VZCZCXRO5639
PP RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHGI RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHKI #1827/01 3381625
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 041625Z DEC 06
FM AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5266
INFO RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC
RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 KINSHASA 001827 
 
SIPDIS 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV KDEM CG ELECTIONS
SUBJECT: DRC ELECTIONS: ELECTORAL COMMISSION ANNOUNCES 
PROVISIONAL RESULTS FOR PROVINCIAL ASSEMBLY 
 
REF: KINSHASA 1788 
 
¶1. (SBU) Summary: The pro-Kabila Alliance for the 
Presidential Majority (AMP) has won majorities in at least 
five of the DRC's eleven provincial assemblies, according to 
provisional figures announced December 1. The pro-Bemba Union 
for the Nation (UN) coalition has won control of at least 
two. Provincial assemblies will be seated in mid-December and 
are scheduled to select members of the national Senate, plus 
governors and vice governors, in January 2007. End summary. 
 
¶2. (U) Provisional results announced by the DRC's Independent 
Electoral Commission (CEI) December 1 show the pro-Kabila 
People's Party for Reconstruction and Democracy (PPRD) won 
the most seats of any party in the October 29 provincial 
assembly elections, with 132. Vice President Jean-Pierre 
Bemba's Movement for the Liberation of Congo (MLC) came in 
second with 104 seats. Vice President Azarias Ruberwa's Rally 
for Congolese Democracy (RCD) came in third with 42 seats. 
 
¶3. (SBU) The RCD's victories will have an impact on which 
coalition will ultimately control at least two provincial 
assemblies. Ruberwa had officially proclaimed his neutrality 
in the October 29 presidential race, and the RCD is aligned 
with neither the AMP nor the UN coalition. The RCD won seven 
and eight seats respectively in Western and Eastern Kasai 
provinces, where no party or coalition can yet claim a 
majority. It can control the balance of power in these two 
provinces. The RCD also won three seats in Bandundu province, 
where again there is no clear majority coalition. 
 
¶4. (SBU) Based on current alliances, the pro-Kabila AMP 
coalition has won majorities in at least five provinces, all 
in eastern DRC: North Kivu, South Kivu, Orientale, Maniema 
and Katanga. It has pluralities in Eastern Kasai and 
Bandundu. It is currently even with the UN coalition in 
Western Kasai. 
 
¶5. (SBU) Bemba's UN alliance has won majorities in two 
provinces, Kinshasa and Bas-Congo, both in western DRC. It 
will also likely claim a majority in Bemba's home province of 
Equateur, where the UN has claimed 49 of the assembly's 100 
seats. 
 
¶6. (U) Several parties aligned with Kabila's AMP fared well 
in provincial races. Minister of Regional Cooperation Mbusa 
Nyamwisi's Forces for Renewal coalition won 33 seats 
nationwide, mostly in the eastern provinces of Maniema, North 
Kivu and Orientale. Former Public Works Minister Jose 
Endundu's Christian Democrat Party (PDC) won 19 seats 
overall, 16 of which came in Bemba's home province of 
Equateur. Another AMP coalition party, Pierre Lumbi's 
Movement for Social Renewal, won 40 seats, primarily in 
Orientale. 
 
¶7. (SBU) Other big winners in the July 30 legislative 
elections did not fare as well in provincial assembly voting. 
Antoine Gizenga's Unified Lumumbist Party (PALU) won 34 
National Assembly seats, mostly in Bandundu and Kinshasa 
provinces, but won just 12 provincial seats, eight in 
Bandundu. Nzanga Mobutu came in fourth in the first-round 
presidential vote and his Union of Mobutuist Democrats 
(UDEMO) took nine seats in the National Assembly, but it won 
just five in the provincial contests. 
 
¶8. (SBU) The eleven provincial assemblies are scheduled to 
convene December 18. An additional 58 provincial deputies 
will be added to the ranks of the 632 elected representatives 
following the installation of the assemblies. These new 
members will be self-selected from among the DRC's estimated 
5,600 traditional chiefs ("chefs coutumiers") and will be 
proportionally distributed based on the number of registered 
voters per province. The addition of the "chefs coutumiers," 
scheduled to take place by the end of December, is mandated 
by the DRC's electoral law to provide a representational 
voice to the country's traditional community leaders. They 
could determine the governing majority in provinces with no 
current majorities. 
 
¶9. (U) Once the traditional chiefs are included, the 
assemblies will indirectly elect Senators, governors and vice 
governors. Elections for the 108 national Senators is 
scheduled for January 7; those for the 11 governors and 11 
vice governors for January 16. 
 
 
KINSHASA 00001827  002 OF 003 
 
 
¶10. (SBU) The following is a breakdown of provincial assembly 
results: 
 
-------- 
BANDUNDU 
-------- 
 
Bandundu's provincial assembly does not have a clear majority 
coalition based on known political alliances. Kabila's AMP 
has won at least 31 of the province's 77 seats, and Bemba's 
UN has won at least 27. The RCD has won three seats, and the 
remaining 16 have gone to unaffiliated parties or independent 
candidates. Gizenga's PALU won just eight seats in its home 
province; the party had won 25 seats from Bandundu in the 
National Assembly elections July 30. The MLC won 12 seats to 
the PPRD's eleven. 
 
--------- 
BAS-CONGO 
--------- 
 
The UN won a majority in Bas-Congo, taking 15 of 27 seats. 
The MLC won just five seats, but was helped through its 
alliance with smaller regional parties. The PPRD won four 
seats. 
 
------------- 
EASTERN KASAI 
------------- 
 
The AMP won a plurality in Eastern Kasai with 27 of the 
assembly's 61 seats. The UN won at least 16 seats, and the 
RCD eight. It is likely the AMP will have the majority  since 
the UN coalition would need all ten unaffiliated seats, plus 
the RCD, to control the assembly. The PPRD won eleven seats 
to the MLC's six. 
 
-------- 
EQUATEUR 
-------- 
 
Equateur, Bemba's home province, was expected to be a clear 
victory for the UN coalition, but it won just 49 of the 
assembly's 100 seats, based on existing alliances. The PPRD 
won a total of eleven seats, and was helped by its 
partnership with former Public Works Minister Jose Endundu's 
Christian Democrat Party (PDC), which won 16. It is likely 
Equateur's provincial assembly will ultimately be controlled 
by the UN coalition. 
 
------- 
KATANGA 
------- 
 
The AMP had a clear majority in Katanga's provincial 
assembly, winning 56 of the 93 seats available. The UN took 
just nine seats, while 15 independents, the most of any 
province, were elected. The PPRD won 33 seats to the MLC's 
three. 
 
-------- 
KINSHASA 
-------- 
 
Kinshasa's provincial assembly will be controlled by Bemba's 
UN alliance, which won 27 of 44 seats. The MLC won half of 
the province's seats with 22, while the PPRD took eight. PALU 
won just two seats in Kinshasa, where it had won six seats in 
the National Assembly elections. 
 
------- 
MANIEMA 
------- 
 
The AMP has the majority in Maniema, controlling 15 of 22 
seats, while the PPRD will have six. Bemba's UN alliance won 
just one seat in Maniema; none were won by the MLC. 
 
---------- 
NORTH KIVU 
---------- 
 
North Kivu's provincial assembly will also be controlled by 
the AMP, which won 25 of 38 seats. As expected, Bemba's UN 
did not fare well, winning just two seats. The PPRD has nine 
 
KINSHASA 00001827  003 OF 003 
 
 
seats to one for the MLC. 
 
--------- 
ORIENTALE 
--------- 
 
The AMP has a majority in Orientale province, where it 
captured 51 of 88 seats. The PPRD won 21 seats and was helped 
through its alliance with Mbusa's Forces of Renewal party, 
which won eleven seats, and Lumbi's MSR, which won 12. The 
MLC took seven seats; the UN 14. 
 
---------- 
SOUTH KIVU 
---------- 
 
South Kivu's assembly will have an AMP-led majority. The 
pro-Kabila alliance won 28 of 33 seats, while Bemba's UN did 
not win even one. 
 
------------- 
WESTERN KASAI 
------------- 
 
There is no apparent majority in Western Kasai. The AMP and 
the UN coalitions have each won 17 of the 49 seats, and the 
RCD seven. Either coalition would therefore have to win over 
the remaining eight seats controlled by unaffiliated parties 
or independent candidates to claim a majority. The MLC won 
eleven seats to the PPRD's ten. 
MEECE