anticipated that Japan's cooperation in the 
war against terrorism, which can be taken as a symbol of the 
Japan-US alliance, would develop into a serious point at issue over 
 
TOKYO 00004373  011 OF 011 
 
 
which the prime minister was driven into resignation in the end. 
 
The US is also perplexed at calls growing in both ruling and 
opposition parties for revising the economic reform policy. A Japan 
watcher said in bewilderment: "I wonder where the Japanese who 
enthusiastically supported Koizumi reforms have gone." 
 
The US government perceived that Japan and the US had built a 
consensus in the diplomatic, security, and economic sectors since 
the Koizumi administration. But this perception is now being shaken, 
and Americans have begun to see Japan with a delicate sense of 
distance. 
 
The current unstable political situation may also work to decrease 
Japan's influence in the international community. 
 
The Times, a British newspaper, blasted Prime Minister Abe's sudden 
announcement of his resignation: "Japan missed a good opportunity to 
increase its influence." If former Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuo 
Fukuda, who has taken the lead over his rival, Aso, in the Liberal 
Democratic Party presidential election campaign, and DPJ President 
Ichiro Ozawa move backward on the political and economic fronts, it 
might become impossible for Japan to play an international role, as 
well as to keep its status as an economic power. 
 
During the LDP presidential campaign, the next round of the 
six-party talks on North Korea's denuclearization is expected to 
take place. The talks, which will be an important stage to determine 
whether North Korea will take action to disable its nuclear 
facilities, will proceed in the absence of leadership in Japan. 
Japan's top leader will not attend the annual UN assembly, either. 
 
In the stalled new round of global trade talks (Doha Round) under 
the World Trade Organization (WTO), many countries have denounced 
Japan, claiming it has not played a positive role. If Japan keeps 
quiet and continues to take a wait-and-see attitude, the 
international community's confidence in Japan will be further 
undermined. 
 
Other countries are moving forward, as seen from South Korea's start 
of talks on concluding a free trade agreement (FTA) with the 
European Union, following those with the US. Competition for drawing 
in direct investment and able personnel is escalating on a global 
scale. As the economy globalizes, economic policies giving priority 
to competition and market principles are indispensable for Japan's 
prosperity. 
 
There is always political strife in democratic nations. But if Japan 
continues to pay attention only to domestic affairs, looking away 
from global trends, its influence in the international community 
will inevitably keep diminishing. What message will the next 
administration send to the world? It will be necessary to give full 
consideration to this point. 
 
SCHIEFFER