VZCZCXRO9112
RR RUEHNZ
DE RUEHWL #0284/01 1000243
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 100243Z APR 07
FM AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 4122
INFO RUEHNZ/AMCONSUL AUCKLAND 1276

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 WELLINGTON 000284 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
STATE FOR D (FRITZ), EAP/FO, AND EAP/ANP 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV NZ
SUBJECT: CONTENTIOUS LEGISLATION AND POLICE ABUSE BRING TRYING TIMES 
FOR NZ GOVERNMENT 
 
Summary 
------- 
¶1. (SBU) These are trying times for PM Clark, despite near universal 
kudos for her performance during her March trip to the U.S. Her 
Government is fending off widespread public dissent over legislation 
to ban the use of physical force to discipline children. Growing 
evidence of sexual abuse and corruption by former and current 
officers has provoked a storm of concern, even though the Government 
has not been criticized directly. Clark still remains in control, 
but these issues have created an unprecedented challenge to her 
personal popularity from opposition leader John Key, who continues 
to gain in political opinion polls. End Summary 
Government spanked for trying to regulate smacking 
--------------------------------------------- ----- 
¶2. (SBU) A bill currently before Parliament which effectively seeks 
to outlaw the use of physical force to discipline a child has 
ignited fierce debate throughout New Zealand. PM Clark and many 
child advocacy groups regard the bill as means to lower the 
incidence of child abuse. However, a vast majority of New Zealanders 
object to what it sees as a ban on disciplinary smacking (spanking) 
that creates an assault on family values and an unwanted intrusion 
by the state into family life. A recent poll found that only 18% of 
Kiwis support the bill. 
¶3. (SBU) Although the controversial bill is a "members bill" 
sponsored by a Green Party MP, the public associates it with PM 
Clark and her Government. Prior to the last election, Clark 
denounced any attempt to outlaw the use of physical force to 
discipline a child. Some analysts suspect that Clark's about face is 
tied to a post-election cooperation agreement she made with the 
Greens. 
¶4. (SBU) Desperate to take the heat out the debate, the Government 
has tried to speed up the bill's passage through Parliament. Labour 
MPs have told us this is so that the public can see that the 
legislation will not result in law-abiding parents being sent to 
prison.  The Parliament only considers members bills only once a 
month on average. In its first attempt to speed things up, the 
Government tried to push the bill through Parliament "under urgency" 
- an extraordinary sitting of Parliament called by the Government in 
which bills are rapidly moved through all remaining stages until 
completed irrespective of how long it takes. After receiving flak 
over the tactic from the public and Labour's support parties (United 
Future, NZ First, and the Progressives), the Government pulled back. 
 It is now contemplating taking outright ownership of the bill by 
putting it on the Government legislative program. This will mean it 
would become a Government bill allowing for a quicker passage 
through Parliament than a members bill. Labour's coalition partner 
parties still publicly voice support for the bill, and at present it 
has enough support to pass by a thin margin. Yet some of these 
support parties (notably Foreign Minister Peter's NZ First) are 
split over whether to continue support a bill that is so clearly 
against the will of the majority of Kiwis. 
¶5. (SBU) The Government has announced that the next step is a PR 
blitz to turn around public attitudes on the bill and mitigate any 
further damage it has caused. However, as long as the bill remains 
before Parliament, and it is set to do so for a while yet, it will 
continue to cause the Government much angst. 
Government acts to restore eroding faith in NZ Police 
--------------------------------------------- -------- 
¶6. (SBU) The New Zealand Police Force is facing a loss of 
credibility and public trust following the exposure of instances of 
misconduct and abuse of power, mainly of a sexual nature, over the 
past 20 years.  A recently released Commission of Inquiry, 
instigated after a succession of high-profile cases of sexual abuse 
and a few cases of high-level cover-ups by former and current police 
officers, found a litany of police misconduct. As a result of these 
cases and the report findings, which prompted an unprecedented 
public mea culpa from the Police Commissioner, public faith in NZ 
policing has been eroded. The Government has moved swiftly to 
restore faith in the police by promising to implement the 
recommendations of the report.  PM Clark has publicly urged women to 
come forward if they are the victims of police sexual abuse. 
Comment: Kiwis warming to John Key as their next PM? 
--------------------------------------------- ------- 
¶7. (SBU) PM Clark is still firmly in control of her party and 
Government, but the anti-smacking bill and police cases appear to be 
taking a toll on her popularity. Recent polling to measure who Kiwis 
prefer as their PM shows that opposition National Party leader John 
Key's popularity has continued to climb steadily at the expense of 
PM Clark. Since Clark became PM in 1999, there has always been 
daylight between her and the next person in preferred PM polling. 
However, the latest Colmar Brunton and 3 News/TNS polls show that 
although Clark still remains the top choice the gap between her and 
Key is now close to within the margin of error (between 3 and 8 
percent). The Government's missteps seem to have played into Key's 
efforts to portray Labour as tired and out of touch.  Key's efforts 
to court moderate, urban liberals - traditionally Labour supporters 
- may also be beginning to reap dividends. While Clark's successful 
Washington trip in March received widespread and positive media 
 
WELLINGTON 00000284  002 OF 002 
 
 
play, it does not appear to have outweighed public dissatisfaction 
with the controversies that surround her. End Comment 
McCormick