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Viewing cable 10LONDON360, SADC: AF DAS PAGE'S FEB 8 MEETINGS WITH SENIOR UK

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
10LONDON360 2010-02-17 12:00 2011-08-30 01:44 CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN Embassy London
VZCZCXRO5589
PP RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHLO #0360/01 0481200
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
P 171200Z FEB 10
FM AMEMBASSY LONDON
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4981
INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AF DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 LONDON 000360 
 
SIPDIS 
NOFORN 
 
DEPARTMENT FOR AF/FO, AF/S 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/16/2020 
TAGS: PGOV PREL EAID KDEM ZU SF UK
SUBJECT: SADC: AF DAS PAGE'S FEB 8 MEETINGS WITH SENIOR UK 
OFFICIALS 
 
Classified By: Political Counselor Robin Quinville, 
reasons 1.4 (b/d). 
 
1. (C) Summary.  Senior UK Foreign Office (FCO), Department 
for International Development (DFID), and Number 10 (No10) 
Africa officials told AF DAS Page during February 8 meetings 
that de-listing some entities in Zimbabwe was necessary 
because of timing and in order to maintain EU consensus. 
They also believed that South Africa could do more on 
Zimbabwe.  In advance of South African President Zuma's March 
2-3 state visit to the UK, UK officials are working on 
deliverables for the visit that will focus on employment, 
education, climate change, and urban re-generation; the visit 
will also include a trip to the London 2012 Olympic Site and 
several people-to-people meetings in urban areas.  With the 
Group of 19 in Mozambique's linking of corruption and 
governance issues to direct budget support, the UK has 
received pressure from the Governments of Mozambique and 
Portugal to continue support at current levels and has also 
noticed some positive responses on governance, though they 
continue to debate the issue internally.  Governance trends 
in Malawi, Zambia, Lesotho, and Swaziland are worrisome. 
Such trendlines have caused DFID to grapple with how to 
handle countries where economic progress has been good but 
where democratic space has been reducing, which will be a 
major focus issue for DFID in 2010.  DFID will also have a 
renewed focus on management of natural resources.  UK Prime 
Minister Gordon Brown continues to be focused on health -- 
especially maternal health and ending payment of user fees 
for health services -- and universal primary education.  End 
summary. 
 
2. (SBU) AF DAS Susan Page held separate meetings on February 
8 with FCO Southern and West Africa Department Head Janet 
Douglas, FCO Zimbabwe Unit Head John Dennis, DFID Southern 
and West Africa Head Beverley Warmington, and the Prime 
Minister's Special Advisor for Africa Brendan Cox. 
 
Zimbabwe 
-------- 
 
3. (C/NF) After offering his analysis of the situation on the 
ground and of Global Peace Agreement (GPA) implementation, 
Dennis said the UK hopes to see South African President Jacob 
Zuma do more on Zimbabwe, as South Africa has a vested 
interest in a long-term bilateral relationship, has felt the 
impact on the region, and is currently hosting many 
Zimbabweans within its borders.  While agreeing that the 
political reforms called for in the GPA had not been 
implemented, Dennis provided a robust defense to the UK's 
decision to support within the EU the de-listing of eight 
parastatals and a limited number of individuals, arguing that 
the parastatals are now separate from Mugabe's power 
structures and saying that the individuals were either dead 
or no longer associating with ZANU-PF. Dennis also noted that 
the UK's research failed to determine the reasons the eight 
companies had been included on the sanctions list in the 
first place.  He said the messaging around the de-listing 
would be very important, especially given that the IMF Board 
may vote around the same time to restore Zimbabwe's voting 
rights.  Offering his impromptu thinking on what the EU's 
messaging would be, Dennis said he thought the EU statement 
would "recognize" the progress on the economic front and 
express "disappointment" on the lack of progress on the 
political reforms.  He said the UK will continue to push for 
"tough language" in the EU on Zimbabwe, while acknowledging 
that there are no major levers of power to induce reform. 
 
4. (C/NF) Warmington said the debate in DFID on relaxing 
restrictive measures within the EU had been more robust, as 
Development Secretary Douglas Alexander, not normally 
involved in sanctions discussions, inserted himself into the 
process, much to the annoyance of the FCO.  In the end, 
Warmington said the pressure from Zimbabwe Prime Minister 
Morgan Tsvangirai and Finance Minister Tendai Biti as well as 
the time constraints on passing a new package before the 
existing measures expired, resulted in the de-listings. 
Warmington said the World Bank Trust Fund for Zimbabwe was 
becoming a "nightmare" because the World Bank will not 
recognize restrictive measures and the UK cannot donate to 
the fund if assistance will go to sanctioned entities.  She 
said donors plan to write to World Bank President Zoellick to 
request a change in operating procedures, or donors will have 
to create the Trust Fund with the African Development Bank. 
 
5. (C/NF) Cox said the Prime Minister is worried about the 
"next bit of reform" for Zimbabwe, as the most contentious 
political issues are the ones outstanding.  He described the 
EU's de-listing as necessary in order to keep all EU partners 
 
LONDON 00000360  002 OF 003 
 
 
on board, especially given the time constraints in approving 
a new package before the existing one expires. 
 
South Africa 
------------ 
 
6. (C/NF) Douglas said her primary focus at the moment is 
preparation for South African President Jacob Zuma's state 
visit to the UK in the first week of March.  She said the 
visit will focus on employment, education, climate change, 
and urban re-generation and will include a visit to the 
London 2012 Olympic Site and several people-to-people 
meetings in urban areas.  Douglas said Number Ten is looking 
for deliverables, particular on Zimbabwe, but predicts a 
series of statements is the most likely outcome.  She said 
that during a recent visit South African Sports Minister 
Makhenkesi Stofile had said that crowd control and human 
security are his biggest concerns related to the upcoming 
World Cup.  Douglas said the UK's Metropolitan Police and 
Serious Organized Crime Agency (SOCA) are providing 
assistance and technical support to help manage these issues. 
 Douglas also said she is looking at child trafficking in 
connection with the games, as she has heard informally that 
networks in southern Africa are increasing trafficking into 
South Africa in advance of the World Cup. 
 
7. (C/NF) Warmington said South Africa is a regional hub for 
DFID's activities, as DFID only has limited bilateral 
programming in South Africa, including on HIV/AIDS and 
infrastructure.  She also acknowledged the UK government's 
difficulty in determining outcomes for the state visit.  Cox 
highlighted Zuma's state visit as important for the bilateral 
relationship but said that the Prime Minister wants to 
discuss Zimbabwe with Zuma in addition to how to carry 
forward work on G20 issues. Warmington, however, did not see 
a "deliverable" from Zuma on Zimbabwe during the State visit. 
 
Mozambique 
---------- 
 
8. (C/NF) Douglas said the UK has been under pressure from 
the Government of Mozambique -- and the Portuguese 
bilaterally -- to continue the Group of 19's funding at 
current levels.  She said the Group of 19 had decided to link 
corruption and lack of progress on governance issues, 
especially on electoral reform and separation of party and 
state, to support levels by asking for the Government of 
Mozambique to give donors a game plan of reform.  Warmington, 
however, said she had become less concerned about governance, 
especially with regard to the rest of the region, after her 
recent visit there.  She said the group of donors had felt 
"ignored" by the Government of Mozambique, which resulted in 
the tough messaging.  She said she does not currently foresee 
a situation where the UK's assistance level or framework 
would change, as the Government of Mozambique appeared to be 
responding to the issues.  She also said the conversation 
between the international community and the Government of 
Mozambique should be with the entire donor community, not 
just the Group of 19. 
 
Malawi 
------ 
 
9. (C/NF) Douglas said Malawi has "consistently been a pain" 
on governance issues and with the recent gay rights case. 
She offered that the referral of the case to the 
constitutional court would give Malawi time to maneuver 
politically, which would probably be helpful.  She also 
agreed that the governance trends are worrying, especially 
with the sidelining of Vice President Joyce Banda.  While the 
President's brother Peter Mutharika may be "more 
progressive," his potential appointment as the ruling party's 
presidential candidate could be problematic with regard to 
governance issues.  Warmington said that DFID had been very 
"disappointed" by Malawi's purchasing of a plane off budget 
and said that Development Secretary Douglas Alexander had 
decided to reduce its assistance by the value of the airplane 
divided over the next five years, approximately USD 3 million 
per year. 
 
Encouraging Good Governance 
--------------------------- 
 
10. (C/NF) Douglas agreed that governance in Zambia, Lesotho 
and Swaziland is also worrying.  Warmington said that DFID is 
currently grappling with how to handle countries where 
economic progress has been good but where democratic space 
has been reducing, such as Zambia and Ethiopia.  She said 
this will be a major issue for DFID in 2010.  She also said 
 
LONDON 00000360  003 OF 003 
 
 
there will be a renewed focus on management of natural 
resources. 
 
The PM's Priorities: Education and Health 
----------------------------------------- 
 
11. (C/NF) Cox said that health -- especially maternal health 
and ending payment of user fees for health services -- and 
universal primary education continue to be major focuses for 
the Prime Minister.  He highlighted the education initiatives 
around the World Cup and said the UK is working on strategies 
and is seeking funding for various initiatives. 
 
 
 
Visit London's Classified Website: 
http://www.intelink.sgov.gov/wiki/Portal:Unit ed_Kingdom 
 
SUSMAN