VZCZCXYZ0010
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHIN #2216/01 1782154
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
R 272154Z JUN 06
FM AIT TAIPEI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 0901
INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 5354
RUEHHK/AMCONSUL HONG KONG 6561

UNCLAS AIT TAIPEI 002216 
 
SIPDIS 
 
DEPARTMENT FOR INR/R/MR, EAP/TC, EAP/PA, EAP/PD - ERIC BARBORIAK 
DEPARTMENT PASS AIT/WASHINGTON 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
 
 
TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO TW
SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: RECALL OF PRESIDENT CHEN SHUI-BIAN 
 
 
¶1. Summary:  All major Chinese-language Taiwan dailies gave 
significant reporting and editorial coverage to the Legislative 
Yuan's (LY) vote on the presidential recall motion June 27, and on 
possible conflicts between pan-Blue and pan-Green supporters outside 
the Legislative Yuan.  All papers front-paged the recall vote, and 
the pro-independence "Liberty Times," Taiwan's biggest daily, ran a 
banner headline on page two that said "Bian:  Will Respect Result of 
Recall Vote."  The mass-circulation "Apple Daily" carried results of 
its latest poll on page two, which showed that 67.59 percent of 
those polled said they hope that the Legislative Yuan will pass the 
presidential recall, while 66.51 percent of respondents said they 
don't think the bill will be passed. 
 
¶2. Almost all papers editorialized on the presidential recall vote 
today.  The "Free Talk" column in the "Liberty Times" said the major 
battlefield in the Blue and Green confrontation today is not in the 
Legislative Yuan but on the streets, and that the side that can 
remain calm, exercise restraint, and bring peace and order to the 
people will be the final winner.  An editorial in the 
limited-circulation, pro-independence, English-language "Taipei 
Times" said the recall motion is actually part of a "long war" in 
the runup to the 2008 presidential election.  An "Apple Daily" 
opinion piece said that even though Washington said it will respect 
the results of today's recall vote, it may not be happy to see the 
recall passed and a referendum to oust Chen held.  An editorial in 
the pro-status quo "China Times" said no matter what the results of 
the presidential recall vote may be, it will leave an important 
record in Taiwan's constitutional history.  An editorial in the 
pro-unification "United Daily News" blasted the DPP for defending 
Chen and his corrupt practices, saying the impression the DPP will 
leave to Taiwan's society is that it shelters corruption.  End 
summary. 
 
A) "The Real Winner" 
 
The "Free Talk" column in the pro-independence "Liberty Times" 
[circulation: 600,000] noted (6/27): 
 
"... In fact, during a political uproar, an overwhelming majority of 
people does not want to see any conflicts; they are also very tired 
of the political clamor.  As a result, as long as any side is 
willing to yield without using abusive language, it will definitely 
win the recognition of a majority of the people.  The major 
battlefield for the Blue and Green confrontation today is thus not 
in the Legislative Yuan, but on the streets.  The side that can 
remain calm, exercise restraint, and bring peace and order to the 
people will be the final winner." 
 
B) "Recall Bid Harming the Pan-Blues" 
 
The pro-independence, English-language "Taipei Times" [circulation: 
30,000] editorialized (6/27): 
 
"The weeks of pan-blue campaigning against President Chen Shui-bian 
will come to a head today when the legislature votes on the motion 
to recall him.  The fact that the bid was doomed from the beginning 
doesn't seem to have prevented the pan-blues from continuing with 
their campaign, oblivious that their actions may actually be causing 
more damage to Taiwan's reputation than that supposedly caused by 
the president and his administration. ... 
 
"This latest bid to oust the president and harm the pan-green camp's 
image can be construed as part of a 'long war' in the runup to the 
2008 presidential election.  The opposition has placed so much 
importance on winning back the presidency that the Taiwanese public 
is in for a long and arduous media crusade against all things green 
over the next 18 months or so.  But will this campaign really serve 
the best interest of the opposition?  ..." 
 
C) "Impact of Recall Motion on U.S.-Taiwan Relations" 
 
Cross-Strait Interflow Prospect Foundation Vice President Raymond Wu 
opined in the mass-circulation "Apple Daily" [circulation: 500,000] 
(6/27): 
 
"...  The United States always believes that confrontation between 
the ruling and opposition parties in Taiwan is a 'manageable 
dispute' which will not lead to continued unrest or fierce 
conflicts.  ...  Washington is thus by no means happy to see that 
Taiwan's political turmoil will impact the U.S.'s national 
interests.  In particular, following the 'cessation of the National 
Unification Council' early this year, the unpleasant twists and 
bumps undergone in U.S.-Taiwan relations have made both sides want 
to 'recuperate' for a while and prevent any more surprises or 
conflicts.  The changes that might be triggered by Taiwan's 
political upheavals, especially Beijing's reactions to these 
changes, always have been a major concern for Washington.  At the 
current stage, the United States is definitely not happy to see any 
surprise moves or situations that might occur with regard to 
'maintaining the status quo,' which would create more trouble for 
the United States on top of the crises in Iran, Iraq and North 
Korea. ... 
 
"Given its expectations that the recall controversy will come to an 
end as early as possible, Washington will respect the result of the 
Legislative Yuan's vote today.  But it might not be happy to see the 
recall motion move into the next stage - the referendum.  On the 
other hand, even though one cannot be sure if the U.S. government 
'will support President Chen to finish his term of office,' 
Washington definitely does not want to see lasting instability in 
Taiwan's political situation affecting the U.S. interests, or even 
give Beijing an excuse or opportunity to directly intervene in 
Taiwan's politics. 
 
"In the meantime, in order to avoid any disputes between the two 
sides of the Taiwan Strait, the United States also hopes that, 
having undergone the impact of the recall motion, the DPP government 
will have lost its original momentum in continuing to push for its 
constitutional reform plan that includes sensitive issues concerning 
Taiwan's national flag, national title, and territory.  Washington 
hopes that with the recall motion coming to an end, these highly 
controversial issues will no longer be brought up by 2008, and will 
not create any tension or even conflicts in cross-Strait relations 
or Washington-Beijing-Taipei interactions. ..." 
 
D) "Re-read the President's Inaugural Pledge on the Day of Recall 
Vote" 
 
The pro-status quo "China Times" [circulation: 400,000] 
editorialized (6/27): 
 
"The Legislative Yuan will vote on the presidential recall motion 
Tuesday.  No matter what the result may be, it will leave an 
important record in Taiwan's constitutional history.  For those who 
either urged the President to step down on his own accord, asked the 
Legislative Yuan to launch a recall motion, or called for a popular 
vote to force the President to step down, they all face the doubts 
of the President and his supporters:  Namely, what is their 
constitutional legitimacy in ousting the President?  If there is no 
constitutional legitimacy to demand that the President step down, 
what [the pan-Blue camp has been doing] will be viewed as political 
struggle, strife that only cares about Blue or Green but does not 
tell right from wrong.  When Ma Ying-jeou went to Kaohsiung for a 
rally challenging Chen the other day, he directly pointed out that 
the legitimate reason backing the pan-Blue camp's move to oust the 
President is that the President's behavior has violated what his 
people have entrusted to him, and thus has violated the pledge he 
made in accordance with the Constitution when he was inaugurated. 
..." 
 
E) "An Influential Criminal of Black and Gold [Politics], a Sinner 
of Taiwan Independence" 
 
The pro-unification "United Daily News" [circulation: 400,000] 
editorialized (6/27): 
 
 "... In the face of the recall motion, the DPP could have reasoned 
with itself that the two-thirds high threshold stipulated by the 
Constitution [for passing the recall motion] is there to provide 
room for the DPP to reflect on itself and to reform, and for Chen to 
confess and repent his sins.  If Chen sincerely confesses and 
repents his sins to the DPP and to all the people, the DPP can give 
him an opportunity by using the two-thirds threshold to oppose the 
recall motion.  But the DPP got itself into trouble by its schemes; 
it even defended Chen's corrupt practices and stained 'nativism.' 
The DPP not only failed to ask Chen to repent but chose to stand by 
his side, making the whole party Chen's accomplice.  The impression 
that the DPP gave to society is:  The DPP shelters corruption, the 
'nativists' shelter corruption, and even Taiwan independence 
shelters corruption! ..." 
 
KEEGAN