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Viewing cable 01HARARE3814, CMAG DECISION A SHOCK FOR ZIMBABWE

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Reference ID Created Released Classification Origin
01HARARE3814 2001-12-22 04:40 2011-08-30 01:44 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Harare
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

220440Z Dec 01

 

                           CONFIDENTIAL     PTQ7244

PAGE 01        HARARE  03814  220544Z 
ACTION AF-00    

INFO  LOG-00   NP-00    ACQ-00   CIAE-00  DODE-00  DOTE-00  WHA-00   
      DS-00    EAP-00   EB-00    EUR-00   FAAE-00  FBIE-00  VC-00    
      TEDE-00  INR-00   IO-00    VCE-00   NSAE-00  NSCE-00  OIC-02   
      SSO-00   SS-00    EPAE-00  DSCC-00  DRL-02   NFAT-00  SAS-00   
        /004W
                  ------------------4F5AC7  220544Z /38    
FM AMEMBASSY HARARE
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0607
INFO AMEMBASSY ABUJA PRIORITY 
AMEMBASSY CANBERRA PRIORITY 
AMEMBASSY OTTAWA PRIORITY 
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS PRIORITY 
SOUTHERN AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY PRIORITY
USEU BRUSSELS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY MADRID PRIORITY 
USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L HARARE 003814 
 
SIPDIS 
 
BRUSSELS ALSO FOR USEU 
 
LONDON FOR GURNEY 
 
PARIS FOR NEARY 
 
NSC FOR AF SR DIR FRAZIER 
 
AF/FO AND AF/S 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/21/2011 
TAGS: PREL PGOV PHUM PINR ZI
SUBJECT: CMAG DECISION A SHOCK FOR ZIMBABWE 
 
REF: FBIS  AFP20011221000024 
 
CLASSIFIED BY JOSEPH G. SULLIVAN FOR REASONS 1.5B/D 
 
1. (C) THE DEC 20 DECISION BY THE COMMONWEALTH 
MINISTERIAL ACTION GROUP(CMAG) "TO EXPRESS ITS DEEP 
CONCERN ABOUT THE SITUATION IN ZIMBABWE ESPECIALLY THE 
CONTINUED VIOLENCE, OCCUPATION OF PROPERTY, ACTIONS 
AGAINST THE FREEDOM AND INDEPENDENCE OF THE MEDIA AND 
POLITICAL INTIMIDATION" . (WHICH) "CONSTITUTES A SERIOUS 
AND PERSISTENT VIOLATION OF THE COMMONWEALTH'S 
FUNDAMENTAL POLTICAL VALUES AND THE RULE OF LAW AS 
ENSHRINED IN THE HARARE COMMONWEALTH DECLARATION" COMES 
AS A SHOCK TO THE GOZ.  THE CMAG'S DRAWING ATTENTION OF 
THE GOZ TO ITS ABUJA AGREEMENT COMMITMENTS AND STRONG 
URGING TO IMPLEMENT THESE COMMITMENTS COMES AS A 
PARTICULAR BLOW, SINCE IT CONTRADICTS THE GOZ CLAIM THAT 
IT HAS IMPLEMENTED ABUJA AND ONLY THE UK HAS FAILED TO 
FULFILL ITS FUNDING COMMITMENTS. THE PRESENCE OF 
NIGERIAN FOREIGN MINISTER LAMIDO ON THE CMAG AND HIS 
SUBSEQUENT INTERVIEWS ON BBC, IN PARTICULAR UNDERMINE 
THE GOZ PRETENSE TO BE ABIDING BY ABUJA.  THE PRESENCE 
OF NIGERIA AND BOTSWANA IN THE CMAG, NOT TO MENTION 
MALAYSIA, ALSO UNDERMINES THE GOZ ARGUMENT THAT ANY 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
PAGE 03        HARARE  03814  220544Z 
CRITICISM OF ZIMBABWE IS A UK, EUROPEAN OR NORTH 
AMERICAN PLOT. 
 
2. (C) THE CMAG STATEMENT LEFT THE STATE MEDIA 
SPEECHLESS; THE BEST RESPONSE FOREIGN MINISTER MUDENGE 
COULD MUSTER WAS A CLAIM THAT CMAG ACTIONWITHOUT A 
CHOGOM DIRECTIVE WAS ILLEGAL (A POINT ON WHICH OUR UK 
AND CANADIAN COLLEAGUES CONCED HE HAS HALF A POINT.) 
OTHERWISE, HE FELL BACK ON UNSUSTAINABLE CLAIMS OF A 
BRITISH CONSPIRACY. 
 
3. (C) COMMENT:  COMING SO SHORTLY AFTER THE SADC 
MINISTERIAL MISSION HAD AGREED WITH THE GOZ VIEW THAT 
THERE HAD BEEN SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS ON THE LAND ISSUE 
AND THAT VIOLENCE HAD DIMINISHED, THE CMAG REPORT IS A 
MAJOR SHOCK FOR THE GOZ.  PRESIDENT MUGABE, CURRENTLY 
VISITING LIBYA FOR ANOTHER INJECTION OF PETROL, WOULD 
SEEM LIKELY TO REACT AS HE HAS TO ALL OTHER CRITICISMS, 
WITH A " THEY CAN GO TO HELL."  BUT NIGERIA'S JOINING IN 
THE CRITICISM OF ZIMBABWE'S ABUJA AGREEMENT PERFORMANCE 
STRIPS BARE A MAJOR DEFENCE PLANK OF THE GOZ.  COUPLED 
WITH RISING FOOD SHORTAGES AND OTHER PROBLEMS, MORE 
VOICES IN THE GOZ AND ZUNU-PF ARE LIKELY TO QUESTION 
WHETHER MUGABE AND ZANU-PF CAN TOUGH IT OUT IN ISOLATION 
FROM THE NON-QADDAFI WORLD. 
SULLIVAN 
 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
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