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Viewing cable 06LILONGWE769, MALAWI GAINS MULTILATERAL DEBT RELIEF

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
06LILONGWE769 2006-09-07 11:01 2011-08-26 00:00 UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Embassy Lilongwe
VZCZCXRO3583
RR RUEHDU RUEHJO RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHLG #0769 2501101
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 071101Z SEP 06
FM AMEMBASSY LILONGWE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 3219
INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC 0465
RUEHLMC/MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE CORPORATION WASHDC
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
UNCLAS LILONGWE 000769 
 
SIPDIS 
 
STATE FOR AF/S 
STATE FOR EB/IFD/ODF, EB/IFD/OMA 
TREASURY FOR INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS/AFRICA 
TREASURY FOR OTA - BOB WARFIELD 
 
SENSITIVE 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: ECON EAID EFIN PGOV MI
SUBJECT: MALAWI GAINS MULTILATERAL DEBT RELIEF 
 
1. (U) Summary:  The World Bank and IMF have recommended Malawi for 
HIPC Completion Point, providing for the erasure of most of the 
country's external debt under the Multilateral Debt Relief 
Initiative (MDRI).  Malawi's foreign debt will fall from $2.9 
billion to about $400 million.  Domestic debt remains very high, but 
the GOM has pledged to continue efforts to reduce it.  End Summary. 
 
 
2. (U) Minister of Finance Goodall Gondwe and the IMF and World Bank 
resident reps held a joint press conference in Blantyre on September 
1 to announce the recent IMF and WB board recommendations for 
completion point under the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) 
initiative.  Malawi will be the 20th country to gain debt relief 
under the MDRI.  Savings in debt service payments will be $110 
million annually, and average annual debt service payments will fall 
to approximately $5 million.  Malawi successfully completed all but 
two of its HIPC completion point triggers-- in teacher training and 
health spending-- and was granted waivers. 
 
3. At the same time, the IMF announced Malawi's satisfactory 
performance in the second review of its Poverty Reduction Growth 
Facility (PRGF), and authorized the next release of $7.3 million of 
PRGF funds to the GOM. 
 
4. (SBU) Comment: The MDRI relief will go a long way toward reducing 
Malawi's indebtedness, but the country must strengthen its efforts 
to reduce domestic debt, which remains at a crippling level. 
Domestic debt service payments consume 15% of the national budget. 
Heavy govenment debt and continued borrowing have squeezed local 
credit markets and kept domestic interest rates at over 25%. 
Despite the GOM's good fiscal performance in the past two years, the 
domestic debt places a drag on the economy that must be lifted in 
order for significant long term growth and investment to take place. 
We are helping:  A U.S. treasury advisor funded under the Millennium 
Challenge Account Threshold Program is presently in Malawi looking 
specifically at securitization of pre-2004 "arrearages" (essentially 
unpaid invoices for services and commodities provided to the 
government) which comprise a significant portion of the domestic 
debt burden. 
 
5. (SBU) Malawi must also move very carefully in taking on any new 
debt.  World Bank/IMF estimates show that under a pessimistic 
scenario in which the GOM incurs new debt and export growth is slow, 
Malawi could see a significant rise in indebtedness as early as 
2012.  The Finance Minister has pledged to continue the GOM's effort 
to reduce domestic debt and "not do something foolish just because 
we have received this relief."   If Malawi is to avoid falling into 
the debt trap once again, he must do everything in his power to 
limit borrowing and spending and to light a fire under the country's 
still-sluggish economy. 
 
EASTHAM