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Viewing cable 06MAPUTO1626, November Economic Digest: Mozambique

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06MAPUTO1626 2006-12-21 15:48 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED Embassy Maputo
VZCZCXRO1525
RR RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHTO #1626/01 3551548
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 211548Z DEC 06
FM AMEMBASSY MAPUTO
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 6578
INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORP  0141
RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
RUEHC/DEPT OF LABOR WASHDC
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MAPUTO 001626 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SIPDIS 
 
AF/S FOR HTREGER AND JMALONEY 
JOHANNESBURG FSC FOR RDONOVAN 
JOHANNESBURG TDA FOR DSHUSTER 
USDOC FOR RTELCHIN 
MCC FOR SGAULL 
USAID FOR AFR/SA 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ECON EAID EINV ETRD MZ
SUBJECT: November Economic Digest: Mozambique 
 
MAPUTO 00001626  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
1. This is a brief summary of significant economic 
developments in Mozambique during November 2006.  We provide 
it as a supplement to our other reporting.  The items 
discussed are: 
 
-- Macroeconomics: Inflation And Growth Figures 
 
-- CVRD's Moatize Viability Study Under Review 
 
-- Additional Oil and Gas Exploration Concessions Granted 
 
-- Assembly Approves Reduction of General Customs Duties 
 
-- New Stadium to be Built by Chinese 
 
-- Japan Cancels Mozambique's Commercial Debt 
 
 
 
 
Macroeconomics: Inflation and Growth Figures 
-------------------------------------------- 
 
2. Prime Minister Diogo predicted, in an early December 
newspaper interview, that inflation by the end of the would 
be "a single digit figure."  The GRM target for 2006 was 7.5 
percent, but Mozambique is not likely to reduce inflation to 
this low level.  Inflation in 2005 was higher - initially 
reported at 14 percent but earlier this year the government 
revised this figure to 11 percent. 
 
3. As for growth, on December 13 Minister of Planning 
Cuereneia told the National Assembly that the government 
expected the economy to expand at an annual rate of 7.9 
percent in 2006.  Fourth quarter data had not yet been 
gathered, but Cuereneia said that annual export earnings -- 
at USD 2.3 billion -- were projected to be nine percent 
higher than in 2005.  Aluminum ingots, electricity and 
natural gas account for 70 percent of the country's exports. 
Most of the other 30 percent of export earnings comes from 
the export of shrimp, tobacco, cotton, sugar and cashew 
nuts. 
 
CVRD's Moatize Viability Study Under Review 
------------------------------------------- 
 
4.  Brazil's Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (CVRD) delivered its 
viability study on the Moatize coal basin to the GRM on 
November 24.  The GRM has sixty days to review it, clarify 
questions and suggest changes.  Then CVRD staff will present 
recommendations to the company's board, which will decide 
whether to proceed with the project.  Economic Officer and 
Econ/Pol Chief met with CVRD's Mozambique Director, Galib 
Chaim, on December 5 to discuss status of the project and 
potential interest by American investors in a coal-fired 
electricity generation plant, one facet of CVRD's planned 
operations in and around Moatize.  Chaim said that the coal- 
fired plant would be approximately 1,500 megawatts in size. 
He added that the projected coal export total would amount 
to around 12 million tons annually, and that the coal would 
be sent via the Sena railroad line to Beira, for loading on 
ships there.  Should the project go ahead as anticipated, 
coal exportation would begin in 2009/2010. 
 
Additional Oil and Gas Exploration Concessions Granted 
--------------------------------------------- ---------- 
 
5.  On November 29 the Mozambican government signed 
contracts with three companies -- M-10 Ltd, Sofala Offshore 
Ltd, and Zambeze Onshore -- for oil and gas exploration 
concessions.  All three companies are members of the British 
American Natural Gas Group.  Each concession contract has a 
six-year term and requires the companies to undertake and 
interpret seismic studies and conduct exploratory drilling. 
Should deposits of oil or gas be found, a concession lasting 
25 years would then be possible.  The concession blocks are 
in the central part of Mozambique - Sofala Offshore's lies 
under the bay of Sofala; Zambeze Onshore's is located in an 
area straddling the boundary of Zambeze and Sofala 
provinces; M-10's concession is further south, off the shore 
of Sofala and Inhambane provinces and not far from proven 
natural gas fields in northern Inhambane. 
 
MAPUTO 00001626  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
 
Assembly Approves Reduction of General Customs Duties 
--------------------------------------------- --------- 
 
6. On November 2 the Mozambican Assembly of the Republic 
passed the first reading of a bill that will reduce general 
customs duties on imports of consumer goods from 25 to 20 
percent.  Within SADC, member states are already charging a 
maximum customs tariff of 20 percent on imports from other 
member states.  In addition, the Assembly is considering a 
second bill that will reduce or eliminate tariffs on certain 
imported goods.  The purpose of this bill is to encourage 
particular industries, promote sporting and musical 
activities and protect public health. 
 
New Stadium to be Built by Chinese 
---------------------------------- 
 
7.  In November the Chinese government announced it would 
finance the construction of a new national sports stadium 
for Mozambique.  The stadium, which will be located in a 
suburb of Maputo City, will have a capacity of 42,000 
spectators.  All construction will be financed by China, and 
the stadium will be built by a yet-to-be selected Chinese 
construction company.  Work is scheduled to begin in the 
second half of 2007 and should be completed by the end of 
2009, in time for the 2010 soccer World Cup in neighboring 
South Africa.  The Mozambican government hopes that some of 
the teams taking part will use the stadium to practice. 
 
Japan Cancels Mozambique's Commercial Debt 
------------------------------------------ 
 
8.  In November Japan announced that it had cancelled all of 
Mozambique's commercial debt, an amount worth USD 60 
million.  This act brings Japan in line with the decision by 
creditor countries in 2000/2001 to forgive eligible 
commercial debt of the HIPC (heavily indebted poor 
countries) nations. 
 
Dudley